15:45 · Yarmouth

White Swan Fishermans Fortune Handicap

7f 3yGoodClass 63YO plusTURFHandicap13 runners
Ordered by projected finish
10
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 59
4/1
Pickering Castle silks

Mr A M Pickering

4yo Gelding · 9-8

Cityscape - Primrose Valley (Pastoral Pursuits)

Jack Dace70%0/1−5lbD M Simcock
887761
6.0Going 7.0

Had lost his way over the winter but he stepped up on his return from 5 months off when finally off the mark over C&D 18 days ago, taking advantage of his reduced mark on a rare outing on turf. Remains potentially well treated up 3 lb.

Class Advantage

4/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/11 · mark par4/1125/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/11 · mark par13/01 · C6 · finish vs mark below13/01 · mark par8/02 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/02 · mark par13/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par30/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength49%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: GoodDist: 7f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%4/11Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 25%13/01Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 44%13/07Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%30/08
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.5%Ahead 3/4
5
3
OR 62
11/2
Hint Of The Jungle silks

Ms Denise Tibbett

5yo Gelding · 9-11

Bungle Inthejungle - Hint Of Red (Fast Company)

K Shoemark60%M Murphy60%
152221
8.0
1st Hood +1Tongue strap

Scored twice on the all-weather in February and has continued in good form since, showing a gutsy attitude to resume winning ways at Chepstow in June. Can go well again back from a break.

Class Advantage

21/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/02 · mark par21/028/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/04 · mark par28/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/04 · mark par6/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/05 · mark par3/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par15/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 33%Dist: 7f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%21/02Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 91%28/04Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 90%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 88%3/06Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%15/06
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength84%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.5%Ahead 4/4
11
4
OR 58
8/1
Currahee silks

J Sarkar, D Sarkar, O Sarkar & D Sarka

4yo Gelding · 9-7

Mehmas - Never Shy Away (Zoffany)

Billy Loughnane80%S C Williams90%
896447
4.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

A dual 7f winner last summer. Looked back on track when fourth at Newmarket but latest run at Wolverhampton suggests otherwise.

Class Advantage

9/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/0919/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par10/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par31/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par14/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par26/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 33%Dist: 7f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 22%9/09Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 47%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 29%10/07Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 73%14/08Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 14%26/08
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.1%Ahead 3/4
1
7
OR 65
7/1
Emery Down silks

Jolly Folly Syndicate

4yo Filly · 10-0

Cityscape - Marilyn (Sixties Icon)

P Cosgrave60%1/1J Ryan60%
442615
6.0Class ↓4
Cheek pieces

Finally opened her account in handicaps when winning comfortably at Chepstow last month, looking suited by soft going. Backed that up under similar conditions when fourth from a wide draw at Chester since so needs considering if the rain arrives.

Class Advantage

20/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par20/058/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par6/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par30/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par11/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength82%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 33%Dist: 7f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 67%20/05Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 63%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 90%6/07Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 55%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%29/08Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 67%11/09
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength81%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.6%Ahead 3/4
2
5
OR 64
6/1
Split Elevens silks

Mr Dave James

8yo Gelding · 9-13

Ajaya - Woodland Scene (Act One)

D Egan60%0/1J Butler
541241
7.0

Veteran who has done most of his winning on the all-weather, including at Lingfield 5 weeks ago. However, he has yet to win off a mark this high so looks vulnerable back on turf.

Class Advantage

10/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/04 · mark par10/0428/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/04 · mark par8/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par4/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par28/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par13/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par13/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: GoodDist: 7f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 64%10/04Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%8/05Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 91%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 63%28/06Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%13/08
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.4%Ahead 3/4
4
6
OR 65
12/1
Wise Crack silks

Mr Jon A Thompson

3yo Gelding · 9-11

Blue Point - Veiled Intrigue (Pastoral Pursuits)

Tom Marquand70%Mrs R Carr
568144
5.0Class ↓4

Perked up with the application of headgear on his most recent starts, off the mark at Catterick before backing that up when fourth at Ayr. Not disgraced returned to the all-weather since, but headgear left off this time.

Class Advantage

16/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par16/055/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par25/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par22/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par10/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par31/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength76%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 17%Dist: 7f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 43%16/05Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 42%25/06Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 67%10/08Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 63%31/08
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.7%Ahead 3/4
6
2
OR 62
14/1
Noble Guest silks

John Guest Racing

4yo Gelding · 9-11

Mohaather - Maid For Winning (Gone West)

Oisin Murphy80%G G Margarson
563748
4.0Class ↓4

Dual C&D winner (regular here) off higher marks last season. Has struggled this campaign but yard is finding some form and booking of Oisin Murphy catches the eye.

Class Advantage

13/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/05 · mark par13/0520/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par19/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par5/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par28/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par30/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 12th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength70%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 33%Dist: 7f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 33%13/05Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 75%19/06Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 25%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 63%28/07Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 13%30/08
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 10-13 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.0%Ahead 1/4
9
8
OR 63
10/1
Viking Glory silks

Mr J Owen

3yo Gelding · 9-9

Cotai Glory - Earth Goddess (Invincible Spirit)

Rossa Ryan70%James Owen60%
070317
5.0Class ↓3
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Struggled at sprint distances but found 7f much more to his liking when off the mark in first-time cheekpieces at Brighton. A steadily-run 1m didn't suit as well at Kempton last week but this test should be more to his liking.

Class Advantage

4/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/05 · mark par4/0518/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/05 · mark par15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/06 · mark par15/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par5/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength52%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 17%Dist: 7f 3y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 12 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 8%4/05Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 10 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 10 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%15/06Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%5/08Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 54%9/09
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.7%Ahead 2/4
8
12
OR 64
33/1
Anton Mauve silks

Mr Kevin Frost

3yo Gelding · 9-10

Pinatubo - Fast Lily (Fastnet Rock)

J Mitchell60%K Frost
890
2.0

Well held in novices for Kevin Philippart de Foy (sold for 3,000gns in July).

Class Advantage

17/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/0430/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/0415/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/05projClass-projected finish: 9th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength70%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 33%Dist: 7f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 13%17/04Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 38%30/04Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 36%15/05
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.9%Ahead 2/3
3
9
OR 64
12/1
Middleton View silks

Mr Glenn Thompson And Partner

4yo Gelding · 9-13

Bated Breath - Tested (Selkirk)

S M Levey70%0/2S C Williams90%
957945
4.0Class ↓3
1st Hood +1Tongue strap

Off the mark in a first-time tongue strap in a classified event at Chelmsford on debut for this yard in December. However, just the one decent effort back in handicaps this year, running poorly at Brighton when last seen in June.

Class Advantage

11/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/01 · mark par11/0126/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/02 · mark par9/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/03 · mark par1/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/04 · mark par20/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par22/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/06 · mark par22/06projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength82%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 17%Dist: 7f 3y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 9 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 11%11/01Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%9/03Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 67%20/05Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%22/06
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 2-13 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.5%Ahead 1/4
12
10
OR 46
10/1
Bizarre Law silks

Sitting On Fence Racing Club

7yo Gelding · 8-9

Lawman - Bizzarria (Lemon Drop Kid)

Edward Greatrex60%M Herrington60%
170486
3.0Class ↓4
Cheek pieces

Won at Doncaster in May. Below form since, though latest sixth at Newcastle was at least a step back in the right direction and he's back on his last winning mark.

Class Advantage

16/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par16/056/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par14/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par8/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par26/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par3/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 13
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 17%Dist: 7f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%16/05Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 10 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 10 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 47%14/06Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 40%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 42%26/08Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 58%3/09
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength17%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.7%Ahead 0/4
7
11
OR 62
14/1
Portman Blue silks

Team Lodge Racing

4yo Gelding · 9-11

Sergei Prokofiev - Oh Happy Days (Galileo)

Ray DawsonJ Parr
486667
2.0
Tongue strap

Maiden who often gives his running but probably needs further respite from the handicapper.

Class Advantage

21/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/03 · mark par21/0330/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/04 · mark par5/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par23/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par30/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: GoodDist: 7f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 63%21/03Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 38%5/07Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 58%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 50%30/07Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 54%31/08
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 5-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.3%Ahead 2/4
13
13
OR 46
33/1
Victorian Rose silks

Moir & Murphy

3yo Filly · 8-6

Victor Ludorum - Rosy Blush (Youmzain)

J F EganM Murphy
800
2.0

Tailed off on all 3 of her starts.

Class Advantage

20/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/0510/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/065/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/07projClass-projected finish: 13th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength26%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: GoodDist: 7f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%20/05Pos 11 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 0%10/06Pos 12 · SP 500/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 500/1 | Actual: 0%5/07
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.0%Ahead 0/3