16:15 · Newbury

Fitzdares Handicap (GBBPlus Race) (Div 1)

1m 2fGoing TBCClass 43YO plusTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
10
Top Pick1
OR 67
13/2
Raintown silks

Ms Caroline Instone & J S Moore

6yo Gelding · 8-10

Outstrip - Miss Fifty (Whipper)

David Probert70%1/6J S Moore60%
423123
7.0
Cheek pieces

Often a slow starter but proving reliable this summer and he gained a first win of 2026 over C&D in July. Posted another 2 solid efforts when placed over C&D and at Ffos Las (1½m, good to soft) since. Ought to be in the shake-up once more.

Class Advantage

12/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below12/05 · mark par12/0523/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par9/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par23/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par14/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 0%12/05Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 67%9/07Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 67%14/08Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 50%28/08
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.6%Ahead 2/4
4
Market Fav2
OR 84
11/4
Tambora silks

Mrs J Wood

3yo Colt · 9-8

Pinatubo - Morellina (Poet's Voice)

P J Dobbs60%1/3R Hannon60%
56641
6.0

Pinatubo colt who built on earlier promise when landing 8-runner handicap at Sandown (1¼m, good to firm) in July. Up 6 lb but likely capable of better after a break.

Class Advantage

20/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a20/0918/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a15/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par4/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par4/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 67%20/09Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 79%18/04Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 50%15/05Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 73%12/06Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%4/07
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength64%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.9%Ahead 2/4
6
5
OR 77
13/2
Perfect Scoundrel silks

Mrs F Cotton,mr & Mrs P Conway

4yo Gelding · 9-6

Without Parole - Saucy Minx (Dylan Thomas)

R Havlin60%1/5Mrs A J Perrett
863214
7.0Going 8.0

Gained a deserved first success at Epsom (1¼m) in July and backed it up off 6 lb higher with a good fourth of 9 there (1¼m, good) 18 days ago. Can't be discounted.

Class Advantage

20/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/04 · mark par20/0415/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par5/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par2/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par16/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par31/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 13%20/04Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 71%5/06Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%16/07Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 63%31/08
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.5%Ahead 2/4
3
7
OR 86
10/3
River Card silks

Manton Thoroughbreds X

3yo Gelding · 9-10

Hello Youmzain - Enfin (Teofilo)

D Egan60%B J Meehan
2104
5.0

Fair 1m winner at Ascot (beat subsequent Group 1 winner) last September. Off 11 months but advanced his form with fourth of 12 in handicap here (1m, firm) 23 days ago. May do better still with that run under his belt over this longer trip.

Class Advantage

14/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a14/086/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/094/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a4/1026/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength17%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 91%14/08Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%6/09Pos 11 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 11 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 33%4/10Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 73%26/08
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.8%Ahead 3/4
1
4
OR 86
10/1
Parlando silks

Mr Spencer Coomes & Partner

7yo Gelding · 10-1

Dubawi - Discourse (Street Cry)

Jack Dace70%−5lbIan Williams60%
368814
5.0
Cheek pieces

Bounced back to form with success in 1¼m handicap at Chester in July and followed it with a creditable fourth of 8 in handicap at Windsor (1¼m, firm) 36 days ago. Not out of things off an unchanged mark.

Class Advantage

21/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par21/0428/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/04 · mark par25/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par13/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par25/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par13/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par13/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength72%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 71%21/04Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 22%25/05Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%25/07Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 57%13/08
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.9%Ahead 2/4
2
3
OR 86
6/1
Mohaaraj silks

Jastar Capital, K Lawrence & P Merritt

3yo Gelding · 9-10

Mohaather - Publicise (Dream Ahead)

Finley Marsh70%2/4R Hughes60%
4115
6.0Going 8.0

Landed 1m maiden at Kempton in February and further progress when following up on handicap debut at Haydock (1m) in May. Off since coming in last of 5 at Sandown (9f, good) in June but could still do better after just 4 starts.

Class Advantage

8/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a8/1111/02 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a11/029/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par9/0513/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par13/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 67%8/11Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 100%11/02Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%9/05Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%13/06
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.2%Ahead 3/4
7
6
OR 77
12/1
Mythical Bird silks

One More Moment of Madness

4yo Filly · 9-6

Phoenix Of Spain - Jellicle Ball (Invincible Spirit)

H Crouch60%H Morrison
300315
5.0

Doubled his tally for the season at Salisbury (1¼m) in August and not discredited with fifth of 6 in handicap at Bath 16 days ago given he didn't enjoy the smoothest of passages in last 2f. Possibilities.

Class Advantage

25/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par25/0512/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par9/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par20/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par12/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par2/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 60%25/05Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 23%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 18%9/07Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%12/08Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 20%2/09
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.8%Ahead 2/4
5
9
OR 83
12/1
Loz Vegas silks

Fintan Shortall & Partner

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Lucky Vega - Acuity (Archipenko)

Rossa Ryan70%P W Chapple-Hyam60%
586540
3.0Class ↓3

Useful 1m winner at 2yrs. Similar form in handicaps this summer (fourth at Ascot) before suffering a poor run when eleventh of 14 in handicap at Goodwood (1¼m, good to firm) in July. Not without interest off a 2 lb lower mark here.

Class Advantage

19/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/0911/10 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/10 · mark par16/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par19/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par10/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par30/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par30/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength84%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%19/09Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 44%16/05Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 70%10/07Pos 11 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 11 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 23%30/07
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.4%Ahead 3/4
9
8
OR 73
20/1
Gemmari silks

John Collins & Emma Cracknell

4yo Gelding · 9-2

Expert Eye - Gravitation (Galileo)

S M Levey70%3/9R Hannon80%
551750
3.0

Kickstarted 2026 with success at Chelmsford in January but below par in a trio of runs since, beating only one on his turf debut at Ascot (2m, good to firm) in May. Drops markedly in trip after a layoff.

Class Advantage

29/10 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/10 · mark par29/1027/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/11 · mark par2/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/01 · mark par3/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below3/03 · mark par4/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/04 · mark par8/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par8/05projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 67%29/10Pos 5 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 5 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%2/01Pos 7 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 7 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 33%4/04Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 9%8/05
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.5%Ahead 2/4