10
Urgent Claire
2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 52
Delaware Park · Race 8 - White Clay Creek Stakes · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
80%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength7%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-22 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength20%
Delivery trend -19.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 07/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 04/09/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |