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16:50 · Newbury

Fitzdares Handicap (GBBPlus Race) (Div 2)

1m 2fGoing TBCClass 43YO plusTURFHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Top Pick1
OR 82
10/3
Empirical silks

TBT Racing

Empirical

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Kingman - Hidden Breeze (Dark Angel)

K Shoemark60%1/2E Walker60%
383112
8.0Going 9.0
Blinkers

Kingman colt who is on the up since fitted with headgear, going in at Nottingham (1m) and Ayr (1¼m) in July. Took another step forward when second of 7 over C&D 23 days ago. Can go very well again.

Class Advantage

27/12 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a27/1228/01 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a9/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par2/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par27/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par26/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 82%27/12Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%9/05Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%27/07Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 83%26/08
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength95%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.3%Ahead 2/4
4
Market Fav2
OR 83
9/4
Interstate silks

Godolphin

Interstate

3yo Colt · 9-7

Palace Pier - Pacifica Highway (Pulpit)

W Buick60%0/1J & T Gosden70%
02221
6.0Going 8.0
Blinkers

Well-related Palace Pier colt. Runner-up 3 times running before readily landing the odds (in a change of headgear) in 4-runner novice at Newcastle (1¼m) 15 days ago. Not taken lightly back in handicap company.

Class Advantage

13/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a13/1020/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a23/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par3/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 10 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 18%13/10Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 89%20/11Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%23/07Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 50%6/08Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 100%3/09
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.6%Ahead 2/4
7
3
OR 76
11/2
Due To Henry silks

Hp Racing Due To Henry

Due To Henry

5yo Gelding · 9-5

Due Diligence - Rivas Rhapsody (Hawk Wing)

Oliver Carmichael−7lbEve Johnson Houghton80%
025357
5.0
1st Blinkers +3

Unreliable sort though he went off too hard when last of 7 in handicap at Yarmouth (1¼m, good) 3 days ago. Took this in 2024 so can't be discounted if on his A-game in a change of headgear (blinkers on for first time).

Class Advantage

20/10 · C4 · finish vs mark below20/10 · mark par20/1025/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par18/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par13/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par30/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par15/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 18%20/10Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 33%18/05Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 56%30/08Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%15/09
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.4%Ahead 2/4
9
8
OR 74
6/1
Lucky Luna silks

RC Syndicate IV

Lucky Luna

3yo Filly · 8-12

Lucky Vega - Fleur De Sel (Linamix)

Joe Leavy0/2R Hannon60%
46162
5.0

Got off the mark in 7f maiden at Salisbury in June and resumed progress when runner-up in 6-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f) 17 days ago. Should remain competitive nudged up 1 lb.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a23/0530/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a9/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a27/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par1/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 20%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 73%23/05Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 50%30/05Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%9/06Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 55%27/07Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 80%1/09
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.8%Ahead 3/4
1
4
OR 86
20/1
Sweet Reward silks

Mr J G B Portman

Sweet Reward

9yo Gelding · 10-1

Acclamation - Dangle (Desert Style)

Olivia Tubb2/6−5lbJ G Portman
211908
4.0

Veteran scored twice on turf at Lingfield in May but below that form in a trio of runs subsequently, just eighth of 14 in handicap at Epsom (1½m, good) 18 days ago. This C&D scorer needs to bounce back.

Class Advantage

28/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above28/04 · mark par28/049/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par30/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par12/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par1/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par31/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength49%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 89%28/04Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 100%30/05Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 29%1/08Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 46%31/08
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.9%Ahead 3/4
2
6
OR 86
15/2
Law Court silks

Al Shaqab Racing

Law Court

3yo Colt · 9-10

Blue Point - Naadrah (Muhtathir)

R L Moore60%R Hannon60%
212926
5.0Going 8.0

Gained a first success at Sandown (1m) in May. Twice runner-up since but he came in last of 6 in handicap at Ascot (1¼m, good to firm) 13 days ago. Weighted to go well if back on song.

Class Advantage

16/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par16/0528/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par13/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par30/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par13/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par5/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength62%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 89%16/05Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 75%13/06Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 86%13/08Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 0%5/09
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.7%Ahead 2/4
3
5
OR 85
12/1
Dark Whisper silks

All For One Racing Vii

Dark Whisper

3yo Gelding · 9-9

Dark Angel - Birch Grove (Galileo)

Oisin Murphy70%D Menuisier60%
2310
5.0Going 9.0

Got off the mark at the third attempt in 1m Ffos Las maiden in June but proved a disappointment on his handicap bow when beating only 2 at Goodwood (1¼m, good to firm) following month. Not written off after a break.

Class Advantage

16/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/0431/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a31/0530/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a30/0630/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par30/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength55%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 89%16/04Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%31/05Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%30/06Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 15%30/07
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength12%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.3%Ahead 3/4
8
7
OR 73
12/1
Double Red silks

Mr T A F Frost

Double Red

5yo Gelding · 9-2

Belardo - Red Boots (Verglas)

David Probert70%2/5H Candy60%
844258
4.0

Frequent slow starter who made a winning return at Lingfield (1¼m) in April. Back in good nick since refitted with cheekpieces, not seen to best effect with eighth of 9 in handicap at Epsom (1¼m, good) 18 days ago. Not ruled out.

Class Advantage

9/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par9/058/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par1/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par25/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par6/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par31/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%9/05Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 67%1/07Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 67%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 33%6/08Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 13%31/08
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -17.4%Ahead 1/4
5
9
OR 77
25/1
Military Air silks

Mr J Fyffe

Military Air

4yo Gelding · 9-6

Frankel - Tiadargent (Kendargent)

Rossa Ryan70%M Blake60%
306058
2.0Class ↓3
Hood

Useful performer up to 1½m for H-F. Devin in France. However, little promise in 4 starts for David O'Meara this season, again failing to beat a rival in handicap at Doncaster (1¼m, good to firm) in July. Needs this yard switch to spark major progress.

Class Advantage

23/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a23/0920/10 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par17/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/05 · mark par11/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below11/06 · mark par3/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below3/07 · mark par3/07projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 3 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 60%23/09Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 29%21/04Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%11/06Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%3/07
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 8-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.3%Ahead 0/4