12
Lendalfoot
3yo Filly · 8-5 · OR 89
Delaware Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 1m 70y
#8
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: -2.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-05-29 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-04-25 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 8th | −4 |
| 2025-11-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1775% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength85%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 12/10/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 12/11/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 73% | +0.04 |
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 63% | -0.26 |
| 29/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 75% | -0.17 |
| 21/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 26/07/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 05/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |