15:00 · Ayr

IDP Supporting Care Through Better Purchasing Handicap (Div 2)

1mGood to Soft (Soft in places)Class 53YO plusTURFHandicap13 runners
Ordered by projected finish
10
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 65
4/1
Starliner silks

Mr David Orr & Miss L A Perratt

5yo Gelding · 9-4

Showcasing - Dawning (War Chant)

William Pyle70%2/5Miss L A Perratt
226221
8.0Class ↓4

Runner-up 4 of 5 starts prior to winning 1m all-weather handicap at Newcastle 12 days ago when dropped in grade. Up 3 lb and has a C&D win to his name but up against a lot younger rivals this time.

Class Advantage

13/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par13/0720/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par1/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par2/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par5/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength55%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Soft (Soft in places)Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 88%13/07Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 44%1/08Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 91%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 90%2/09Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%5/09
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.2%Ahead 3/4
3
2
OR 73
16/1
Roaring Ralph silks

Mrs C E Dods

6yo Gelding · 9-12

Roaring Lion - Seychelloise (Pivotal)

Mark Winn60%1/2M Dods60%
113075
4.0
Cheek pieces

Thriving earlier this year with 5 wins from 6 starts, including one at this track, but he has gone off the boil lately. Back down to last winning mark but hard to be too confident about at present.

Class Advantage

20/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par20/0515/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par23/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par24/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par14/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par3/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Soft (Soft in places)Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%20/05Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%23/06Pos 17 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 17 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 6%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 57%14/08Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%3/09
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.7%Ahead 2/4
1
4
OR 74
7/1
Sailthisshipalone silks

Ontoawinner 8

5yo Gelding · 9-13

Havana Gold - Liberisque (Equiano)

Jason Hart60%0/2I Furtado60%
143933
5.0
Cheek piecesTongue strap

Won at Pontefract on reappearance/stable debut in April and produced back-to-back thirds that have worked out pretty well there in July. Below last winning mark now and he's one to take seriously back down in grade after 62 days off.

Class Advantage

7/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/04 · mark par7/0429/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/04 · mark par5/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par26/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par7/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par17/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par17/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength76%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Soft (Soft in places) · 17%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%7/04Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%5/06Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%7/07Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%17/07
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.9%Ahead 1/4
4
5
OR 68
5/1
Barley silks

Reality Partnerships

7yo Gelding · 9-11

Mehmas - Cornakill (Stormin Fever)

D Allan60%0/18T D Easterby60%
324401
6.0
Cheek pieces

Ended very long losing run in a handicap at Carlisle 8 days ago. Largely consistent previously this year but now faces a penalty and may be pushing it to think he'll go back-to-back after so long.

Class Advantage

25/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/078/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par15/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par19/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par6/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par9/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength73%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Soft (Soft in places) · 17%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 86%25/07Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 92%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 67%15/08Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 63%Pos 13 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 13 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 33%6/09Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%9/09
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.4%Ahead 1/4
2
6
OR 73
6/1
They All Know Me silks

Mr M J Macleod

4yo Gelding · 9-12

Sergei Prokofiev - Silver Machine (Brazen Beau)

D Nolan1/6R A Fahey60%
818042
6.0Going 8.0

Off the mark at Carlisle over 7f on soft ground in May. Good second of 10 there 8 days ago having dropped back to winning mark and holds claims if things drop right (often starts slowly).

Class Advantage

12/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/04 · mark par12/0418/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par14/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par26/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par21/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par9/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Soft (Soft in places) · 17%Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 22%12/04Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 36%14/06Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 31%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 67%21/08Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 89%9/09
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.9%Ahead 2/4
8
8
OR 72
13/2
You Sexy Thing silks

Phil Cunningham

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Dark Angel - Intense Romance (Intense Focus)

Saffie Osborne70%1/5R Spencer
613064
4.0

Off the mark at Sandown last August but hasn't won since. Had little racing this year but ran well when fourth of 8 in a handicap over 7f at Ascot 13 days ago and could step up for that return from 12 weeks off dropped in grade and back up to 1m.

Class Advantage

9/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par9/0830/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par11/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par4/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/10 · mark par11/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par4/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength69%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Soft (Soft in places) · 33%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 17%9/08Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 75%11/09Pos 25 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 25 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 4%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 44%11/06Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 57%4/09
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.5%Ahead 2/4
5
9
OR 71
8/1
Green Pursuit silks

Chalkstone Racing

4yo Gelding · 9-10

Arizona. - High Regards (High Chaparral)

D Swift0/10S Spencer70%
005352
6.0
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Turned in best effort of season when second of 15 in 1m handicap at Thirsk in August, responding well to the return of cheekpieces and tongue strap. Unexposed at trip so merits respect.

Class Advantage

24/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/10 · mark par24/1029/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/03 · mark par18/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/04 · mark par18/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par14/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par14/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par14/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength57%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Soft (Soft in places) · 17%Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 23%24/10Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 64%18/04Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 60%14/06Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 93%14/08
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength81%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.3%Ahead 3/4
13
3
OR 56
20/1
Penelope's Sister silks

The Market Traders

6yo Mare · 8-9

War Command - Lenoire (Galileo)

Rhys Elliott60%−5lbJ S Goldie
543567
4.0

Three-time winner over C&D but not so good this year and may be better off in a lower grade.

Class Advantage

19/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par19/066/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par27/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par10/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par12/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 12th of 13
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Soft (Soft in places) · 17%Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%19/06Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 75%27/07Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 44%2/09Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%12/09
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 12-13 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.0%Ahead 0/4
9
7
OR 72
20/1
Mandarin Spirit silks

Sheikh Juma Dalmook Al Maktoum

3yo Filly · 9-7

Ghaiyyath - Mandiana (Siyouni)

K Stott70%1/6K A Ryan70%
186944
4.0Class ↓5
1st Cheekpieces +2

Thirsk maiden winner but hasn't kicked on this year and needs to settle a lot better than she has over 1¼m recently. Cheekpieces now reached for back down to 1m.

Class Advantage

25/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/0726/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par31/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par14/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par8/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par8/08projClass-projected finish: 13th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength70%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Soft (Soft in places) · 17%Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%25/07Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 38%4/05Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%14/07Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 25%8/08
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 11-13 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.7%Ahead 2/4
7
10
OR 70
14/1
Quiet Resolve silks

Mr S McMillan & Mr F Reay

5yo Gelding · 9-9

Showcasing - Stylish Design (Henrythenavigator)

H Crouch60%A D Brown60%
264620
4.0
Cheek pieces

Made winning reappearance/stable debut at Hamilton in May and came second of 9 in handicap at same track in August. Best not judged too harshly on recent outing in Leger Legends race at Doncaster 6 days ago, racing freely. Cheekpieces now reapplied.

Class Advantage

15/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par15/052/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par11/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par25/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par11/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par11/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Soft (Soft in places)Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 89%15/05Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 25%11/07Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 88%11/08Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 8%11/09
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 2-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.4%Ahead 3/4
12
12
OR 60
20/1
Mayor Of Maghera silks

Mr R Michael Smith

4yo Gelding · 8-13

Kessaar - Oh Simple Thing (Compton Place)

Billy Garritty60%R M Smith60%
176054
4.0
Cheek pieces

Made most at Musselburgh in June but not kicked on since and more required here.

Class Advantage

30/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par30/0620/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par27/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par8/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par24/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par12/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 13
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Soft (Soft in places)Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%30/06Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 38%27/07Pos 10 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%24/08Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 67%12/09
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 5-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.9%Ahead 3/4
11
11
OR 68
12/1
Trinculo silks

Chasemore Farm

3yo Gelding · 9-3

Caravaggio - Flighty Almighty (Elusive Quality)

O J Orr60%H Palmer60%
8335
4.0

Showed fair form for George Baker but failed to improve on handicap debut when last seen in July. Now starts out for a new yard upped to 1m so is a possible improver and is worth watching in the betting.

Class Advantage

6/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/064/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/0525/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/052/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par2/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength77%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Soft (Soft in places) · 25%Dist: 1m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 13%6/06Pos 3 · SP 16/5 | Expected: 83%Pos 3 · SP 16/5 | Actual: 78%4/05Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 33%25/05Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 60%2/07
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.4%Ahead 1/4
6
13
OR 75
20/1
Upper East silks

Lamont Racing

3yo Gelding · 9-10

Mehmas - Al Dawodiya (Gutaifan)

Joanna Mason60%K Scott70%
467
4.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Showed promise when fourth on debut at Doncaster in June but that may have flattered him and he didn't show much on first outing since leaving Richard Hannon last month. Has since been gelded and now makes handicap debut.

Class Advantage

5/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/0613/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/0611/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength66%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Soft (Soft in places)Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 25%5/06Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%13/06Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 14%11/08
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.8%Ahead 1/3