8

My Hometown Gal

2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 76

Delaware Park · Race 8 - White Clay Creek Stakes · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 21/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 12321/06C6C6 @ Delaware Park 31/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 72 · 5f110y 120 · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 72 par31/07C6OR 72C6 @ Delaware Park 29/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 72 · 5f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 72 par29/08C6OR 72projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Delaware Park?1st3rd−2
2026-07-31Delaware Park?2nd4th−2
2026-06-21Belmont At The Big A?6th8th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0631/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength84%

Delivery trend +18.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/06/20266th10/147%17%-0.31
31/07/20262nd9/488%83%-0.05
29/08/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06