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13:49 · Perth

House Of Bruar Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle

2m 47yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Market Fav3
OR 93
5/4
Expert Analysis silks

Mr G White

Expert Analysis

4yo Gelding · 11-10

Expert Eye - Aqualis (Sea The Stars)

Sean Quinlan80%0/2J Candlish
580P32
6.0

Fair Flat maiden in Ireland and looks an improved performer over hurdles for current yard, finding only one a short-head too good at Sedgefield 10 days ago (pair clear). Claims are fairly obvious from the same mark.

Class Advantage

25/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/104/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a14/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/11 · mark par10/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/04 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par14/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength9%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 47y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 13%25/10Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 15%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 56%14/11Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 78%28/08Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 89%14/09
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.8%Ahead 4/4
8
Value2
OR 73
14/1
Ribble River silks

Hambleton Racing Mrs C Clark Miss A Le

Ribble River

5yo Gelding · 10-6

Ribchester - Ashtown Girl (Exceed And Excel)

Peter Kavanagh0/2Lizzie Quinlan90%
P5566
3.0Going 8.0Class ↓2
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Fair middle-distance Flat winner for Kevin Ryan. Little show over hurdles so far (also well held on the level recently) but yard no stranger to winners here and this just his second handicap start in this sphere. Cheekpieces on first time.

Class Advantage

26/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/09 · mark par26/0910/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par3/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 47y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 71%26/09Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%27/05Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 29%18/07Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 10%3/09
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.4%Ahead 4/4
5
5
OR 84
7/2
Curious Mrs Fox silks

The Red And White Stripes

Curious Mrs Fox

5yo Mare · 11-3

Dragon Dancer - Crimson Skies (Declaration Of War)

Joshua Thompson60%0/6−5lbD Thompson
366423
6.0

Poor maiden on the Flat but she's learning with experience over hurdles and wasn't beaten far when second of 11 in handicap hurdle at Uttoxeter (2m) in July. Similar form when third at Sedgefield 2 weeks ago and she can remain competitive.

Class Advantage

14/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/044/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/05 · mark par13/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par21/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par26/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par9/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 47y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 67%14/04Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 44%13/06Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 90%26/07Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 67%9/09
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +49.8%Ahead 4/4
7
6
OR 78
12/1
Manhatane silks

Mr M Scott

Manhatane

4yo Filly · 10-9

Bathyrhon - Formula Speed (Poliglote)

Leah Noreci60%0/3−7lbJames Moffatt60%
4P566
3.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Unpromising in points and similar story in 3 novice runs at Cartmel. Handicaps are at least more suitable and a tongue tie goes on.

Class Advantage

26/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/0618/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/0729/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength45%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 47y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%26/06Pos 6 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%18/07Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 38%29/08
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.5%Ahead 1/3
1
Top Pick1
OR 93
10/1
Elemental Eye silks

The Cricketers

Elemental Eye

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Expert Eye - Time On (Sadler's Wells)

B S Hughes60%I Jardine60%
7988
4.0Class ↓2
Cheek pieces

In good form on the Flat this summer (easy to forgive latest start on heavy going) but low-key handicap debut over hurdles when last of 8 over C&D 17 days ago. Cheekpieces go on for the first time over obstacles.

Class Advantage

17/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par17/055/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par27/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par6/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par30/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par7/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 47y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 20%17/05Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 100%27/06Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 0%30/08Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%7/09
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.8%Ahead 2/4
2
4
OR 91
13/2
Gonnino silks

Geoff And Elspeth Adam

Gonnino

7yo Gelding · 11-10

Doyen - Scotch Beg (Presenting)

Callum Bewley0/2Gary Rutherford
266245
5.0

Maiden who ran right up to form when second in a 19f Carlisle handicap in April. Seemed unsuited by a sharper test when fourth of 10 at Kelso (2¼m) 16 days later and rain-softened ground also looked against him at this venue a month later. Back from a break and drops in trip.

Class Advantage

8/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/12 · mark par8/1222/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/12 · mark par3/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/03 · mark par4/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/04 · mark par20/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/04 · mark par13/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/05 · mark par13/05projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 47y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 89%8/12Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 29%3/03Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%20/04Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%13/05
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.9%Ahead 1/4
4
7
OR 89
8/1
Struth silks

Mrs S Russell

Struth

6yo Gelding · 11-8

Australia - Portrait Of A Lady (Peintre Celebre)

D R Fox70%0/7L Russell & M Scudamore80%
566666
3.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Fairly useful middle-distance winner on the Flat but hasn't looked an easy ride over hurdles and isn't one to be making excuses for.

Class Advantage

20/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/04 · mark par20/0414/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/05 · mark par7/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par12/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par15/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par16/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength58%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 47y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 56%20/04Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 58%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 55%7/06Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 38%15/08Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 29%16/09
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.1%Ahead 1/4
6
9
OR 81
20/1
Boston Queen silks

Mr W G Young Jnr

Boston Queen

5yo Mare · 11-0

Rajj - Age Of Diplomacy (Araafa)

Conor RabbittW Young Jnr
9960BP
2.0

Limited promise for Gordon Elliott and down in trip on stable debut.

Class Advantage

8/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/0613/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a13/0719/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/095/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below5/10 · mark par5/10projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 47y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 38%8/06Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%13/07Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 64%19/09Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 25%5/10
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength64%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.1%Ahead 3/4
9
8
OR 63
150/1
King Gold Boy silks

Tillyrie Racing Club

King Gold Boy

6yo Gelding · 10-5

Brave Mansonnien - Other Du Berlais (Poliglote)

Charlie MaggsMrs J C McGregor
7PP7PP
3.0

Yet to even hint at ability.

Class Advantage

9/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/1129/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/1116/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/0214/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par14/05projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 47y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%9/11Pos 7 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 0%29/11Pos 7 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 25%16/02Pos 7 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 14%14/05
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength27%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.8%Ahead 2/4