IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. churchill-downs
  3. race-3

21:29 · Churchill Downs

Race 2 - Claiming

1mGoing TBC3YO plusTURF11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Top Pick1
OR 89
7/2
Heart Spin silks

Chester Miller

Heart Spin

6yo Mare · 8-10

Hard Spun - Frivolity (Corinthian)

Walter Rodriguez60%0/3Anna Navarrete
448445
6.0Class ↓7

Class Advantage

10/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/10 · mark par10/1023/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/11 · mark par12/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/04 · mark par29/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/04 · mark par21/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par19/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par19/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength71%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 70%10/10Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 22%12/04Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 73%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%21/06Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%19/07
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.8%Ahead 4/4
7
Market Fav3
OR 79
5/2
Derry Girl silks

Sea Warrior Stables Llc

Derry Girl

4yo Filly · 8-10

Honor A. P. - Joyeria (Medaglia D'oro)

Gerardo Corrales60%Dale Romans
262539
4.0Going 10.0

Class Advantage

14/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par14/076/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par23/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/09 · mark par30/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/10 · mark par21/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par8/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par8/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 88%14/07Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 44%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%23/09Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 78%21/06Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 20%8/08
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.8%Ahead 1/4
5
5
OR 86
9/2
Easter Promise silks

Holland, Tim, Holland, Kellie And Bush, Norman Lee

Easter Promise

3yo Filly · 8-6

Tacitus - Ooh La La Cool (Uncle Mo)

Rafael Bejarano60%0/1Brian Michael
014837
4.0

Class Advantage

24/10 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/10 · mark par24/1013/12 · C9 · finish vs mark above13/12 · mark par6/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/02 · mark par21/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/02 · mark par22/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par22/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength72%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 18%24/10Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%6/02Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 60%22/07Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%22/08
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.7%Ahead 4/4
9
Value2
OR 75
10/1
Breaking Hearts silks

Southwest Racing Stables, Inc And Wargel, William J

Breaking Hearts

3yo Filly · 8-6

More Than Ready - A Change Of Heart (Unbridled's Song)

Edgar Morales60%Genaro Garcia
695139
5.0

Class Advantage

8/11 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/1113/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/02 · mark par8/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/03 · mark par30/04 · C9 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par23/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par14/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par14/06projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%8/11Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 33%8/03Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 60%23/05Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 11%14/06
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.6%Ahead 3/4
10
7
OR 86
5/1
Sussudio silks

Owlcatraz Racing Stable, Bottle Rocket Stable And Hiles, Jeff A

Sussudio

3yo Filly · 8-6

Blame - Charm City Girl (Pioneerof The Nile)

Jaime Torres60%0/1Jeff Hiles
156726
4.0

Class Advantage

19/03 · C9 · finish vs mark above19/03 · mark par19/0329/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/04 · mark par23/05 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par14/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par6/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par9/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%19/03Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 29%23/05Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 88%6/07Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%9/09
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +45.9%Ahead 4/4
8
6
OR 82
6/1
Cool American silks

Low, Lawana L And Robert E

Cool American

3yo Filly · 8-6

Independence Hall - Tizcool (Tiznow)

D E Sheehy1/5Michelle Lovell60%
41678
3.0

Class Advantage

27/02 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a27/0228/03 · C9 · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par8/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par23/05 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par21/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par21/06projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 25%27/02Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%28/03Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 44%8/05Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 14%23/05Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 22%21/06
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.9%Ahead 3/4
1
4
OR 81
15/1
Galatina silks

Osb Stables, Llc

Galatina

4yo Filly · 8-10

Vino Rosso - Torcida (Pleasant Tap)

Gabriel Saez0/2James Baker
541234
7.0

Class Advantage

13/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/03 · mark par13/0311/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below11/04 · mark par22/05 · C9 · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par31/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par6/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par17/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par17/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%13/03Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%22/05Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 75%6/07Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 25%17/08
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 9-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.8%Ahead 2/4
4
8
OR 67
20/1
Dreamwifedreamlife silks

Jerry Jamgotchian

Dreamwifedreamlife

5yo Mare · 8-10

Constitution - La Belle (Dixie Union)

Luan Machado60%Eric Reed
633183
5.0

Class Advantage

12/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/02 · mark par12/0227/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/03 · mark par24/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par15/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par24/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par24/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 17%12/02Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 75%24/04Pos 1 · SP 2/7 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 2/7 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%27/07Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%24/08
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.4%Ahead 1/4
2
10
OR 60
20/1
Love Knicks Hart silks

Double B Racing Stables

Love Knicks Hart

3yo Filly · 8-6

Knicks Go - Love For Scarlett (Not For Love)

Adam BeschizzaWayne Catalano60%
00217
4.0

Class Advantage

23/10 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/1013/11 · C9 · finish vs mark below13/11 · mark par18/12 · C9 · finish vs mark above18/12 · mark par16/01 · C9 · finish vs mark above16/01 · mark par11/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/03 · mark par11/03projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 9%23/10Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 10%13/11Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 91%18/12Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%16/01Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 14%11/03
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength15%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.2%Ahead 2/4
11
9
OR 67
30/1
Tiz Wine Time silks

Panic Stable LLC

Tiz Wine Time

3yo Filly · 8-6

Vekoma - Tiz Elusive (Tiznow)

Jaime Torres60%Anthony Granitz60%
1696
4.0

Class Advantage

30/10 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/1013/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/11 · mark par13/1121/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/05 · mark par21/0510/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par10/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength81%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%30/10Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 55%13/11Pos 9 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 9 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 11%21/05Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 17%10/07
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.9%Ahead 2/4
3
11
OR 60
30/1
Kaybella silks

Fleur De Lis Stables, T And T Racing, Llc And Southern Springs Stables (ron Moquett)

Kaybella

3yo Filly · 8-6

Cairo Prince - Magdalena Bay (Distorted Humor)

Ben CurtisR Moquett
9167
2.0

Class Advantage

9/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/04
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength18%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%9/04
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 7-12 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -52.6%Ahead 0/1