IvyArcIvyArc
1

Magical Ways

7yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 104

Delaware Park · Race 6 - Battery Park Stakes · 1m 1f

#2

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

18%

Place Prob

31%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 27/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 109 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark27/09/2025 · OR 109 par27/09C6OR 109C6 @ Laurel Park 30/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 108 · 1m110y 123 · below its mark30/11/2025 · OR 108 parC6 @ Aqueduct 06/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 108 · 1m1f 121 · below its mark06/02/2026 · OR 108 par6/02C6OR 108C8 @ Penn National 23/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 101 · 1m Fas 120 · below its mark23/04/2026 · OR 101 parC8 @ Laurel Park 14/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 96 · 1m 123 · beat its mark14/05/2026 · OR 96 par14/05C8OR 96C7 @ Delaware Park 06/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 93 · 1m110y Fm 124 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 93 parC7 @ Delaware Park 24/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 99 · 1m70y Gd 124 · beat its mark24/06/2026 · OR 99 par24/06C7OR 99C7 @ Delaware Park 22/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 102 · 1m Slo 124 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 102 parC6 @ Delaware Park 20/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 103 · 1m70y 124 · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 103 par20/08C6OR 103projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Delaware Park?1st2nd−1
2026-07-22Delaware Park?1st3rd−2
2026-06-24Delaware Park?1st3rd−2
2026-06-06Delaware Park?1st3rd−2
2026-05-14Laurel Park?1st5th−3
2026-04-23Penn National?3rd7th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0923/0424/0620/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength28%

Delivery trend +2.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/09/20254th16/116%70%+0.54
30/11/20254th3/184%40%-0.44
06/02/202610th8/158%10%-0.48
23/04/20263rd7/491%67%-0.24
14/05/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
06/06/20261st8/1196%100%+0.04
24/06/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
22/07/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
20/08/20261st6/594%100%+0.06