23:28 · Churchill Downs

Race 6 - Maiden Claiming

1m 110y3YO plusDIRT10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Market Fav2
OR 66
3/1
Throttle silks

Three Chimneys Farm

3yo Colt · 8-8

Street Sense - Princesinha Julia (Pioneerof The Nile)

Florent Geroux60%B Cox80%
803
4.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

4/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/072/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par2/0820/12 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/12 · mark par20/12projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move3
Strength84%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 30%4/07Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%2/08Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 67%20/12
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.5%Ahead 1/3
2
Top Pick1
OR 76
8/1
Private Show silks

Steven Asmussen

4yo Gelding · 8-12

Street Sense - Fashion Babe (Curlin)

Keith Asmussen60%0/1Steven Asmussen
574322
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

24/11 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/1123/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below23/10 · mark par19/02 · C9 · finish vs mark below19/02 · mark par25/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par24/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par12/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par12/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 33%24/11Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 57%19/02Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 89%24/05Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 86%12/07
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.6%Ahead 1/4
1
5
OR 79
9/2
Max Is Him silks

Albaugh Family Stables Llc

3yo Colt · 8-8

Mckinzie - Viva Sheila (Tiznow)

Gerardo Corrales60%0/1Dale Romans
043
4.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

31/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a31/0521/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par21/061/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par1/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move2
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%31/05Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 70%21/06Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 71%1/08
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +38.4%Ahead 2/3
5
6
OR 84
8/1
Money Man silks

Everest Stables, Inc

4yo Gelding · 8-12

Dialed In - Oro Blanco (Hold For Gold)

Cristian Torres60%0/1Destin Heath
578336
5.0

Class Advantage

22/10 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/10 · mark par22/1020/11 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/11 · mark par22/01 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/01 · mark par19/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par30/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par27/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par27/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move3
Strength89%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 45%22/10Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 22%22/01Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 71%30/05Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 44%27/06
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +39.2%Ahead 3/4
9
7
OR 80
7/2
Macchiato silks

Winchell Thoroughbreds LLC

3yo Colt · 8-8

Gun Runner - Margaux Mania (Uncle Mo)

Jose Ortiz60%0/1Steven Asmussen
57
4.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

1/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/0621/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move3
Strength78%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 33%1/06Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 25%21/08
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength88%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -20.8%Ahead 0/2
8
4
OR 86
6/1
Ingleborough silks

DAVID LAMBERT

4yo Gelding · 8-12

Instagrand - Last Kiss (Elusive Quality)

Luan Machado60%0/1Dale Romans
5385
4.0

Class Advantage

26/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/032/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par2/0517/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par17/061/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par1/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move3
Strength78%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 64%26/03Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 71%2/05Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 22%17/06Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 43%1/08
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength33%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.3%Ahead 1/4
10
3
OR 77
20/1
Meanstepper silks

Louis Cella

3yo Colt · 8-8

Nyquist - O Seraphina (Congrats)

Luis Saez60%0/1R Moquett
972673
4.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

16/10 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/1013/12 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/12 · mark par27/12 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/12 · mark par3/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par21/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par31/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength63%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 20%16/10Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 89%27/12Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 40%21/06Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 67%31/07
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength15%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.7%Ahead 3/4
3
8
OR 92
12/1
Candy Constitution silks

Legacy Ranch, Inc

3yo Gelding · 8-8

Candy Ride - Irish Constitution (Constitution)

Tyler GaffalioneWilliam Morey
6
2.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

20/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/08
Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength35%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 29%20/08
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 4-9 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.8%Ahead 1/1
4
10
OR 92
20/1
Hey Dey silks

Maccabee Farm Llc

3yo Colt · 8-8

Liam's Map - Pelipa (Indian Charlie)

Brian Jr Hernandez60%Jr Thomas Drury,
54308
3.0

Class Advantage

8/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/021/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/03 · mark par21/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/03 · mark par9/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par21/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par21/06projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength72%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 56%8/02Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 63%1/03Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 75%21/03Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 18%9/05Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 36%21/06
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +32.2%Ahead 4/4
7
9
OR 85
15/1
Bridgesong silks

Rigney Racing Llc

3yo Gelding · 8-8

Midshipman - Villa Savoye (Medaglia D'oro)

Gabriel Saez0/3Philip Bauer
800747
3.0

Class Advantage

28/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par28/031/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par6/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par27/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par14/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par6/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par6/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move3
Strength77%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 8 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 0%28/03Pos 12 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 12 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 9%6/06Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%14/07Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 45%6/08
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.0%Ahead 3/4