16:37 · Downpatrick

Dunleath Flat Race

2m 1f 165yGoing TBC4YO plusTURF13 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
2
9/2
Hadahi silks

Mrs Shauna Kelly

4yo Gelding · 11-12

Idaho - Drombeg Light (Danelight)

Mr D McGill−7lbN C Kelly
5U532
7.0

Placed on last of 4 starts in points this spring and showed promise amidst lingering greenness when second on hurdling debut at Sligo (21f) last month. Switches to a bumper now and must enter calculations.

Class Advantage

19/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/08
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 86%19/08
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +85.7%Ahead 1/1
11
Market FavTop Pick1
11/4
Myluckymaker silks

J Fyffe

5yo Mare · 11-7

Policy Maker - Last Muse (Mahler)

Mr F R Buckley0/2−7lbJ C McConnell
86222
6.0Going 8.0

Is proving consistent rather than progressive, runner-up for a third consecutive start in 7-runner bumper at Kilbeggan (19f, good to soft) 15 days ago, going with enthusiasm. Sets the standard.

Class Advantage

13/12 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a13/1217/03 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a14/04 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a16/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a3/09 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a3/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 56%13/12Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 58%17/03Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 86%14/04Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 91%16/08Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 83%3/09
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.4%Ahead 2/4
4
4
12/1
S T Hamo silks

Kenneth James Farmer

5yo Gelding · 12-0

Valirann - Julimark (Accordion)

Mr P W Mullins60%A McCann60%
0643
5.0
HoodTongue strap

Backed up previous effort when third of 17 in bumper at Cork (2¼m, good to soft) 46 days ago. More needed, however.

Class Advantage

15/12 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a15/1215/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a15/0516/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a16/073/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a3/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 14 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 7%15/12Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 50%15/05Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 79%16/07Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 88%3/08
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +51.9%Ahead 4/4
8
5
7/2
Orderly Conduct silks

C Beckett

4yo Gelding · 11-12

Order Of St George - Amelioration (Fame And Glory)

Mr D G Lavery60%0/1G P Cromwell60%
63
4.0

Order of St George gelding who has shown promise on both starts, latterly when third in 8-runner bumper at Sligo (19f), though isn't certain to be suited by this return to shorter.

Class Advantage

3/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a3/0719/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a19/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%3/07Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 71%19/08
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.4%Ahead 1/2
2
9
10/1
Ifuknowuknow silks

Ms Sarah Ann Madden

5yo Gelding · 12-0

Leading Light - Udontno (Oscar)

Miss A B O'Connor60%0/2S G Carey60%
67
2.0

Shaped like a stayer in a pair of bumpers (for N. Madden) last winter, the latest in warm race at Leopardstown when behind subsequent Champion Bumper winner The Mourne Rambler. Interesting on first run for new yard with longer trip in his favour.

Class Advantage

15/10 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a15/1026/12 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a26/12projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 44%15/10Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 45%26/12
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.5%Ahead 2/2
3
8
16/1
Old Court silks

Miss R Hickey

5yo Gelding · 12-0

Court Cave - Garrai Ard (Idris)

Mr A P Ryan60%0/1−5lbT J O'Mara
P5
2.0

Pulled up sole start in points but did show a bit switched to Rules when fifth of 9 in 2m bumper at Killarney (good to soft) on debut 27 days ago, going in snatches but staying on gradually final 1f.

Class Advantage

22/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a22/08
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 50%22/08
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +50.0%Ahead 1/1
13
Value3
13/2
Loves A Laugh silks

Kevin Ross

4yo Filly · 11-5

Vadamos - Mill Quest (Milan)

Miss H Ross0/2−7lbS R B Crawford
33
7.0

Sent off at 25/1 but offered something to work on when third of 10 in a 19f Downpatrick bumper in July. Proved too free when a remote third back there last time and will need to settle better here.

Class Advantage

14/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a14/079/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a9/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 78%14/07Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 60%9/08
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.1%Ahead 1/2
1
6
16/1
Ask The Lord silks

L Mulvany

5yo Gelding · 12-0

Tough As Nails - Stepping Down (Indian Haven)

Mr H C Swan60%M Mulvany70%
No form3.0Going 8.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Tough As Nails gelding. Dam 1½m winner. Tongue tied for debut and worth a market check with leading amateur booked.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish8th of 1342% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength16%
5
11
14/1
Thranduil silks

Paul Nolan

5yo Gelding · 12-0

Leading Light - Thimble Royale (Bob Back)

Mr B T Stone−7lbP Nolan
No form3.0

Leading Light gelding. Half-brother to useful hurdler/chaser Killiney Court and fair hurdler Sean Mc. Dam unraced half-sister to high-class hurdler/smart chaser (2m-2½m winner) Accordion Etoile and fair hurdler/useful chaser (stayed 2½m) French Accordion. Noteworthy newcomer.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish9th of 1333% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength26%
10
7
14/1
Eleen Alana silks

Mourneview Stables Syndicate

5yo Mare · 11-7

Gregorian - Dubai Pearl (Refuse To Bend)

Ms N M Bradley0/2−7lbE Griffin
30
4.0

Failed miserably to back up the form of her debut third when down the field in 18-runner bumper at Galway (17f, good to soft) 48 days ago.

Class Advantage

16/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a16/071/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a1/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 86%16/07Pos 14 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 24%1/08
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +54.6%Ahead 2/2
9
12
50/1
Bresil Belle silks

Mrs Shauna Kelly

5yo Mare · 11-7

Blue Bresil - Eleanorofaquitaine (Flemensfirth)

Mr L P Shanahan60%−7lbN C Kelly
0
2.0

Blue Bresil mare who showed nothing on her recent debut at Down Royal.

Class Advantage

28/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a28/08
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 10%28/08
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 8-13 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength5%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.0%Ahead 1/1
12
13
50/1
Poet's Creek silks

David A Kells

5yo Mare · 11-7

Poet's Word - Corella Creek (King's Theatre)

Mr R M McParland0/1−7lbD M Christie
9
2.0

Poet's Word mare who was soundly beaten at Down Royal on her debut 3 weeks ago.

Class Advantage

28/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a28/08
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 20%28/08
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 7-12 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength10%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.0%Ahead 1/1
6
10
20/1
Guitar Star silks

Gillian Cody

4yo Gelding · 11-12

Sea The Stars - Ninas Terz (Tertullian)

Miss E Cody60%−7lbR P Cody
No form3.0

Sea The Stars gelding. Brother to 3 winners on Flat, including useful 1¼m/10.4f winner Star of Wins and half-brother to a winner. Has a good Flat pedigree but yard 0-36 in bumpers.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish13th of 130% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength0%