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6

Bai Tong

2yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 70

Ayr · Ladbrokes 'Bet 5 Get 30 New Customer Offer' Fillies' Nursery · 7f 50y

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Failed to meet market expectations first 2 starts and similar form when down the field at Newbury. Work to do from this opening mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Thirsk 18/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 5f Goo 12818/0444 @ Ripon 17/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 6f Goo 12817/0544 @ Newbury 01/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 6f110y GF 1281/064projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-01Newbury47th7th0
2026-05-17Ripon42nd2nd0
2026-04-18Thirsk45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0417/051/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +42.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/04/20265th8/1196%20%-0.76
17/05/20262nd8/1196%86%-0.10
01/06/20267th12/137%45%+0.09