13

Good Golly Msfolly
3yo Filly · 8-5 · OR 86
Delaware Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 1m 70y
#12
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-07-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-06-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-11-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1750% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength81%
Delivery trend +6.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 14% | -0.73 |
| 09/10/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 29% | -0.53 |
| 22/11/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 27/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 18/06/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 1/3 | 98% | 75% | -0.23 |
| 30/07/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 25% | -0.64 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |