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19:20 · Thistledown

Race 6 - Claiming

6f3YO plusDIRT6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 51
5/2
Charisma In Motion silks

Candace Huffman

Charisma In Motion

3yo Filly · 8-7

Runhappy - Blitz And Glamour (Awesome Again)

Mauro Cedillo60%1/3Candace Huffman60%
00213
7.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

28/12 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a28/1217/01 · C9 · finish vs mark above17/01 · mark par30/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par25/08 · C9 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par8/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 12 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%28/12Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 9%17/01Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 80%30/07Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%25/08Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 60%8/09
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.2%Ahead 3/4
5
Market Fav4
OR 64
9/5
Power Party silks

Orv Racing Stables, Llc

Power Party

4yo Filly · 8-7

Higher Power - Oasis Party (Desert Party)

Luis Batista60%0/4Oscar Romero
336432
6.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

25/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/10 · mark par25/102/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par27/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par12/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/08 · mark par1/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/09 · mark par8/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 60%25/10Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 29%27/07Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 60%1/09Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 80%8/09
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.0%Ahead 3/4
6
Value2
OR 51
5/1
Proud Words silks

Ruocco Family Racing Enterprise, Llc

Proud Words

4yo Filly · 8-11

Thousand Words - Free And Proud (Algorithms)

Chelsey Keiser60%1/1Richard Zielinski
255661
6.0Going 7.0

Class Advantage

13/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/03 · mark par13/0310/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/04 · mark par30/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par17/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par25/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below25/08 · mark par10/09 · C9 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength55%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 75%13/03Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%30/04Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 6 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 6 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 29%25/08Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%10/09
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -20.3%Ahead 1/4
4
3
OR 59
3/1
Yalorde silks

Rey Juarez-mendoza

Yalorde

3yo Filly · 8-3

Frosted - Driver's Girl (Candy Ride)

Fernando Becerra Salazar60%Rey Mendoza
661234
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

20/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below20/05 · mark par20/059/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par25/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par30/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par12/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par8/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%20/05Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%25/06Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 60%12/08Pos 4 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 4 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 40%8/09
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.3%Ahead 2/4
3
5
OR 54
8/1
Red Delicious silks

Johanson Serrano

Red Delicious

6yo Mare · 8-7

Belomor - Sunrise Forever (Sun King)

Angel Diaz60%0/1Johanson Serrano
373255
4.0

Class Advantage

7/01 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/01 · mark par7/011/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above1/04 · mark par29/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/09 · mark par19/03 · C8 · finish vs mark above19/03 · mark par6/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above6/04 · mark par14/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 38%7/01Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%29/09Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%6/04Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 43%14/09
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.9%Ahead 2/4
2
6
OR 42
10/1
Hero Queen silks

Joe Liss

Hero Queen

5yo Mare · 8-7

Hero Of Order - Made Of Fire (Monarchos)

Jason Simpson60%1/5Lori Smith
243176
4.0

Class Advantage

7/01 · C9 · finish vs mark above7/01 · mark par7/015/02 · C9 · finish vs mark above5/02 · mark par23/02 · C9 · finish vs mark above23/02 · mark par7/04 · C9 · finish vs mark above7/04 · mark par30/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par8/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 88%7/01Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%23/02Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%30/07Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%8/09
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength32%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.1%Ahead 2/4