19:30 · Dundalk

Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Maiden

1m 2f 150yStandard3YO plusPOLYTRACK12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
8
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 82
11/10
Numantia silks

Reeves Thoroughbred Racing & Barry Fowler

3yo Gelding · 9-8

St Mark's Basilica - Bewitched (Dansili)

Paddy Harnett60%0/1Donnacha O'Brien
423
6.0

Well-bred son of St Mark's Basilica. Shaped well all 3 starts to date. Latest finishing 1¾ lengths third of 6 at the Curragh (1½m) 9 weeks ago, unable to sustain a big move into contention from his less-than-ideal position. Since gelded and looks the one to beat back down in distance.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/0526/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a26/0619/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 2f 150y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 79%23/05Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 90%26/06Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 60%19/07
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.9%Ahead 1/3
2
4
OR 71
10/1
Coolnagrattan silks

Mrs F Cumiskey & D Breathnach

4yo Gelding · 10-0

Poet's Word - Set To Fire (Big Bad Bob)

Reese Holohan60%−7lbW R Crawford70%
308
3.0
HoodTongue strap

Shaped well to hit the frame in Punchestown bumper/Roscommon maiden (1½m) earlier in the season. Below form at longish odds both starts since (not seen to best effect latest). Now drops back in distance, and he'll likely have better opportunities in handicaps.

Class Advantage

13/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a13/0530/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a30/0629/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/0731/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a31/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 2f 150y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 75%13/05Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 85%30/06Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 35%29/07Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 50%31/08
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +42.8%Ahead 4/4
6
6
OR 71
8/1
Ask Me Again silks

Canning Downs Pty Limited

3yo Colt · 9-8

Palace Pier - Aris (Danroad)

Ronan Whelan0/3J Feane
055
3.0

Borderline fairly useful effort when beaten 3¾ lengths here (1m) second time up. Didn't build on that on qualifying run at Leopardstown (9f) subsequently, though was sat close to one who did too much in front. Should fare better in low-grade handicaps.

Class Advantage

3/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/0612/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/076/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 1m 2f 150y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 18 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 18 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%3/06Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 56%12/07Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 69%6/08
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +39.8%Ahead 2/3
4
7
10/1
Scorcher's Son silks

E S Racing

4yo Gelding · 10-0

Too Darn Hot - Sellsabeel (Galileo)

Declan McDonogh60%0/2J P O'Brien
76
2.0

450,000 gns Too Darn Hot gelding from excellent family. Ran to similar level as on debut when 10 lengths sixth of 21 in a Navan maiden (1¼m, good) that lacked depth. Likely to do better at some stage given his pedigree/connections, possibly in handicaps.

Class Advantage

20/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/085/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 2f 150y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%20/08Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 75%5/09
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.6%Ahead 1/2
9
3
OR 70
8/1
Trustmore silks

J Kirkland

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Sioux Nation - Watersign (Ruler Of The World)

Billy Lee60%Stephen Thorne60%
7564
3.0Class ↓1
Blinkers

150,000 gns purchase who finished mid-field in a warm Curragh maiden on debut. Wasn't seen to best effect sent handicapping on the back of a gelding operation there 9 weeks ago, beaten 3½ lengths in a change of headgear. One of the more interesting types on return to maiden company.

Class Advantage

23/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/0815/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/055/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/0618/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength12%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 2f 150y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 54%23/08Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 71%15/05Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 58%5/06Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 40%18/07
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength32%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.6%Ahead 2/4
7
2
16/1
Drummond Hill silks

Miss Kate Harrington

3yo Colt · 9-8

Frankel - Blond Me (Tamayuz)

Scott McCullaghMrs J Harrington80%
9
2.0
Tongue strap

Makes some appeal on paper. Tongue strap on/showed a bit when mid-field (beaten 22 lengths) in an 18-runner Cork maiden (1m, soft) on debut 9 days ago. Longer trip should suit, though a relatively quick turnaround suggests he could be a handicap project.

Class Advantage

9/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/09
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 2f 150y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 53%9/09
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 7-12 · 50%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.6%Ahead 1/1
3
8
13/2
Navy Guitar silks

James C Wallace

7yo Gelding · 10-0

French Navy - D'addario (Galileo)

Sam Coen60%−5lbD Dias
5
2.0Class ↓1

Modest winning hurdler. Typically made the running when fair fifth of 13 on Flat/stable debut at Gowran (1¾m, 66/1), headed over 1f out/beaten 4¾ lengths. At least worth a go over shorter on that evidence and may outrun his odds if again allowed to dictate.

Class Advantage

10/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par10/0628/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par22/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par19/09 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a11/10 · C10 · finish vs mark below11/10 · mark par1/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a1/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 2f 150y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%10/06Pos 14 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 14 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 32%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 56%22/08Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 60%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 47%11/10Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 67%1/09
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.9%Ahead 1/4
12
5
25/1
Vivere A Colori silks

Alpha Racing

3yo Filly · 9-3

Caravaggio - Perazzi (Curlin)

Nathan Crosse0/1Mrs J Harrington90%
0
2.0
1st Visor +2

Didn't show much on debut at Navan (1¼m) earlier this month. Hardly a positive that visor reached for at this early stage.

Class Advantage

2/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/09
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 2f 150y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 16 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 25%2/09
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 14-19 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength13%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.0%Ahead 1/1
10
12
16/1
Brigids Charm silks

E Donnelly

3yo Filly · 9-3

Elzaam - Sheamer Princess (Roderic O'connor)

Joseph Harnett−7lbM Fahey
7
2.0

Shaped like one for handicaps when beaten 11 lengths in 7f maiden here (80/1) on debut, for all this is a markedly longer trip (dam stayed 10.5f).

Class Advantage

15/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/08
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 100%Dist: 1m 2f 150y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 54%15/08
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 5-10 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +53.8%Ahead 1/1
11
10
16/1
Pattyandselma silks

J Tuite

3yo Filly · 9-3

Kuroshio - Miss Dinky (El Kabeir)

Adam Caffrey60%A McGuinness
0
2.0

Bred to be ordinary and looked one for the longer term when down the field on debut at Navan (1m, 250/1).

Class Advantage

2/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/09
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 2f 150y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 25%2/09
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 8-13 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.0%Ahead 1/1
5
9
150/1
Set To Win silks

Mrs Margaret Comer

5yo Mare · 9-9

Raa Atoll - La Baltique (Dubawi)

James RyanL Comer
00
1.0

Offered little in pair of maidens 28 months apart.

Class Advantage

5/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/068/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 2f 150y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 35%5/06Pos 15 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 13%8/09
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.9%Ahead 2/2
1
11
150/1
Ard Ri Na Heireann silks

Craig O'Neill

4yo Gelding · 10-0

Arizona - Queen Of Malta (Exceed And Excel)

Luke McAteerCraig O'Neill
0
2.0

Tailed off in a bumper at Punchestown (2m) in May. Similar story on Flat debut at the Curragh last month.

Class Advantage

2/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a2/0522/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a22/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 2f 150y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 15 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 7%2/05Pos 12 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 0%22/08
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.3%Ahead 1/2