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18:07 · Fort Erie

Race 5 - Allowance

6f 110y3YO plusDIRT7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Top Pick1
OR 62
8/1
Speedy Lady silks

Six Brothers Stable

Speedy Lady

4yo Filly · 8-10

Souper Speedy - Tree Pose (Old Forester)

Luis Contreras60%0/1Ken Albu60%
162664
5.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

25/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par25/089/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par21/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par6/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par20/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par17/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par17/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%25/08Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 75%21/06Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 29%20/07Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%17/08
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.6%Ahead 3/4
4
Market Fav3
OR 70
13/8
Leziate silks

Newsam, Dwayne Anderson And Ryan, Lisa Jean

Leziate

4yo Filly · 8-10

Without Parole - Tapiceria (Tapizar)

Sofia Vives60%0/2Desmond Maynard
445225
5.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

21/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par21/066/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par20/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par3/08 · C7 · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par17/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 25%21/06Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 57%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 33%20/07Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%17/08Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%7/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.3%Ahead 2/4
5
Value2
OR 52
20/1
Noble Bodan silks

Colebrook Farms

Noble Bodan

4yo Filly · 8-10

Laoban - Noble Freud (Freud)

Leo Salles60%Patrick Dixon60%
571551
6.0

Class Advantage

21/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par21/086/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par22/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/09 · mark par21/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par20/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par31/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength5%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%21/08Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%22/09Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%20/07Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%31/08
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.5%Ahead 2/4
1
5
OR 75
2/1
Orient Beach silks

Henley Thoroughbreds Ltd

Orient Beach

4yo Filly · 8-10

Omaha Beach - Travieza (Into Mischief)

Da Sean Gaskin60%0/1Kevin Buttigieg
275433
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

5/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/02 · mark par5/0227/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/02 · mark par23/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par18/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/06 · mark par23/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below23/07 · mark par18/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par18/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 89%5/02Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%23/05Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 60%23/07Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 71%18/08
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -32.1%Ahead 0/4
7
6
OR 71
9/2
Firecracker Fiona silks

Norris, Carl And Brown, Todd C

Firecracker Fiona

5yo Mare · 8-10

Flameaway - Island Fever (Discreetly Mine)

Jeffrey Alderson60%Michaela Neubauer
254226
5.0

Class Advantage

15/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/11 · mark par15/1129/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/11 · mark par21/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par6/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par20/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par10/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par10/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength9%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 83%15/11Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 25%21/06Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 86%20/07Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%10/08
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength81%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.7%Ahead 2/4
2
4
OR 57
9/1
Sultry Sophie silks

Zig Grinsteins

Sultry Sophie

4yo Filly · 8-10

Army Mule - Roust 'em Bertie (Bertrando)

Pierre Mailhot60%1/2C Rabstein60%
663831
6.0

Class Advantage

25/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par25/0415/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par31/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par5/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/07 · mark par20/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par17/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par17/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength5%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%25/04Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 50%31/05Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%20/07Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%17/08
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength22%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.8%Ahead 1/4
3
7
OR 67
14/1
Midnite Sadie silks

Zig Grinsteins

Midnite Sadie

3yo Filly · 8-8

Midnight Lute - Seductionist (Midshipman)

Emile RamsammyC Rabstein60%
265116
4.0

Class Advantage

12/12 · C7 · finish vs mark n/a12/129/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par29/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below29/05 · mark par25/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par19/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par30/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 80%12/12Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 43%29/05Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%19/07Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%30/08
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.7%Ahead 2/4