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13:47 · Downpatrick

MB McGrady And Co Chartered Accountants Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)

2m 1f 165yGoing TBC4YO plusTURFHandicap13 runners
Ordered by projected finish
13
2
OR 73
4/1
John Dixen silks

T Moran

John Dixen

4yo Gelding · 10-0

Highland Reel - Open Book (Mark Of Esteem)

Shane O'Callaghan60%P J Rothwell70%
000603
5.0
1st Blinkers +3

Best effort over hurdles when 9¾ lengths third of 11 to Ripsnorter in handicap at Downpatrick last month. Blinkers now replace cheekpieces and capable of being involved if taking another step forward.

Class Advantage

13/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a13/1231/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par21/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/07 · mark par31/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 9%13/12Pos 13 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 11 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 9%29/01Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 58%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 36%21/07Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 80%31/08
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +36.6%Ahead 3/4
4
Top Pick1
OR 93
10/1
Whispering Hopes silks

Liam Lennon

Whispering Hopes

6yo Mare · 11-7

Estidhkaar - Grandegrandegrande (High Chaparral)

Mr E P Powell0/3−7lbL Lennon
3F6083
5.0

Long-standing maiden but took a step back in the right direction when 14½ lengths third of 15 to Miss Doyenne in mares maiden at Down Royal last time. Has been given a chance by the handicapper.

Class Advantage

7/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par7/0820/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par10/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/10 · mark par20/01 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/01 · mark par17/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/03 · mark par12/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/04 · mark par12/04projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%7/08Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 87%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%10/10Pos 14 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 32%Pos 8 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 61%17/03Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 86%12/04
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.2%Ahead 3/4
6
3
OR 88
11/4
Might Be The One silks

O'Rourke Construction Ltd

Might Be The One

5yo Mare · 11-2

Poet's Word - Royal Jubilee (Zanzibari)

Conor Stone-WalshA McNamara60%
425322
7.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Good efforts when placed on 4 of last 5 starts, including when runner-up last twice, beaten 12 lengths by runaway winner Lady Bluebird in mares handicap at Tramore on latest. Step back down in trip unlikely to inconvenience her and must be considered. Wears first-time tongue strap.

Class Advantage

25/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/11 · mark par25/1129/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/12 · mark par20/01 · C9 · finish vs mark below20/01 · mark par8/03 · C9 · finish vs mark below8/03 · mark par2/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below2/04 · mark par20/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below20/04 · mark par20/04projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 80%25/11Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 92%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 73%20/01Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 93%2/04Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 93%20/04
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.8%Ahead 2/4
1
Market Fav6
OR 100
9/4
Tropical Twist silks

Gordon Elliott

Tropical Twist

5yo Mare · 12-0

Saddex - Tropical Way (Stowaway)

Paddy Cleary0/1−7lbG Elliott
FP5418
5.0

Showed much improved form when winning 14-runner 17f handicap at Wexford last month, suited by the strong pace. Presumably found the race coming too soon when not in the same form at this track just 2 days later and no surprise to see her get back on track now.

Class Advantage

10/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/1021/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a3/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below3/07 · mark par23/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below23/07 · mark par7/08 · C9 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par9/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below9/08 · mark par9/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 70%10/10Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 67%3/07Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%7/08Pos 8 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 8 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 13%9/08
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength91%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.1%Ahead 3/4
2
5
OR 94
50/1
Two Can Plan silks

Kay Russell

Two Can Plan

6yo Gelding · 11-8

Buratino - Minnola (Royal Applause)

Philip Donovan60%A Slattery80%
P067P0
2.0
1st Blinkers +3Tongue strap

Limited impact in maidens and hasn't gone with any encouragement in a pair of handicaps either side of a 3-month break.

Class Advantage

29/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/012/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/0326/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a26/033/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par3/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 18 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 18 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 0%29/01Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 67%2/03Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 60%26/03Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 40%3/08
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +41.7%Ahead 3/4
3
4
OR 93
10/1
Mercurial Sea silks

Judith Long

Mercurial Sea

5yo Mare · 11-7

Affinisea - Cloudante (Cloudings)

Carl Millar60%0/3−5lbN Slevin
862828
5.0

Maiden hurdler with an inconsistent profile but ran well when second in mares handicap and mares maiden over C&D earlier this season. Didn't take to chasing at Tramore last time, though, and more needed if she's to go close quickly reverting to hurdling.

Class Advantage

21/03 · C9 · finish vs mark below21/03 · mark par21/0312/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/04 · mark par8/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par22/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par14/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par14/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below14/08 · mark par14/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 36%21/03Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 91%8/05Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 90%14/07Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 42%14/08
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.5%Ahead 3/4
5
7
OR 92
16/1
Pahlavi silks

Shark Hanlon Racing Club

Pahlavi

9yo Gelding · 11-6

Palavicini - Persian Memories (Indian Ridge)

Harry Sexton0/2−7lbJ J Hanlon80%
655P56
4.0
1st Blinkers +3Tongue strap

C&D winner. Hasn't fired this season, including at this track last time, but has fallen in the weights as a result and now finds himself 8 lb below his last winning mark. Blinkers replace cheekpieces but needs to show something like last season's form if he's to capitalise on it.

Class Advantage

7/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below7/05 · mark par7/0521/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below21/05 · mark par2/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below2/06 · mark par29/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below29/06 · mark par16/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below16/08 · mark par31/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 9%7/05Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 62%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%2/06Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 69%16/08Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%31/08
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.7%Ahead 2/4
10
9
OR 77
50/1
Greenroad Girl silks

Trainors At Dan's Partnership

Greenroad Girl

4yo Filly · 10-3

Order Of St George - Word To The Wise (Montmartre)

Mike O'Connor60%R K Watson
P66
2.0

Big prices and no promise in mares maiden hurdles.

Class Advantage

9/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/0831/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a31/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 500/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 500/1 | Actual: 17%9/08Pos 6 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 38%31/08
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.1%Ahead 2/2
11
8
OR 75
33/1
Lucky This Time silks

Luckythistime Syndicate

Lucky This Time

5yo Gelding · 10-3

Lucky Speed - Glen Mill (Califet)

Simon Torrens0/1P J Rothwell90%
P0000
2.0
1st Cheekpieces +21st Tongue Strap +2

Well beaten in a handful of starts over hurdles in 2025. Fitted with headgear on return from over a year off.

Class Advantage

5/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/0516/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/056/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/0617/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par17/08projClass-projected finish: 12th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 17 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 17 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%5/05Pos 11 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 33%16/05Pos 15 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 18%6/06Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 8%17/08
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 8-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength17%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.8%Ahead 3/4
12
13
OR 72
10/1
Doyen Og silks

Adrian Sexton

Doyen Og

7yo Mare · 10-0

Doyen - Pageos (Rakti)

Daniel King60%A Sexton
90P787
2.0

Maiden who showed some ability remains when beaten less than 8 lengths at Wexford in July. Not quite in same form on both outings since, though.

Class Advantage

6/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/10 · mark par6/1024/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/10 · mark par8/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/11 · mark par3/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/07 · mark par10/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par16/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below16/08 · mark par16/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 50%6/10Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 14 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 28%8/11Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 54%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 68%10/07Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 54%16/08
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.2%Ahead 3/4
8
10
OR 80
33/1
Glendaars Crystal silks

Frank Reynolds

Glendaars Crystal

5yo Mare · 10-8

Crystal Ocean - Be That As It May (Milan)

P J O'Hanlon60%0/3D A McLoughlin
7096
2.0

Well held on all 4 starts in maiden hurdles. Makes handicap hurdle debut.

Class Advantage

13/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a13/056/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/064/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/076/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 60%13/05Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 52%6/06Pos 9 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 33%4/07Pos 6 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 58%6/08
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +51.0%Ahead 4/4
7
11
OR 87
20/1
Paymelater silks

Neil Gault

Paymelater

7yo Gelding · 11-1

Laverock - Rosie O'shea (Supreme Leader)

Ricky Doyle0/2S Millar60%
646706
2.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Placed only once in an extended stint in bumpers and no impact in 3 maiden hurdles this summer. Should have more chance in handicaps but needs to step up markedly to feature here. Wears first-time cheekpieces.

Class Advantage

9/10 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a9/101/11 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a23/11 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a14/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 29%9/10Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 6 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 0%23/11Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 54%Pos 13 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 20%4/07Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 17%9/08
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 8-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength12%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.6%Ahead 3/4
9
12
OR 77
50/1
Nelliestar silks

C McShea

Nelliestar

6yo Mare · 10-5

Hillstar - Molans Mare (Shirocco)

Alan O'Sullivan60%−5lbT P McGettigan
088
2.0

No form on Flat and has made no impact in a trio of maiden hurdles.

Class Advantage

27/02 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/0227/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a31/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a31/08projClass-projected finish: 13th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 18%27/02Pos 11 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 9 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 0%8/05Pos 10 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 8 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 13%19/08Pos 8 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 13%31/08
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 10-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength17%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.5%Ahead 3/4