Candy Moonshine
3yo Filly · 8-5 · OR 97
Delaware Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 1m 70y
#14
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 3rd | +4 |
| 2026-07-03 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-11-06 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-10-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-05 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 28/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 18/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 78% | -0.05 |
| 05/10/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 26/10/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 06/11/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 03/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 01/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |