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21:25 · Churchill Downs

Race 10 - Maiden Claiming

7f3YO plusDIRT14 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Value2
OR 78
5/1
Crawford silks

Joanne Batchelor

Crawford

4yo Filly · 8-12

Mckinzie - Tapped (Tapit)

Ben CurtisArnaud Delacour
583333
5.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

20/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par20/086/09 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par4/10 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/10 · mark par9/11 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/11 · mark par28/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par31/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼3
Strength78%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 5 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 0%20/08Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 67%4/10Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 60%28/06Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 60%31/07
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.6%Ahead 1/4
7
5
OR 66
8/1
Kopiana silks

K Johnston Racing Llc, Brothers Edmondson, Bowen Thoroughbred Racing Llc, Sparks, William S And Boulton, Amy

Kopiana

3yo Filly · 8-9

Runhappy - Anfield Rose (Wilburn)

Rafael Bejarano60%0/3R Moquett
95723
5.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

31/10 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a31/103/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par30/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below30/04 · mark par22/05 · C9 · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par14/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par14/06projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 20%31/10Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 64%3/04Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 14%30/04Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 89%22/05Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 75%14/06
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.6%Ahead 2/4
10
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 91
8/5
Rockin Robin silks

D J Stable LLC

Rockin Robin

3yo Filly · 8-9

Spun To Run - Winds Of Capri (Bernardini)

Jose Ortiz60%0/1Mark Casse
324228
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

6/11 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/11 · mark par6/1127/12 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/12 · mark par8/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/02 · mark par5/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/03 · mark par11/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/04 · mark par9/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par9/05projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength67%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 71%6/11Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 4 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 57%8/02Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 88%Pos 2 · SP 2/5 | Expected: 98%Pos 2 · SP 2/5 | Actual: 80%11/04Pos 8 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 8 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 36%9/05
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -26.8%Ahead 0/4
9
7
OR 77
7/2
Winning Matters silks

On Our Own Stable, Llc, U Racing Stables, Llc, Saints Or Sinners, Barker, Edwin S , Rivers, Daniel, Haines, John, Titletown Racing Stables, Zak Stables And Stewart, Dallas

Winning Matters

3yo Filly · 8-9

Game Winner - Moon Over Matter (Malibu Moon)

Brian Jr Hernandez60%0/4Dallas Stewart
802630
4.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

12/12 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/12 · mark par12/1217/01 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/01 · mark par13/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/03 · mark par16/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par13/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par24/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼3
Strength74%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 8 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 36%12/12Pos 12 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 12 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 83%13/03Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 82%13/06Pos 11 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 11 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 9%24/07
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.1%Ahead 3/4
5
4
OR 74
10/1
Quality View silks

Town And Country Racing Llc

Quality View

3yo Filly · 8-9

Essential Quality - Clare View (Hard Spun)

Luis Saez60%0/1Christophe Davis
222236
5.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

21/01 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a21/0126/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/02 · mark par26/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/03 · mark par21/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par20/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par1/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par1/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength67%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 67%21/01Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 75%26/03Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 80%20/06Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 29%1/08
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength44%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.9%Ahead 2/4
6
3
OR 80
15/1
Fozzer silks

Michael Foster

Fozzer

4yo Filly · 8-12

More Than Ready - Fujairah (Ghostzapper)

Dylan Machado60%0/1William Cowans
4372
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

12/12 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/127/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/03 · mark par7/0316/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/04 · mark par16/0411/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/08 · mark par11/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼3
Strength78%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 73%12/12Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 78%7/03Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 40%16/04Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 75%11/08
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 12-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength11%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.0%Ahead 0/4
12
9
OR 71
20/1
Astronova silks

Monticule LLC

Astronova

3yo Filly · 8-9

Temple City - Ms. Rubin (Sky Mesa)

Adam BeschizzaGregory Foley
5557
3.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

28/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/0823/09 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/09 · mark par23/0921/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par21/06projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 50%28/08Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%23/09Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 43%21/06
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.7%Ahead 2/3
4
6
OR 65
20/1
Buckeye Favorite silks

Robert Medina

Buckeye Favorite

3yo Filly · 8-9

Complexity - Lady Buckeye (Quiet American)

Walter Rodriguez60%Robert Medina
340075
3.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

2/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/0831/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par5/10 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/10 · mark par26/11 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/11 · mark par27/12 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/12 · mark par7/02 · C9 · finish vs mark below7/02 · mark par7/02projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength72%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 80%2/08Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 10%5/10Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 25%27/12Pos 5 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 5 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 64%7/02
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 14-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -23.8%Ahead 1/4
13
14
8/1
Alabama Getaway silks

Blue Devil Racing Stable (holliday)

Alabama Getaway

3yo Filly · 8-9

Unified - Carefree Highway (Creative Cause)

Martin Garcia60%Dale Romans
No form3.0

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish9th of 1438% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength58%
11
8
OR 73
30/1
Serafina Vietti silks

Ardere Racing Stable

Serafina Vietti

3yo Filly · 8-9

Lexitonian - Never Go Back (Take Charge Indy)

Yedsit Hazlewood60%Stephen Dunn
0
2.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

6/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/08
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength35%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 10%6/08
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 8-13 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength5%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.0%Ahead 1/1
8
12
OR 75
20/1
Cherry Springs silks

Flatland Racing Stable

Cherry Springs

3yo Filly · 8-9

Beau Liam - Roxanne Rox On (Temple City)

D E SheehyChris Hartman
8
2.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

27/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/08
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength35%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 36%27/08
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 6-11 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength5%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.0%Ahead 1/1
2
10
OR 67
30/1
Wado Wave silks

David Posey

Wado Wave

3yo Filly · 8-9

Mo Town - Knk's Dolce Vita (Hard Spun)

Cristian Torres60%James Dimmett
53060
3.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

5/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/027/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/03 · mark par29/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/03 · mark par12/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par27/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼3
Strength78%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 40%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 60%5/02Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%7/03Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 9%29/03Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 17%12/07Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 9%27/08
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 14-14 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.9%Ahead 2/4
14
11
OR 63
20/1
Donna Strada silks

Schumer, Chad And Humphries, Tommy

Donna Strada

3yo Filly · 8-9

Street Boss - Stormy Below (Stormy Atlantic)

Victor Carrasco0/1Tommy Humphries
63
4.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

24/05 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a24/0511/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par11/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength15%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 44%24/05Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%11/08
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 14-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.5%Ahead 2/2
3
13
30/1
Broadway Betty silks

Carlisle, Lewis B And Humphries, Tommy

Broadway Betty

3yo Filly · 8-9

Mckinzie - Broadway Diner (Tapizar)

Edgar Morales60%Tommy Humphries
No form3.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish14th of 140% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength0%