16
Monetary Monarch
6yo Mare · 8-8 · OR 65
Delaware Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 1m 70y
#16
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-02-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2025-02-06 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-01-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 1713% of fieldRange 5-17 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength33%
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/01/2024 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 22/11/2024 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 13/12/2024 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 12/01/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 06/02/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 27/02/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 08/11/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 21/02/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 14/03/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |