19:15 · Wolverhampton

GE Starr Engineering...The Brightest Spark Handicap

6f 20yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
9
Top Pick1
OR 69
10/3
Horace Wallace silks

Mr N D Kershaw

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Blue Point - Free Spirit (Exceed And Excel)

J F Egan1/1R A Fahey70%
870441
6.0Class ↓3
Visor

Very well backed in a visor for the first time when opening his account in handicaps at Lingfield 17 days ago. Up 4 lb in a better race but he's well drawn and is expected to be a factor again.

Class Advantage

27/02 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/02 · mark par27/0213/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/03 · mark par17/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par20/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par8/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par1/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 36%27/02Pos 7 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 7 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 25%Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 15%17/05Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 57%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 57%8/08Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%1/09
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.0%Ahead 3/4
1
2
OR 75
4/1
Come On Over silks

Come On Over Syndicate & A H Yates Ltd

3yo Gelding · 9-12

Kodiac - No Lippy (Oasis Dream)

Billy Garritty60%D O'Meara70%
144122
7.0Class ↓3
Visor

Big career best when doubling tally at Redcar in August and has backed that up with a pair of excellent runner-up efforts, finding only a progressive one too good at Redcar on Monday. Claims are fairly obvious turned out quickly back on all-weather.

Class Advantage

3/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par3/0721/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/07 · mark par1/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par22/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par3/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par15/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%3/07Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 57%1/08Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 83%3/09Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 92%15/09
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +46.4%Ahead 4/4
5
Market Fav3
OR 73
11/4
Korbut silks

Cheveley Park Stud

3yo Filly · 9-10

Study Of Man - Frolova (Dutch Art)

L Morris70%1/8Sir Mark Prescott
222212
7.0Going 8.0

Runner-up for fourth consecutive start on handicap debut at Southwell in July and a late jink (hung badly right) wasn't enough to stop her from going one better in 3-runner Ffos Las maiden subsequently. Another sound effort when second 2 weeks ago and she can be a factor again returned to 6f.

Class Advantage

11/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par11/062/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par17/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par27/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par21/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par3/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength72%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 86%11/06Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 88%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 88%17/07Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 100%21/08Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 88%3/09
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.3%Ahead 3/4
8
6
OR 71
8/1
Santiago Boy silks

Rosehill Racing Iii

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Mayson - Atlantic Isle (Tamayuz)

Rob HornbyC Hills60%
548224
5.0
Blinkers

Took a step forward sent handicapping in first-time blinkers with second of 14 at Kempton (1m) last month and backed up that improvement when filling the same position over 7f there 9 days later. Backward step on turf since but return to this surface should help his cause.

Class Advantage

20/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a20/051/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a6/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par10/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par19/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 50%20/05Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 36%6/07Pos 2 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 89%19/08Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 57%28/08
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength91%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.9%Ahead 3/4
2
4
OR 75
7/1
Acclaimed Freedom silks

J Sarkar, D Sarkar, O Sarkar & D Sarka

3yo Gelding · 9-12

Aclaim - Freedom Spirit (Muhaarar)

Billy Loughnane70%George Scott60%
624624
5.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Produced his best effort to date on the back of a gelding operation when second of 8 over C&D last month, never nearer. Sound-enough fourth at Lingfield 2 weeks ago and he can remain competitive. Cheekpieces back on with Loughnane booked.

Class Advantage

28/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par28/038/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par4/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par9/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par18/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par3/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 38%28/03Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 89%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%4/07Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 29%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 86%18/08Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 50%3/09
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -34.7%Ahead 0/4
7
7
OR 72
16/1
Flash Rascal silks

Jimbo & Simmo

3yo Gelding · 9-9

Havana Grey - Delirium (Tamayuz)

S De Sousa60%0/1D Loughnane
323187
5.0

Showed consistency on all-weather through the winter before winning a 6f turf handicap at Haydock for Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole in April. Easy to back and struggled in a higher grade on debut for new yard at Doncaster and ran even worse at Southwell latest.

Class Advantage

6/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/01 · mark par6/013/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/02 · mark par17/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/02 · mark par25/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par15/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par27/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength55%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%6/01Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 83%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%17/02Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 22%15/08Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 40%27/08
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.5%Ahead 3/4
6
5
OR 70
33/1
Beauzon silks

Beaunus Hunters

7yo Gelding · 9-9

Brazen Beau - Pepper Lane (Exceed And Excel)

S Donohoe0/1Ian Williams
600060
3.0

Completed a remarkable 7-timer in typical fashion from the front over C&D in March. Went into his shell on turf this summer and no immediate upturn in his fortunes returned to all-weather at Southwell 2 weeks ago. Did miss the break on that occasion and inching back to last winning mark.

Class Advantage

16/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/03 · mark par16/0311/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par25/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par14/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below14/08 · mark par22/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par3/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 17%16/03Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%25/07Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 17%22/08Pos 12 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 0%3/09
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.4%Ahead 2/4
4
8
OR 73
16/1
Million Gold silks

Mr Jaber Abdullah

3yo Gelding · 9-10

Earthlight - Hana Lina (Oasis Dream)

Callum Shepherd70%M Appleby60%
13068
3.0

Overcame obvious inexperience when winning novice at Kempton in December but was unable to land the odds at Newcastle the following month and has barely beaten a rival in handicaps.

Class Advantage

3/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/1224/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par31/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par15/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength52%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%3/12Pos 3 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 60%24/01Pos 14 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%27/06Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%31/08Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 13%15/09
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength22%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.0%Ahead 1/4
3
10
OR 73
20/1
Hayynah silks

Ahmad Ziad Galadari

3yo Filly · 9-10

Showcasing - Platinum Pearl (Shamardal)

Harry Vigors60%−5lbOllie Sangster70%
217050
3.0Class ↓4
1st Visor +2

Put experience to good use to get off the mark in 9-runner Southwell novice (5f) in February but has failed to make a significant impact in handicaps since. Visor needs to sharpen her up.

Class Advantage

4/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/02 · mark par4/0224/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/02 · mark par11/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/04 · mark par30/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par15/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par13/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par13/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 89%4/02Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%11/04Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 60%15/06Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 18%13/07
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength30%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.6%Ahead 3/4
10
9
OR 66
12/1
Obsidian Verse silks

Totaii Limited

3yo Gelding · 9-3

Lope Y Fernandez - Persaria (Equiano)

Jonny PeateJ R Fanshawe80%
581568
3.0

Got off the mark in 6f handicap at Southwell in April. Hasn't kicked on from that as hoped but way he shaped over 7f at Kempton a month ago suggests return to 6f is a good move.

Class Advantage

12/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/1027/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/03 · mark par30/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par13/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par17/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par19/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 33%12/10Pos 8 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 8 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 22%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%30/04Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 55%17/07Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 22%19/08
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.0%Ahead 1/4