16:02 · Downpatrick

Vianstown Handicap Chase

2m 7f 110yGoing TBC5YO plusTURFHandicap18 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 109
5/4
Anodandawink silks

John P McManus

5yo Gelding · 11-11

Maxios - Wink Wink (Galileo)

Peter Smithers60%1/1−5lbCiaran Murphy60%
039211
9.0Going 8.0

Maiden over hurdles but encouraging second in maiden over this C&D on chasing debut, before making all in 15-runner handicap at Wexford in July. Comfortably followed up in 4-runner race at Kilbeggan 6 weeks ago and he holds strong claims in his hat-trick bid.

Class Advantage

26/03 · C9 · finish vs mark below26/03 · mark par26/0324/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par31/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par13/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par22/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par8/08 · C10 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par8/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 18
Class readCOMPETITIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 110y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 11 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 33%26/03Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 87%Pos 9 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 9 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 38%31/05Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%22/07Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%8/08
Projected finish1st of 18100% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.9%Ahead 3/4
1
4
OR 112
12/1
Jackson Lamb silks

The 119 Partnership

7yo Gelding · 12-0

El Salvador - Aegean Memories (Haafhd)

Eoghan Finegan60%−5lbJ C McConnell70%
0P7525
3.0Going 8.0
Cheek piecesHood

Dual winner over hurdles last year and has also shown fair form in maiden chases, runner-up in 6-runner event at Wexford (19f) last month. Below-par effort in claiming hurdle at Bellewstown 23 days ago, but he could fare better now handicapping over fences with hood refitted.

Class Advantage

17/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/0924/10 · C1 · finish vs mark below24/10 · mark par3/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a22/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a8/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par26/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 110y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 100%17/09Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 40%3/07Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 80%8/08Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 67%26/08
Projected finish2nd of 1894% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +42.1%Ahead 3/4
12
2
OR 93
14/1
Western Model silks

Espresso Martini Syndicate

7yo Gelding · 10-9

Westerner - Scotias Glen (Old Vic)

Conor Smithers60%−7lbA Kinirons
258314
6.0Going 8.0

Confirmed promise of previous run when landing a Roscommon handicap hurdle in July. Found less than looked likely returned to chasing when fourth of 12 at Killarney last time, but he's on a handy mark over fences (now rated 9 lb higher over hurdles).

Class Advantage

13/11 · C10 · finish vs mark below13/11 · mark par13/1128/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par13/06 · C10 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par26/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a6/07 · C10 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par20/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength9%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 69%13/11Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 42%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 85%13/06Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%6/07Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 73%20/08
Projected finish3rd of 1888% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +36.7%Ahead 3/4
7
5
OR 106
8/1
Mickey Cohen silks

Noel Meade Racing Ltd

5yo Gelding · 11-8

U S Navy Flag - Beramana (Nayef)

Donagh Meyler1/3N Meade
431245
5.0

Fair form without winning over hurdles but made a successful chasing debut in maiden at this course (2¼m) a year ago. Has run creditably in 3 starts over hurdles since, fifth of 14 in handicap at Ballinrobe (2¾m) 7 days ago, and he merits consideration now handicapping over fences.

Class Advantage

10/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par10/0827/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par19/09 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a6/10 · C10 · finish vs mark below6/10 · mark par12/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par11/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength19%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 110y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 73%10/08Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%19/09Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 83%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 77%12/07Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 69%11/09
Projected finish4th of 1882% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.0%Ahead 3/4
6
8
OR 107
4/1
Driveonwill silks

Kiltale Racing Syndicate

6yo Gelding · 11-9

Affinisea - Verde Goodwood (Lomitas)

Keith Donoghue60%0/1R O'Sullivan
4U1U01
7.0
Tongue strap

Proved a different proposition making his third chase start when winning maiden chase at this course (19f) in May. Lesser effort at Galway, but stayed on well to double his tally in handicap here 18 days ago. Respected back up in trip at this track.

Class Advantage

15/01 · C9 · finish vs mark below15/01 · mark par15/0118/02 · C9 · finish vs mark below18/02 · mark par5/03 · C9 · finish vs mark below5/03 · mark par22/05 · C9 · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par28/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par31/08 · C10 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 110y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 80%15/01Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 79%5/03Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 15 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 15 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 26%28/07Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%31/08
Projected finish5th of 1876% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.7%Ahead 3/4
9
3
OR 98
33/1
Gorthill silks

Miss Maeve Carlin

10yo Gelding · 11-0

Rail Link - Reflexion (Discover D'auteuil)

J J Slevin60%0/1Stephen Carlin
5P5P20
5.0
Tongue strap

Front runner who took a step back in the right direction when second in handicap at Kilbeggan (3¼m) last month. However, failed to get his own way out in front and failed by a long way to repeat that effort at this course (19f) 18 days ago.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a23/053/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a14/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par22/05 · C11 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par21/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par31/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 16th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 110y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 86%23/05Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 17%14/07Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 2 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 92%21/08Pos 14 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 14 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 7%31/08
Projected finish6th of 1871% of fieldRange 8-18 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength1%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.3%Ahead 1/4
4
11
OR 109
12/1
Ringdufferin silks

A Dunlop

8yo Gelding · 11-11

Kalanisi - Inisharoan (Jimble)

Ricky Doyle0/4A L T Moore60%
048260
4.0
Cheek pieces

Dual hurdles winner for Gordon Elliott in 2023 but remains a maiden over fences. Best effort for present stable when runner-up in handicap chase at this course (19f) in June, so he could bounce back from a lesser effort over hurdles last time.

Class Advantage

8/06 · C12 · finish vs mark below8/06 · mark par8/0619/04 · C11 · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par15/05 · C11 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par13/06 · C11 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par14/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par19/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 14th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 110y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 14 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 19%8/06Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 73%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%15/05Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 58%14/07Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 10%19/08
Projected finish7th of 1865% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.0%Ahead 2/4
11
10
OR 95
20/1
Wild Mandate silks

Colm Hayden

7yo Mare · 10-11

Strong Mandate - Elegantly Wild (Galileo)

Phillip Enright60%0/4M M McNiff70%
2051P9
4.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Benefited from an enterprising ride when getting off the mark in handicap hurdle at Sligo (3¼m) in July. Lesser efforts the last twice, though, ninth of 16 at Sligo on latest outing. Switches to cheekpieces as she makes chasing debut.

Class Advantage

25/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/0720/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par18/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below18/10 · mark par14/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par12/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par19/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 110y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 47%25/07Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 27%18/10Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%12/07Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 47%19/08
Projected finish8th of 1859% of fieldRange 7-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength24%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.7%Ahead 3/4
18
12
OR 80
50/1
Malton Groove silks

Alan E Smith

9yo Gelding · 10-0

Kayf Tara - Triptoshan (Anshan)

Reserve 3D A McLoughlin
P7236F
5.0
Tongue strap

Long-standing maiden but ran better fhan for a while when second over this C&D in June. Not in the same form next 2 starts, though was keeping on in fourth (albeit unlucky to trouble the first 2) when falling 2 out at Killarney last month. Others still preferred. RESERVE.

Class Advantage

4/11 · C10 · finish vs mark below4/11 · mark par4/113/12 · C4 · finish vs mark below3/12 · mark par21/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below21/05 · mark par13/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par30/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/06 · mark par17/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par17/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 18
Class readCOMPETITIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%4/11Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 45%21/05Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 91%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 82%30/06Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 64%17/07
Projected finish9th of 1853% of fieldRange 4-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +38.4%Ahead 4/4
8
6
OR 102
25/1
Tell Nobody Nothin silks

Mrs Patricia Hunt

6yo Gelding · 11-4

Doyen - Bonny Kate (Beneficial)

Sam Ewing60%1/5N Meade60%
3461P8
5.0
Blinkers

Gained a first chase success in handicap at Kilbeggan (2½m) in April. However, was pulled up at Wexford (25f) next time, before probably needing the outing after 4 months off in handicap hurdle here (2¾m) 18 days ago. This run should reveal more.

Class Advantage

20/11 · C10 · finish vs mark below20/11 · mark par20/1126/12 · C10 · finish vs mark below26/12 · mark par20/01 · C10 · finish vs mark below20/01 · mark par12/04 · C10 · finish vs mark below12/04 · mark par24/04 · C10 · finish vs mark above24/04 · mark par31/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 110y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 64%20/11Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 86%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 70%20/01Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 64%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%24/04Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 22%31/08
Projected finish10th of 1847% of fieldRange 18-18 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.2%Ahead 1/4
10
9
OR 95
12/1
Shantou Show silks

Cross Syndicate

10yo Gelding · 10-11

Shantou - Oscar Show (Oscar)

Erin Dunseath−7lbN C Kelly60%
5P73P5
4.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Both wins under Rules in hunter chases and his losing run is mounting up. One of better recent efforts when third at Cartmel (25f) in June, but not in the same form in 2 subsequent outings. Has been given a chance by the handicapper, though.

Class Advantage

26/10 · C11 · finish vs mark below26/10 · mark par26/1027/11 · C11 · finish vs mark below27/11 · mark par20/01 · C10 · finish vs mark below20/01 · mark par13/06 · C10 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par28/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 12th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 71%26/10Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 43%20/01Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 45%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 71%28/06Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 33%15/08
Projected finish11th of 1841% of fieldRange 6-18 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.9%Ahead 1/4
16
18
OR 85
50/1
Walkmethroughit silks

Kieran Callaghan

6yo Gelding · 10-1

Walk In The Park - Your Wan (Galileo)

Reserve 1Kieran Callaghan
877PP7
2.0
Tongue strap

Went the wrong way over hurdles for J. D. Motherway last season. After 4 months off, looked in need of the experience sent chasing for this yard when seventh of 14 in handicap at Kilbeggan (2½m) in July. Tongue strap back on. RESERVE.

Class Advantage

23/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/0824/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/02 · C9 · finish vs mark below5/02 · mark par24/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 10th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 110y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 27%23/08Pos 9 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 53%Pos 8 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 50%23/11Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 63%5/02Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 54%24/07
Projected finish12th of 1835% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +55.9%Ahead 4/4
5
7
OR 108
33/1
Littlebiggie silks

Mrs Siobhan Hogan

9yo Mare · 11-10

Ask - Mountain Heather (Luso)

Liam Quinlan60%1/12R Hackett
37P480
3.0
Tongue strap

Started off well over fences last season, winning a Ballinrobe maiden (23f) at the third attempt. However, struggled for form afterwards and has gone backwards from a promising return over hurdles, weakening quickly back chasing at Kilbeggan (2½m) 2 weeks ago.

Class Advantage

29/09 · C1 · finish vs mark below29/09 · mark par29/0923/10 · C11 · finish vs mark below23/10 · mark par27/12 · C1 · finish vs mark below27/12 · mark par15/06 · C11 · finish vs mark below15/06 · mark par6/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par4/09 · C11 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 18th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 110y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 20%29/09Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 0%27/12Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%6/08Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 25%4/09
Projected finish13th of 1829% of fieldRange 16-18 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.9%Ahead 2/4
2
16
OR 110
12/1
Howdoyalikeherhome silks

Claire Wylie & Mark McGuckin

7yo Gelding · 11-12

Champs Elysees - Thedoublede (Deploy)

Alex Harvey60%J C McConnell
48F044
4.0

Only win came in handicap hurdle at this venue (2¾m) in April last year. Well held in 2 chase starts to begin the current season and below his best back hurdling since. However, he's worth a market check on handicap chase debut making first run since leaving Gordon Elliott.

Class Advantage

5/07 · C12 · finish vs mark below5/07 · mark par5/0731/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a30/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/07 · C3 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par6/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par26/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 110y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 93%5/07Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 22%30/06Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 57%6/08Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 75%26/08
Projected finish14th of 1824% of fieldRange 5-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.2%Ahead 3/4
15
13
OR 88
14/1
Dearg Mor silks

D Cunning & Eogan McCullen

5yo Gelding · 10-4

Ribchester - Trieste (Dubawi)

Simon Torrens0/3A A Howard
508444
4.0
Tongue strap

Improved form over hurdles when making the frame in handicaps at around 3m on first 2 outings this season. Was strong in the betting but stumbled soon after the start when below-par fourth of 16 at Kilbeggan (19f) in July. Interesting to see if the support returns as he goes chasing.

Class Advantage

7/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a7/1226/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a26/01 · C9 · finish vs mark below26/01 · mark par27/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par15/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below15/06 · mark par24/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength5%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 110y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 78%7/12Pos 13 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 22%26/01Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 77%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 79%15/06Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 80%24/07
Projected finish15th of 1818% of fieldRange 7-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength24%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.3%Ahead 2/4
17
17
OR 81
14/1
Jimli's Cave silks

Geoffrey Ruddock

8yo Gelding · 10-0

Court Cave - Larnalee (Presenting)

Reserve 2R K Watson80%
6P0559
3.0
Blinkers1st Tongue Strap +2

Sole success came over hurdles at this venue (2¾m) nearly 2 years ago. Form went the wrong way over fences last season and hasn't fared much better in 3 outings during the current campaign, running poorly back hurdling at Hexham in June. Blinkers refitted with tongue strap added. RESERVE.

Class Advantage

10/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par10/0810/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below10/10 · mark par29/03 · C9 · finish vs mark below29/03 · mark par8/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par13/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par21/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par21/06projClass-projected finish: 15th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 55%10/08Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 17%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 23%29/03Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 64%13/06Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 20%21/06
Projected finish16th of 1812% of fieldRange 8-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.1%Ahead 3/4
13
15
OR 92
25/1
Following Orders silks

IRE Asset Holding Limited

6yo Gelding · 10-8

Order Of St George - Tarentine (Saint Des Saints)

Shane O'Callaghan60%P J Rothwell60%
P09PF0
2.0
Blinkers

Fair form over hurdles at best but hasn't matched that level in 4 starts over fences this season, weakening in third when falling at the last in handicap at Wexford (19f) in August. Ran poorly reverted to hurdling at Kilbeggan 15 days ago. Back up in trip.

Class Advantage

5/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/08 · mark par5/0825/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/08 · mark par19/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/09 · mark par15/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a15/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a3/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 17th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 110y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 93%5/08Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 20%19/09Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 15%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 27%15/06Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 23%3/09
Projected finish17th of 186% of fieldRange 7-18 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.4%Ahead 3/4
14
14
OR 89
33/1
Schiehallion silks

Robert John Keane

9yo Gelding · 10-5

Court Cave - Labeille (Laveron)

Alix Balfe0/1−7lbD A McLoughlin60%
P2P5P0
3.0
1st Visor +2

Maiden hurdler who didn't offer much in 2 starts over fences this summer, fifth of 6 in maiden over this C&D on the first occasion. Fared no better back hurdling when down the field in handicap at Down Royal 3 weeks ago. Now tried in a visor.

Class Advantage

29/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/0810/10 · C10 · finish vs mark below10/10 · mark par31/10 · C10 · finish vs mark below31/10 · mark par18/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below18/04 · mark par13/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par28/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 13th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength17%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 90%29/08Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 70%Pos 18 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 18 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 11%31/10Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 93%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 20%13/06Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 36%28/08
Projected finish18th of 180% of fieldRange 11-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.2%Ahead 2/4