13:45 · Listowel

John Lynch Memorial Maiden Hurdle

2mGood to Yielding4YO onlyTURF12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 100
9/2
Blue Johnl silks

Brendan T O'Sullivan

4yo Gelding · 11-7

Blue Bresil - Corona Moon (Presenting)

J J Slevin60%0/3J P Ryan
PR4982
5.0

Maiden pointer who is bred to stay well but stepped up on previous hurdling efforts when 14 lengths second of 11 to First Ascent in 2m maiden at Kilbeggan 23 days ago.

Class Advantage

24/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a24/078/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/083/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Yielding · 100%Dist: 2m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 43%24/07Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 42%8/08Pos 2 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 90%3/09
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +44.1%Ahead 2/3
10
Market Fav2
5/4
Trubshaw silks

Benjamin Hill & Miss K A Bartlett

4yo Gelding · 11-7

Sixties Icon - Silca Chiave (Pivotal)

Darragh O'Keeffe60%H De Bromhead60%
No form4.0

Fairly useful performer at up to 2¼m on the Flat. Won a handicap at Killarney in August and shaped as if still in good form at Down Royal earlier this month. Goes without usual headgear now switched to hurdling but in very good hands and ought to go very close if immediately taking to the task.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par25/0424/05 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par23/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/07 · mark par31/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par21/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par4/09 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Yielding · 83%Dist: 2m · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 63%25/04Pos 15 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 15 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 39%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 38%23/07Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 65%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%21/08Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 67%4/09
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.6%Ahead 2/4
8
5
20/1
Parisian Dream silks

Arkenvale Limited

4yo Gelding · 11-7

Way To Paris - Francis Street (Milan)

Shane Markey−7lbR O'Sullivan
No form3.0

Fifth foal, half-brother to fair hurdler/chase winner Nettuno Italia (2¾m-23f winner, by Imperial Monarch). Dam, point winner/ran twice over hurdles, half-sister to fairly useful 3m hurdle winner Kit Casey.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength26%
14
3
14/1
The Two Mary's silks

Twelve Fillies Syndicate

4yo Filly · 11-0

Affinisea - Gaoth Tire (Art Connoisseur)

Harry Sexton−7lbJ J Hanlon
FPD0
3.0

Affinisea filly. Failed to complete both starts in points but showed a bit at long odds in a Galway bumper last month (third past the post but subsequently demoted to fourth). Went backwards from that at Tramore 2 weeks later, though. Makes little appeal on hurdling bow.

Class Advantage

2/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a2/0816/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a16/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼8
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Yielding · 100%Dist: 2m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 60%2/08Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 18%16/08
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.7%Ahead 1/2
5
9
17/2
Je Suis Celebre silks

Jagrel Ltd

4yo Gelding · 11-7

Massaat - Famusa (Medicean)

Daniel KingE McCarthy
F
2.0Class ↓4

Showed ability on the Flat and looked set to place on debut for this yard when falling 3 out in maiden hurdle at Killarney last month, only a length down in second at the time. That form has since been boosted by the winner and third this week, and a clear round should see him involved.

Class Advantage

2/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/017/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/02 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par28/05 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par3/07 · C8 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/07 · mark par3/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Yielding · 50%Dist: 2m · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 50%2/01Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 5 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 56%20/02Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%28/05Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%3/07
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.1%Ahead 3/4
7
10
7/4
Local Resident silks

Wise Venture Partnership

4yo Gelding · 11-7

Shirocco - Bean Ki Moon (King's Theatre)

Danny Gilligan0/1C Collins
28
2.0

Shirocco gelding who was runner-up on sole start in points and offered something to work on sent hurdling when 29½ lengths eighth of 16 to Minella Hollow in maiden at Killarney last month. Handicaps over longer trips are likely to be more his bag.

Class Advantage

22/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a22/08
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Yielding · 100%Dist: 2m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 53%22/08
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 6-11 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +37.5%Ahead 1/1
12
4
150/1
Lennora silks

Knockgloss Racing Partnership

4yo Filly · 11-0

Marcel - Mergeela (September Storm)

Sean Flanagan60%Daniel O'leary
No form3.0

Second foal, dam (b65), bumper winner, sister to fairly useful hurdler/useful chaser (stayed 2½m) Longhouse Sale. Small yard yet to train a debut winner.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish7th of 1245% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength0%
13
8
150/1
Out West silks

Daniel Joseph O'Brien

4yo Filly · 11-0

Blue Bresil - Assistance (Dansili)

Kevin Healy60%0/1−7lbDaniel O'brien
0
2.0

Blue Bresil filly. Half-sister to poor 2m hurdle winner Marshella. Dam unraced half-sister to smart hurdler (winner around 2m) Cinders And Ashes. Not always fluent when well beaten in maiden hurdle on debut.

Class Advantage

28/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/08
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Yielding · 100%Dist: 2m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 18%28/08
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 8-13 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength9%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.2%Ahead 1/1
4
6
80/1
Hidden Hurricane silks

Alexander Ott

4yo Gelding · 11-7

Affinisea - Hurricane Rachel (Valirann)

Luke Burke Ott−7lbA Ott
No form3.0

€1,600 3-y-o, third foal, dam unraced half-sister to smart hurdler/high-class chaser (2m-23f winner) Hidden Cyclone. Yard are not known for winning debutants.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish9th of 1227% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength0%
11
11
150/1
You Lift Me Up silks

P J Rothwell & Nelius McAuliffe

4yo Gelding · 11-7

Kew Gardens - Kalita (Kalanisi)

Shane O'Callaghan60%P J Rothwell
070
2.0

Well held in a bumper and in 2 maiden hurdles.

Class Advantage

16/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a16/0728/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/087/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a7/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Yielding · 67%Dist: 2m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 29%16/07Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 45%28/08Pos 17 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 17 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 16%7/09
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength17%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.9%Ahead 3/3
6
7
66/1
Little An Often silks

Anthony Harrington

4yo Gelding · 11-7

Elusive Pimpernel - Point The Toes (Atraf)

Thomas O'Connor60%−7lbM Fahey
No form3.0

Fifth foal: dam (h116), 2¼m-21f hurdle winner (stayed 3m), also 17f-21.6f winner on Flat, half-sister to temperamental bumper winner/fair hurdler (stayed 2¼m) Rathmuck Native. Yard can ready a newcomer, so worth a market check, though pedigree suggests he's likely to need more time and distance.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish11th of 129% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength0%
3
12
150/1
Devine Genius silks

J Morrison

4yo Gelding · 11-7

Almanzor - Strawberry Lace (Sea The Stars)

Shane Fitzgerald0/1J Morrison
P0
2.0

Offered little in 3 starts on the level for current yard this summer and has fared no better in 2 outings over hurdles.

Class Advantage

19/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par19/0822/09 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/09 · mark par26/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par7/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par15/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/07 · mark par13/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a13/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Yielding · 67%Dist: 2m · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 29%19/08Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 13 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 8%26/06Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 10%15/07Pos 10 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 18%13/08
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength10%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.5%Ahead 4/4