1
Spectacular Sam
2yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 90
Delaware Park · Race 8 - White Clay Creek Stakes · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Ellis Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-06-28 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 5-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength50%
Delivery trend -14.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.25 |
| 26/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 88% | -0.04 |