IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. brighton
  3. race-4

14:15 · Brighton

Bet 20 Pound Get 40 Pound In Free Bets At matchbook.com Handicap

7f 216yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 70
5/2
Danehill Star silks

The Rebelle Boys

Danehill Star

5yo Gelding · 9-9

Ten Sovereigns - Rockshine (Fastnet Rock)

Rossa Ryan70%0/1A W Carroll70%
323511
9.0Going 8.0
Blinkers

Multiple all-weather winner. Showed a good attitude when opening his turf account at the fifteenth time of asking over C&D and followed up in 10-runner handicap at Bath (1m, good to soft) 15 days ago. Hiked up 8 lb but not taken lightly in his hat-trick bid.

Class Advantage

21/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par21/064/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par20/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par6/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par23/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par13/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 216y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 75%21/06Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 80%20/07Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%23/08Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%13/09
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.7%Ahead 3/4
2
3
OR 72
3/1
Newfangled silks

Berkeley Racing

Newfangled

5yo Gelding · 9-11

New Bay - Dangle (Desert Style)

Rob Hornby2/19J G Portman70%
364643
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓2
Cheek pieces

Took this contest in 2025. Also scored at Wolverhampton (9.5f) in April and right back on track of late when in the frame in 1m handicaps at Wolverhampton again and at Windsor. Can go very well off an unchanged mark.

Class Advantage

25/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par25/0510/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par13/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par5/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par7/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par14/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength66%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 216y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 78%25/05Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 29%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 57%13/07Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 73%7/09Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 82%14/09
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.7%Ahead 2/4
1
2
OR 75
10/1
Marsh Benham silks

The Red House Racing Club

Marsh Benham

7yo Gelding · 10-0

Galileo Gold - Zelie Martin (Invincible Spirit)

P Cosgrave60%2/14George Baker60%
216417
6.0

Temperamental sort but he doubled his tally for the season at Epsom (8.5f) in September. Not at his best under a penalty when seventh of 12 in handicap at Windsor (1m, good) 14 days ago. Bounce back is needed.

Class Advantage

30/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par30/0623/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par21/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par23/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par10/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par14/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 216y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 83%30/06Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 17%21/08Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%10/09Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 45%14/09
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength22%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -24.9%Ahead 1/4
9
4
OR 67
14/1
Darvel silks

The Foxford House Partnership

Darvel

8yo Gelding · 9-6

Dark Angel - Anthem Alexander (Starspangledbanner)

David Probert70%1/8P R Chamings60%
002345
5.0Class ↓3
Blinkers

C&D winner. Yet to score this term but in good form until only fifth of 7 in handicap at Salisbury (1m, good to soft) last month. Needs to get back on track.

Class Advantage

27/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/05 · mark par27/0514/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par21/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par9/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par24/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par21/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 216y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 31%27/05Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 80%21/06Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 40%24/07Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 33%21/08
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength22%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.6%Ahead 2/4
6
5
OR 69
11/2
Gone Rogue silks

Palace Racing

Gone Rogue

5yo Gelding · 9-8

Gustav Klimt - Assault On Rome (Holy Roman Emperor)

T P Queally60%3/9G & J Moore60%
561416
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Gained a third victory here over C&D in August. Left poorly placed when sixth of 7 in handicap at Goodwood (9f, good) last time so not out of things.

Class Advantage

15/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par15/059/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par7/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par23/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par6/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 216y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%15/05Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 55%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%7/07Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 73%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%6/08Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 17%28/08
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.3%Ahead 2/4
8
10
OR 71
9/2
Hamda's Joy silks

Mr Khalifa Dasmal

Hamda's Joy

3yo Filly · 9-6

Kodi Bear - Lost Control (Helmet)

Jack Callan0/1Tom Clover
332342
6.0

In the frame again and advanced her form when second of 6 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 27 days ago. Very much one to consider off the same mark.

Class Advantage

4/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a4/1017/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a20/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par5/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par1/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 216y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 75%4/10Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 86%20/05Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 25%15/08Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 80%1/09
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.7%Ahead 2/4
3
8
OR 71
12/1
Dion Baker silks

Carl Appleton & Peter Edwards

Dion Baker

7yo Gelding · 9-10

Ribchester - Tiga Tuan (Le Havre)

Darragh Keenan60%8/20M Wigham70%
138294
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Front runner who enjoyed an excellent spell this summer, winning 5 times with 3 of those victories coming here. Rare below-par effort when fourth of 6 in handicap here (7f, good) 27 days ago but no surprise to see him bounce back.

Class Advantage

7/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par7/0715/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par31/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par6/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par23/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par1/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength67%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 216y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%7/07Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 13%31/07Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 9 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 9 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 47%23/08Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 40%1/09
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength15%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.8%Ahead 2/4
7
6
OR 72
14/1
Alterity silks

Miss K Rausing

Alterity

3yo Filly · 9-7

Bobby's Kitten - Alta Moda (Sadler's Wells)

Cieren Fallon70%C Johnston60%
53316
6.0Class ↓3Going 7.0

Gained a first win in 1m Ripon maiden in July. Unable to dominate stronger opposition on handicap bow at Doncaster (1¼m) since and more is required here.

Class Advantage

19/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/0727/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a6/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par23/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/07 · mark par23/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength67%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 216y · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 56%19/07Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%27/05Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 60%23/06Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%6/07Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%23/07
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 9-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.8%Ahead 1/4
5
7
OR 73
33/1
On The Inlet silks

Chris Stedman And Ballylinch Stud

On The Inlet

3yo Gelding · 9-8

New Bay - Sound Of Guns (Acclamation)

K Shoemark60%Dr R Newland60%
105330
3.0Class ↓3

Bagged a pair of 7f/1m all-weather handicaps in the spring. Below that form since though, going too freely at Salisbury and Doncaster on last 2 occasions. Drops back in trip now.

Class Advantage

9/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/04 · mark par9/0417/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/04 · mark par27/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/05 · mark par17/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par13/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par11/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 216y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 2/9 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 2/9 | Actual: 100%9/04Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 23%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 67%27/05Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%13/08Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 25%11/09
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength7%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.4%Ahead 3/4
10
9
OR 67
100/1
Pints In Peace silks

M Robinson, W Trenchard, Mrs R L Fiel

Pints In Peace

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Bated Breath - Pinpointed (Pivotal)

Finley Marsh70%0/2J & S Best60%
107656
3.0

Won twice over 7f at Wolverhampton in the spring for Ivan Furtado. However, he hasn't fired since then, including both runs for his new stable on all-weather at Lingfield and Kempton.

Class Advantage

8/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par8/0523/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par12/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par4/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par11/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par9/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength48%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 216y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%8/05Pos 15 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 26%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%12/06Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 33%11/08Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%9/09
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength12%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.6%Ahead 1/4