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9

Mrs. Katz

5yo Mare · 8-8 · OR 96

Delaware Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 1m 70y

#13

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 21/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f Fm 11721/02C7C7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 20/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 95 · 1m Fm 119 · below its mark20/03/2026 · OR 95 parC5 @ Tampa Bay Downs 15/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 95 · 1m Fm 122 · beat its mark15/04/2026 · OR 95 par15/04C5OR 95C7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 01/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 94 · 1m Fm 123 · below its mark01/05/2026 · OR 94 parC8 @ Belmont At The Big A 22/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 94 · 1m Fm 123 · below its mark22/05/2026 · OR 94 par22/05C8OR 94C7 @ Monmouth Park 05/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 96 · 1m110y Gd 121 · below its mark05/07/2026 · OR 96 parC6 @ Monmouth Park 18/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 96 · 1m Fm 121 · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 96 par18/07C6OR 96C6 @ Monmouth Park 16/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 93 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark16/08/2026 · OR 93 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 03/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 93 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark03/09/2026 · OR 93 par3/09C8OR 93projClass-projected finish: 14th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Colonial Downs?5th8th−3
2026-08-16Monmouth Park?6th7th−1
2026-07-18Monmouth Park?2nd3rd−1
2026-07-05Monmouth Park?4th6th−2
2026-05-22Belmont At The Big A?4th7th−3
2026-05-01Tampa Bay Downs?4th6th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/021/0518/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 176% of fieldRange 12-17 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -3.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 16th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/02/20264th8/158%73%+0.15
20/03/20263rd7/163%67%+0.04
15/04/20261st8/1397%100%+0.03
01/05/20264th3/184%50%-0.34
22/05/20264th15/261%25%-0.36
05/07/20264th9/153%50%-0.03
18/07/20262nd12/137%88%+0.51
16/08/20266th5/174%17%-0.57
03/09/20265th3/184%56%-0.29