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17:11 · Fort Erie

Race 3 - Claiming

5fFirm3YO plusTURF6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
2
OR 76
11/4
Very Debonaire silks

Bruno Schickedanz

Very Debonaire

7yo Gelding · 8-10

Signature Red - Italian Beauty (Sardegna)

Steve Jadoo60%1/2Julie Mathes
594117
6.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

20/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/11 · mark par20/1124/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/03 · mark par13/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/04 · mark par21/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par17/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength70%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 33%Dist: 5f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%20/11Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 57%13/04Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%17/08Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%7/09
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +52.9%Ahead 4/4
6
Top Pick1
OR 71
15/2
Heavylikeachevy silks

David Mathes

Heavylikeachevy

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Signature Red - Bear's Pearl (Seeking The Dia)

Xarel Forde60%1/1Julie Mathes
716171
8.0Going 7.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

24/05 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a24/0531/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par21/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par21/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par18/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par30/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 50%Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 88%24/05Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 17%21/06Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 0%18/08Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%30/08
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.5%Ahead 2/4
1
Market Fav4
OR 79
5/2
Harper City silks

Maureen Hewitt-Topp

Harper City

6yo Gelding · 8-10

Temple City - Tequilamockingbird (Bold Executive)

Sofia Vives60%Allen Desruisseaux
341624
6.0

Class Advantage

7/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/11 · mark par7/1121/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/11 · mark par31/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par31/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par15/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par6/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: FirmDist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 38%7/11Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%31/05Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 89%15/08Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%6/09
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength88%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.8%Ahead 2/4
3
3
OR 77
8/1
Forest Flash silks

Voyce, Jeff, McGirr, Jr , Herbert And Athoe, Greg

Forest Flash

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Souper Speedy - Forest Love (Old Forester)

Ismael Mosqueira60%1/2Jeff Voyce70%
415214
7.0Class ↓3
Blinkers

Class Advantage

21/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par21/0612/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par20/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par10/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par31/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par14/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: FirmDist: 5f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 25%21/06Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 20%20/07Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%31/08Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 40%14/09
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -26.6%Ahead 1/4
2
5
OR 74
11/4
Fifty B M G silks

Scott Simmons

Fifty B M G

5yo Gelding · 8-12

Speightster - Mazucambera (Milwaukee Brew)

Kirk Johnson60%0/2Valerie Thompson60%
44563D
5.0Going 7.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

26/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/04 · mark par26/0424/05 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par19/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par21/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/07 · mark par17/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par14/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 17%Dist: 5f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 25%26/04Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 20%19/06Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 71%17/08Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%14/09
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -40.9%Ahead 0/4
4
6
OR 67
15/2
Wet And Wild silks

Louie Capi

Wet And Wild

6yo Gelding · 8-10

Gormley - Silent Sinner (Silent Name)

Edgar Zenteno60%1/8Louis Capi60%
183657
5.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

9/05 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par9/0531/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par6/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par3/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par17/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par6/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 17%Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 17%9/05Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 67%6/07Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 43%17/08Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%6/09
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.1%Ahead 3/4