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18:50 · Thistledown

Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming

6f3YO plusDIRT6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
2
OR 83
5/2
Belle Bottoms silks

Rivera Racing Stables Llc

Belle Bottoms

4yo Filly · 8-9

Tapiture - Bellamy Brooke (Bellamy Road)

Fernando Becerra Salazar60%1/6Nestor Rivera60%
143212
8.0Going 8.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

22/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/04 · mark par22/0411/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par22/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par13/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par4/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength55%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%22/04Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 50%22/06Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%4/08Pos 2 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 67%2/09
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.4%Ahead 2/4
5
Market Fav3
OR 79
2/1
Austrian Navy silks

Gene Burkholder

Austrian Navy

8yo Mare · 8-11

Midshipman - Princess Lianna (American Chance)

Luis Gonzalez70%10/17Kim Puhl60%
211621
8.0

Class Advantage

18/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/05 · mark par18/052/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par30/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par14/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par5/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 75%18/05Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%30/06Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%5/08Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%2/09
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.6%Ahead 2/4
3
5
OR 76
6/1
Unchained Spirit silks

Lion Palm Racing Stable

Unchained Spirit

3yo Filly · 8-5

Promises Fulfilled - Tiz Cecile (Tiznow)

Jason Simpson60%1/8Ricardo Bailey60%
735113
7.0

Class Advantage

20/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par20/0523/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par6/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par27/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par8/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength58%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%20/05Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 20%6/07Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%8/08Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 33%2/09
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength99%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.9%Ahead 3/4
1
Top Pick1
OR 94
5/1
The Sweaty Fox silks

Danielle Agnello

The Sweaty Fox

7yo Mare · 8-7

Bal A Bali - Conquest Razor (Lonhro)

Jefferson Skerrett60%−5lbJeffrey Skerrett60%
535115
7.0Class ↓1Going 7.0

Class Advantage

25/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/11 · mark par25/1110/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/12 · mark par26/02 · C6 · finish vs mark below26/02 · mark par20/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par11/06 · C7 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par24/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below24/06 · mark par24/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%25/11Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%26/02Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%11/06Pos 5 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 5 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 0%24/06
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -23.2%Ahead 2/4
4
4
OR 92
7/2
One Smokin' Rita silks

Rivera Racing Stables Llc

One Smokin' Rita

6yo Mare · 8-7

Smokem - Clara's Dream (Drosselmeyer)

Alexander Chavez60%6/14Nestor Rivera60%
511227
5.0Going 7.0

Class Advantage

9/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below9/04 · mark par9/0420/04 · C7 · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par6/05 · C7 · finish vs mark above6/05 · mark par30/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/06 · mark par15/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below15/07 · mark par27/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 20%9/04Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%6/05Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 67%15/07Pos 7 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 7 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 0%27/08
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -31.7%Ahead 1/4
6
6
OR 76
8/1
Dance My Way silks

James Lauderdale

Dance My Way

7yo Mare · 8-7

Mr Speaker - Pleasant Dance (Any Given Saturday)

Rocco Bowen60%0/5Kim Puhl60%
810644
4.0

Class Advantage

14/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/12 · mark par14/122/01 · C8 · finish vs mark above2/01 · mark par8/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/02 · mark par8/03 · C7 · finish vs mark below8/03 · mark par21/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/04 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 30%14/12Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 9%8/02Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 25%21/04Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%2/09
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength32%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -23.8%Ahead 2/4