5
Life's Pageant
2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 74
Delaware Park · Race 8 - White Clay Creek Stakes · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-25 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength46%
Delivery trend -12.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 08/08/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |