13:30 · Durbanville

Join The Passion Apprentice Class 5

6f 47yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURF7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Top Pick1
OR 72
3/1
Shifting Path silks

Dare 2 Dream Racing Syndicate (nom: Piet Botha)

7yo Gelding · 8-6

Pathfork - Xilomante (Special Nash)

Dezahn Louw60%0/1Piet Botha
564333
7.0Class ↓1

C&D winner. Twenty seven runs since last win in 2024. Third of 6 in handicap at this C&D (good, 6/1) 32 days ago.

Class Advantage

18/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/04 · mark par18/0419/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par16/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par18/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par5/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par22/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength62%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 47y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 43%18/04Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 55%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 63%16/06Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 71%5/08Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 60%22/08
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.4%Ahead 2/4
7
2
7/2
Ulez Camera silks

Mr L Forrest

3yo Colt · 9-3

Erik The Red - High Dudgeon (Judpot)

Damyan Pillay60%Patrick Kruyer60%
1
10.0

1 win from 1 run this year. 40/1, won 11-runner maiden at Kenilworth (6.2f, good to soft) 42 days ago.

Class Advantage

12/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/08
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 47y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 100%12/08
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +100.0%Ahead 1/1
6
Market Fav3
11/4
Final Call silks

Mrs Vanashree & Mr Anant Singh & Team Valor Intern

4yo Filly · 9-12

What A Winter - Furina (Parade Leader)

Sifisokuhle Bungane60%1/3−6lbCandice Bass60%
432012
8.0Going 8.0Class ↓1
Blinkers

C&D winner. Latest win here in July. 8/1, good second of 7 in handicap at this C&D (good) 32 days ago. Merits consideration.

Class Advantage

14/02 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a14/024/03 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a1/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a3/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a14/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a22/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a22/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength36%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 47y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 67%14/02Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 86%1/04Pos 10 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 10 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 31%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%14/07Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 83%22/08
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.9%Ahead 2/4
4
4
OR 69
5/1
Kliptown silks

Messrs Mark Bass, B Lemos, Chase Liebenberg, R T M

4yo Gelding · 9-11

Rafeef - Freedom Charter (Elusive Fort)

Blaine Marx-jacobson60%Candice Bass70%
144785
3.0Class ↓1
Blinkers

Blinkered for 1st time, fifth of 8 in handicap (25/2) at Kenilworth (6f, good to soft). Off 122 days.

Class Advantage

26/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a26/1121/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/05projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength51%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 47y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%26/11Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 77%22/02Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 22%3/05Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 43%24/05
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength13%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -25.7%Ahead 1/4
1
7
OR 38
7/1
Typically French silks

Andy Elton

6yo Gelding · 8-3

Var - La Normandie (American Chance)

Eduan Muller0/2−9lbPaul Reeves60%
875830
4.0
Blinkers

C&D winner. One win from 25 Flat runs. Last of 12 in minor event (16/1) at this course (7f, good) 17 days ago. Looks competitive on form.

Class Advantage

21/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/0122/02 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a27/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a24/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a7/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a6/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength33%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 47y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 13%21/01Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 60%27/04Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 75%7/07Pos 12 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 12 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%6/09
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.7%Ahead 3/4
3
6
OR 54
10/1
Ozark silks

Mr S S Govender & Mrs C Reeves

6yo Gelding · 8-8

Oratorio - Spice Girl (Var)

Girish Samo-burthia60%−6lbPaul Reeves60%
323560
4.0Class ↓1
Blinkers

Course winner. Twenty two runs since last win in 2024. Tenth of 12 in minor event at this course (7f, good, 33/1) 17 days ago.

Class Advantage

21/03 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a21/0318/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a19/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a16/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a7/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a6/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength41%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 47y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 71%21/03Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 82%19/05Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 50%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 38%7/07Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 18%6/09
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.7%Ahead 2/4
2
5
OR 55
20/1
Wave Of Glory silks

Estate Late Mr G R Almanza

5yo Gelding · 9-7

Erupt - Surfing Belle (Kahal)

Varun Jodhee60%0/1−9lbShane Humby
795416
4.0

1 win from 2 runs this year. 16/1, sixth of 8 in handicap at this C&D (good). Off 6 months. Not easy to make a case for.

Class Advantage

11/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/018/02 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/03 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a21/03projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 47y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%11/01Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 47%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 56%15/10Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%4/01Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 29%21/03
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength10%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +34.0%Ahead 3/4