8

Caprichosainfront

4yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 92

Delaware Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 1m 70y

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Laurel Park 13/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 71 · 6f 126 · below its mark13/02/2026 · OR 71 par13/02C9OR 71C6 @ Charles Town 13/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 65 · 1m110y Gd 126 · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 65 parC5 @ Charles Town 04/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 65 · 7f Fas 126 · beat its mark04/04/2026 · OR 65 par4/04C5OR 65C7 @ Delaware Park 23/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 68 · 1m70y 122 · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 68 parC7 @ Delaware Park 06/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 70 · 1m70y Fm 122 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 70 par6/06C7OR 70C7 @ Delaware Park 25/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 71 · 1m 122 · below its mark25/06/2026 · OR 71 parC5 @ Delaware Park 08/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 86 · 1m 120 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 86 par8/08C5OR 86C5 @ Delaware Park 21/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 86 · 1m70y 120 · below its mark21/08/2026 · OR 86 parC5 @ Delaware Park 12/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 83 · 1m110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 83 par12/09C5OR 83projClass-projected finish: 7th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Delaware Park?4th3rd+1
2026-08-21Delaware Park?4th4th0
2026-08-08Delaware Park?3rd3rd0
2026-06-25Delaware Park?3rd5th−2
2026-06-06Delaware Park?2nd4th−2
2026-05-23Delaware Park?3rd5th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0223/058/0812/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1769% of fieldRange 2-17 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength37%

Delivery trend +6.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/02/20265th14/126%20%-0.06
13/03/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
04/04/20268th7/282%13%-0.69
23/05/20263rd4/179%50%-0.29
06/06/20262nd20/10%83%+0.83
25/06/20263rd13/266%67%+0.01
08/08/20263rd7/163%50%-0.13
21/08/20264th14/126%25%-0.01
12/09/20264th40/10%63%+0.63