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18:15 · Wolverhampton

Cardway Cartons Box Designer Fillies' Handicap

1m 1f 104yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 64
2/1
Melting Snow silks

Anamoine Ltd

Melting Snow

3yo Filly · 9-3

Too Darn Hot - Virgin Snow (Gleneagles)

Billy Loughnane70%1/2E A L Dunlop60%
856421
7.0
Cheek pieces

Has been going the right way in handicaps, getting off the mark in 10-runner contest over this C&D 17 days ago. Was suited by the way the race developed last time, but she's a well-bred type so could still have more to offer. Not taken lightly.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/0412/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par2/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/08 · mark par1/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 104y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 22%25/04Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 38%16/06Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 80%2/08Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%1/09
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.0%Ahead 2/4
1
2
OR 70
8/1
Little Miss India silks

Hicky Parmar Racing Ii

Little Miss India

5yo Mare · 10-0

Invincible Spirit - Kerry Gal (Galileo)

L Morris70%James Owen80%
141850
4.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Quirky sort but successful twice here earlier in the year, the latest over C&D in March. Wasn't in the same form on turf next 2 starts, though, before well held returning from 5 months off at Doncaster (1m) 7 days ago. Switches back to cheekpieces.

Class Advantage

16/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/02 · mark par16/0221/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/03 · mark par23/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/03 · mark par5/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/04 · mark par24/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/04 · mark par11/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 104y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%16/02Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%23/03Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 30%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 43%24/04Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 17%11/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.3%Ahead 2/4
2
4
OR 70
7/2
Lilly Lux silks

Hudson, Baker And Partners

Lilly Lux

5yo Mare · 10-0

Free Port Lux - Lilly Du Havre (Le Havre)

Callum Shepherd70%George Baker
326423
6.0

Dual all-weather winner in France who produced her best effort for current yard when runner-up at Southwell in March. Backed that up when third of 10 at Windsor 8 weeks later, so task is now to pick up where she left off after 4-month absence.

Class Advantage

25/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/11 · mark par25/116/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/01 · mark par11/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/02 · mark par4/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/03 · mark par21/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/03 · mark par11/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par11/05projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 104y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 71%25/11Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 44%11/02Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%21/03Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 78%11/05
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength99%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.4%Ahead 2/4
8
5
OR 60
3/1
Evening Fades silks

Mr James Wigan

Evening Fades

3yo Filly · 8-13

Ulysses - In The Light (Inchinor)

Darragh Keenan0/2W J Haggas
464423
6.0Class ↓3
Tongue strap

Took a step forward when runner-up at this course (1½m) in July. Fitted with tongue strap, respectable third of 11 at Kempton 23 days ago and she enters calculations back down in trip.

Class Advantage

3/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a3/1223/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par30/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par26/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 104y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 73%3/12Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 29%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 57%17/06Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 91%30/07Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 80%26/08
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.7%Ahead 2/4
3
3
OR 68
20/1
Renesmee silks

Dynasty Racing

Renesmee

6yo Mare · 9-12

Iffraaj - Magique (Jeremy)

K S McHugh3/12−7lbMichael Keady60%
260658
3.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Narrow winner at Chelmsford (1m) in March but form went the wrong way during the summer, back on all-weather when down the field at Lingfield 24 days ago. Others more persuasive at present.

Class Advantage

8/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par8/055/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par17/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par31/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par25/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/08 · mark par25/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 104y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 93%8/05Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 24 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 24 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%17/06Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%15/08Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 13%25/08
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength24%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.5%Ahead 2/4
6
6
OR 58
7/1
Symphony's Song silks

Mr T C McKeever

Symphony's Song

4yo Filly · 9-2

Sergei Prokofiev - Two In The Pink (Clodovil)

S De Sousa60%Ian Williams
645336
4.0Going 7.0

Hasn't managed to improve for the switch to handicaps, one paced when sixth of 9 at Ffos Las (1¼m) 22 days ago. Has eased further in the weights at least.

Class Advantage

5/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a5/0531/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par24/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par9/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 104y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%5/05Pos 4 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 64%7/07Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%9/08Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 38%27/08
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.7%Ahead 2/4
7
7
OR 63
14/1
Speculative silks

Mr D R Passant

Speculative

3yo Filly · 9-2

Wootton Bassett - Helvezia (Holy Roman Emperor)

William Cox0/2Tom Dascombe
74895
3.0Class ↓3

Ran better than on handicap debut when fifth of 8 at Ffos Las (7.5f) last month, despite shaping as if needing a stronger gallop. More needed as she goes up in distance.

Class Advantage

24/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/0624/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par4/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par4/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength55%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 104y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 25%24/06Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 63%24/07Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 30%4/05Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 38%23/05Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 43%4/08
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +30.3%Ahead 3/4