4
Cooke Creek
7yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 108
Delaware Park · Race 6 - Battery Park Stakes · 1m 1f
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
82%
Place Prob
66%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength44%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-03-05 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 3rd | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength53%
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/2025 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 8% | -0.08 |
| 22/08/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 28/09/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 28/11/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 05/03/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 25/04/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 21/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |