3
Westbound Cat
2yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 74
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Rocky Run Stakes · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
75%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength3%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-06-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +31.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 14% | -0.73 |
| 27/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |