15:35 · Wolverhampton

Guardians Guild & BCMH Collaboration Nursery

7f 36yGoing TBCClass 62YO onlyALLWEATHERHandicap12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 61
7/4
Perfect Hope silks

Pall Mall Partners & Mildmay Racing

2yo Filly · 9-6

Perfect Power - Perfect Showdance (Showcasing)

Billy Loughnane70%T Ward60%
69822
6.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Lightly-raced maiden. Has been an improved model since sent handicapping over this trip, finding only one too good on both of her last 2 starts at Kempton and Leicester. Retains the cheekpieces on tapeta debut and has to be taken seriously in bid to open her account.

Class Advantage

8/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/062/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength76%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 36y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 44%8/06Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 33%2/07Pos 8 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 0%24/07Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 92%19/08Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 89%8/09
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.5%Ahead 3/4
9
4
OR 57
5/1
Soldier's Echo silks

Brighton Beaches Syndicate

2yo Filly · 9-2

Soldier's Call - Copperbeech (Red Ransom)

Harry Vigors60%−5lbH Palmer80%
7964
4.0

Lightly-raced maiden. Matched debut form when fourth of 8 on nursery debut at Catterick (6f, good, 9/1) last month. Goes up in trip on all-weather debut. Others more persuasive.

Class Advantage

1/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/0710/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/0720/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/0717/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par17/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 36y · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%1/07Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 27%10/07Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%20/07Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 57%17/08
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.2%Ahead 4/4
11
3
OR 54
16/1
April's Luck silks

Nick Bradley Racing 6 & Hold My Beer

2yo Filly · 8-13

Gleneagles - Mienvee Flyer (Pivotal)

Callum Shepherd70%Dylan Cunha
040
3.0Going 8.0

Failed to better just poor form in qualifying runs. Needs significant improvement on nursery debut.

Class Advantage

10/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/0818/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/0829/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength78%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 36y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%10/08Pos 4 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 73%18/08Pos 11 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 17%29/08
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.8%Ahead 2/3
2
5
OR 64
10/1
From Me To You silks

Rc Syndicate Xx

2yo Gelding · 9-9

Persian Force - Aunt Anny (Exceed And Excel)

Alec VoikhanskyR Hannon80%
760406
3.0Class ↓4

Modest maiden. Back to form when sixth of 14 in nursery at Windsor (6f, good to firm) 11 days ago. Makes tapeta debut and needs a couple of these to falter.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/044/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par13/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par7/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move2
Strength83%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 36y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 45%25/04Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 23 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 23 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 4%18/07Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 10%29/08Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 62%7/09
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.6%Ahead 3/4
7
Value2
OR 58
12/1
Jazzy Bay silks

The Woodway 20

2yo Gelding · 9-3

Dark Angel - Jasmine B (Exceed And Excel)

Callum Hutchinson60%0/2Eve Johnson Houghton60%
333446
4.0

Found some progress making nursery debut when third at Chepstow in July. Hasn't quite kicked on since but shaped better than bare result there (7f, soft) 20 days ago, needing lesser test. The headgear is quickly discarded switched to the all-weather and no surprise if he makes presence felt.

Class Advantage

26/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/058/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par28/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par9/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 36y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 50%26/05Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%8/07Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 40%9/08Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 38%29/08
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength1%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.0%Ahead 0/4
1
8
OR 64
11/2
Mick's The Boy silks

Easterby 50 Racing & Mr G Routledge

2yo Gelding · 9-9

Coulsty - Syamantaka (Clodovil)

Billy Garritty60%0/3M & D Easterby70%
82655
4.0Class ↓3
1st Cheekpieces +2

Best effort when chasing home subsequent Gimcrack winner Arapaho Gold in a Thirsk novice in July. May have found test too sharp when fifth of 8 in nursery at Catterick (6f, good) 10 days ago, doing best work finish. Goes up in trip with first-time cheekpieces replacing visor.

Class Advantage

12/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/061/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength75%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 36y · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%12/06Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 89%1/07Pos 6 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 6 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 44%15/07Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%8/08Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 43%8/09
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.5%Ahead 1/4
3
11
OR 62
16/1
Oh So Slow Sloth silks

Caspian Racing Limited

2yo Filly · 9-7

Dark Angel - Natural Instinct (Dandy Man)

Paddy BradleyR Menzies
657
4.0Class ↓4
Hood

Thrice-raced maiden whose best effort was when fifth in maiden at Ayr last month on second start. Failed to beat a rival either side of that. Makes handicap debut upped in trip.

Class Advantage

17/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/0510/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/0819/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength92%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 36y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%17/05Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 43%10/08Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%19/08
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.9%Ahead 1/3
6
7
OR 59
12/1
Printing Money silks

Hold My Beer, N Bradley 6, L Bearman

2yo Gelding · 9-4

Starman - Utterly Charming (Dandy Man)

L Morris70%Dylan Cunha60%
96739
3.0

Gelded after his qualifying runs and stepped up markedly on nursery debut fitted with headgear/tongue strap when third at Kempton last month. Shaped as if amiss when last of 9 at Beverley 11 days later. Can bounce back with that previous promise in mind.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/0518/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par30/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 36y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 9 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 27%23/05Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%18/06Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 14%1/07Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 83%19/08Pos 9 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 9 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 0%30/08
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength10%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -18.7%Ahead 2/4
5
6
OR 60
20/1
Better Nature silks

Shelmore Bloodstock And Partners

2yo Gelding · 9-5

Lightning Spear - Awesomebynature (Kodiac)

Rob Hornby0/3J G Portman
03265
4.0Class ↓4

Ran to a modest level on each of his first 3 starts but has failed to repeat that on both starts in nurseries. Needs to improve on first all-weather outing.

Class Advantage

18/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/058/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/08 · mark par29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move2
Strength87%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 36y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 18%18/05Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 78%8/06Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 80%7/07Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%9/08Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%29/08
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength4%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.9%Ahead 2/4
8
10
OR 57
33/1
Parkers Light silks

Mr S Middleton

2yo Gelding · 9-2

Oasis Dream - Dubai Hope (Invincible Spirit)

William Cox0/4Tom Dascombe70%
8547
3.0
1st Visor +2

Showed a bit of promise on debut but has been well beaten all 3 starts since. Visor replaces cheekpieces but he's hard to make a case for.

Class Advantage

1/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/0718/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/0710/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/0829/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 36y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 30%1/07Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%18/07Pos 4 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 25%10/08Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 25%29/08
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.7%Ahead 3/4
12
12
OR 50
20/1
Lightenings Legacy silks

Mr Connor Rhys Taylor

2yo Gelding · 8-9

Land Force - Crying Lightening (Holy Roman Emperor)

Rose Dawes60%−5lbM D I Usher80%
966
3.0Class ↓3
1st Blinkers +3

Well held all 3 starts (trained on debut by Grace Harris). First-time blinkers go on switched to handicapping and has work to do.

Class Advantage

29/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/0611/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/0831/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a31/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength77%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 36y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 11%29/06Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 0%11/08Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 29%31/08
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.2%Ahead 2/3
10
9
OR 55
12/1
Waiting For Archie silks

The Cool Silk Partnership

2yo Gelding · 9-0

Lope Y Fernandez - Azenora (Rock Of Gibraltar)

Barry McHugh70%0/3R A Fahey80%
5778
3.0

Eighth of 11 on nursery debut (10/1) at Newcastle (6f) 16 days ago on the back of a breathing operation. Has been given some help by the handicapper.

Class Advantage

2/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/058/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/064/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/072/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength62%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 36y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 43%2/05Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 33%8/06Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%4/07Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 30%2/09
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength6%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.1%Ahead 1/4