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6

Hill Road

4yo Colt · 8-9 · OR 113

Delaware Park · Race 6 - Battery Park Stakes · 1m 1f

#6

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼3
Strength90%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.2
Today:
Class gap: +3.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Curragh 15/09/2024 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 7f Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS15/091C0 @ Del Mar 01/11/2024 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASSC1 @ Tampa Bay Downs 08/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 111 · 1m110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/03/2025 · OR 111 par8/03C1OR 111C1 @ Belmont At The Big A 10/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 108 · 1m1f Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/05/2025 · OR 108 parC0 @ Saratoga 26/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 106 · 1m1f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/07/2025 · OR 106 par26/07C?OR 106C1 @ Kentucky Downs 30/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 109 · 1m2f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/08/2025 · OR 109 parC0 @ Belmont At The Big A 04/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 106 · 1m3f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 106 par4/10C?OR 106C0 @ Del Mar 01/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 107 · 1m4f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/11/2025 · OR 107 parC6 @ Belmont Park 24/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 110 · 1m Fas 124 · below its mark24/09/2026 · OR 110 par24/09C6OR 110projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-24Belmont Park?5th6th−1
2025-11-01Del Mar?10th5th+4
2025-10-04Belmont At The Big A?3rd-2th+4
2025-08-30Kentucky Downs?3rd-2th+4
2025-07-26Saratoga?3rd-2th+4
2025-06-07Saratoga?+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0910/054/1024/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength72%

Delivery trend -4.2% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/09/20247th14/126%14%-0.12
01/11/20243rd25/10%78%+0.78
08/03/20253rd4/179%67%-0.12
10/05/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
26/07/20253rd16/116%50%+0.34
30/08/20253rd10/147%82%+0.34
04/10/20253rd13/891%67%-0.25
01/11/202510th66/10%31%+0.31
24/09/20265th7/282%43%-0.39