IvyArcIvyArc
2

My Ronda

4yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 83

Delaware Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 1m 70y

#11

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Delaware Park 09/10/2024 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 5f Fm 1199/10C6C6 @ Laurel Park 10/11/2024 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 80 · 5f110y Fm 122 · beat its mark10/11/2024 · OR 80 parC6 @ Turfway Park 12/12/2024 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 84 · 1m Fas 119 · beat its mark12/12/2024 · OR 84 par12/12C6OR 84C6 @ Turfway Park 07/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 84 · 1m Fas 120 · beat its mark07/03/2025 · OR 84 parC6 @ Delaware Park 13/06/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 86 · 1m110y Fm 120 · below its mark13/06/2025 · OR 86 par13/06C6OR 86C7 @ Delaware Park 04/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 89 · 7f110y Gd 118 · beat its mark04/07/2025 · OR 89 parC7 @ Laurel Park 05/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 85 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark05/10/2025 · OR 85 par5/10C7OR 85C7 @ Laurel Park 15/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 90 · 1m110y Fm 124 · below its mark15/11/2025 · OR 90 parC5 @ Delaware Park 28/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 82 · 7f110y Sft 120 · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 82 par28/08C5OR 82projClass-projected finish: 15th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Delaware Park?6th6th0
2025-11-15Laurel Park?6th8th−2
2025-10-05Laurel Park?8th10th−2
2025-07-04Delaware Park?1st3rd−2
2025-06-13Delaware Park?9th10th−1
2025-03-07Turfway Park?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/107/035/1028/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1719% of fieldRange 11-17 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength11%

Delivery trend -9.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 14th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/10/20243rd20/10%71%+0.71
10/11/20243rd15/261%78%+0.17
12/12/20242nd10/147%90%+0.43
07/03/20251st10/382%100%+0.18
13/06/20259th25/10%11%+0.11
04/07/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
05/10/20258th12/137%0%-0.37
15/11/20256th14/126%0%-0.26
28/08/20266th12/137%38%+0.01