16:50 · Thistledown

Race 1 - Allowance

6f3YO plusDIRT7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
2
OR 52
5/2
Kiddie Cocktail silks

Smokin C Llc

3yo Filly · 8-3

Vino Rosso - Vienna's Waltz (Freud)

Fernando Becerra Salazar60%0/1Robert Gorham
234412
7.0

Class Advantage

23/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/10 · mark par23/1019/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/11 · mark par22/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/12 · mark par9/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par29/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 80%23/10Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 40%22/12Pos 4 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 4 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%29/07Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 80%7/09
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -17.9%Ahead 2/4
2
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 57
2/1
Catpuccino silks

Fairwinds Farm

3yo Filly · 8-3

Mineshaft - Thedoctorscat (Tale Of The Cat)

Chelsey Keiser60%0/1David Wolochuk
322313
8.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

15/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/10 · mark par15/1020/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par27/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par17/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 78%15/10Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 80%6/07Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%17/08Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 60%7/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.9%Ahead 1/4
7
4
OR 50
5/1
Golden Haul silks

Rivera Racing Stables Llc

3yo Filly · 8-3

Goldencents - Secret Haul (Dunkirk)

Rocco Bowen60%Nestor Rivera
719224
6.0

Class Advantage

20/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par20/0629/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par13/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par28/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par24/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 25%20/06Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%13/07Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 80%24/08Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 40%7/09
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.6%Ahead 2/4
1
3
OR 63
8/1
Bokeh silks

Thorobeam Farm

3yo Filly · 8-3

Demarchelier - Lahona (Tamarkuz)

Jose Bracho60%Justin Radosevich
552327
6.0

Class Advantage

10/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/12 · mark par10/1213/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/01 · mark par18/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par8/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par24/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par13/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par13/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 67%10/12Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%18/05Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 33%24/06Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 88%13/07
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength33%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.3%Ahead 2/4
4
5
OR 48
15/1
Bourbon N Blush silks

O G Thoroughbreds And Keys To Riches Stable Llc

3yo Filly · 8-3

Basin - Powder N Blush (War Chant)

Ricardo Feliciano60%1/3Jevon Crumley80%
515294
4.0
1st Blinkers +3

Class Advantage

19/09 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a19/092/10 · C6 · finish vs mark below2/10 · mark par23/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/10 · mark par4/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par13/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par13/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 43%19/09Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 0%2/10Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%23/10Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 20%4/05Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 63%13/07
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.2%Ahead 3/4
3
7
OR 77
4/1
Buckeye Bombshell silks

Kubina, Mark And White, Travis

4yo Filly · 8-7

Hit It A Bomb - Theana (Uncle Mo)

Luis Gonzalez70%Valerie Shanyfelt
824414
5.0

Class Advantage

14/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below14/08 · mark par14/0815/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/01 · mark par13/02 · C6 · finish vs mark below13/02 · mark par13/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below13/03 · mark par15/05 · C9 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par24/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/08 · mark par24/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 13%14/08Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%13/02Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 63%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%15/05Pos 4 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 4 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 40%24/08
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.2%Ahead 1/4
6
6
OR 44
8/1
Dollar Dance silks

N And E Racing Stables

4yo Filly · 8-11

Broken Vow - Tangueray Miss (Cowboy Cal)

Jefferson Skerrett60%1/2−5lbSaul Morales
425831
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

1/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/04 · mark par1/0411/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par28/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par20/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par17/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 70%1/04Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 43%28/05Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 60%17/08Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%31/08
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -23.8%Ahead 1/4