Nicky Jolene
5yo Mare · 8-8 · OR 91
Delaware Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 1m 70y
#9
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-07-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-06-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-05-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 44% | -0.24 |
| 18/03/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 03/04/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 29/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 10/06/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 21/07/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |
| 07/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |