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16:25 · Dundalk

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Race

5fStandard2YO onlyPOLYTRACK6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Top Pick1
OR 92
10/3
Walk On Harry silks

Andy Robertson

Walk On Harry

2yo Colt · 9-10

Earthlight - Omanome (Acclamation)

Ronan Whelan1/3H De Bromhead60%
831
6.0
Tongue strap

Improved again when off the mark in a first-time tongue strap in 16-runner maiden at Cork (5f, good) 35 days ago. That form is proving solid, so has to be respected.

Class Advantage

26/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a26/0624/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a24/0714/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a14/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 36%26/06Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 78%24/07Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%14/08
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.4%Ahead 2/3
2
Market Fav2
OR 94
2/1
Hanney Boy silks

Miss Alison Jones

Hanney Boy

2yo Colt · 9-10

Kodi Bear - Colour Blue (Holy Roman Emperor)

J Cleary−5lbMiss E McCutcheon60%
223317
4.0
Cheek pieces

Put experience to good use in justifying short odds in 10-runner maiden (8/11) at Cork (5f, good to firm) in July, just holding on. Didn't see his race out in first-time cheekpieces back up in grade at York but can't be dismissed now returning to a more suitable level.

Class Advantage

3/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/0519/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a7/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par24/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par22/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 89%3/05Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 75%7/06Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%24/07Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 40%22/08
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +38.6%Ahead 4/4
5
5
OR 80
7/1
Cyclone Code silks

R Cavanagh

Cyclone Code

2yo Gelding · 9-5

Kodi Bear - Spy Ring (Bushranger)

Wayne Lordan60%S Cavanagh
6634
3.0

Showed more dash than on his first 2 outings returning from a 9-week break on the back of a gelding operation when third of 8 in 5f maiden at Navan (good) 16 days ago. This demands more, though. Engaged 2.52 Naas Thursday.

Class Advantage

11/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/051/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a1/072/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/0917/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 5f · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 44%11/05Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 29%1/07Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 71%2/09Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 57%17/09
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 3-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.8%Ahead 3/4
1
3
OR 86
6/1
Force Noir silks

AMO Racing Limited

Force Noir

2yo Colt · 9-10

Persian Force - Princess Rose (Royal Applause)

Ben Coen70%Robson Aguiar
210
4.0

Confirmed debut promise in spades when clear-cut winner of 5f maiden at Naas in April. Fitted with first-time blinkers (left off here) when down the field in Norfolk Stakes on sole run for Kevin Philippart De Foy but it's too soon to be writing him off given previous promise.

Class Advantage

15/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/0327/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/0420/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a20/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 83%15/03Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 100%27/04Pos 17 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 17 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 20%20/06
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -17.7%Ahead 1/3
3
4
OR 89
5/1
Supreme Lord silks

AMO Racing Limited

Supreme Lord

2yo Colt · 9-10

Starman - Tammy Wynette (Tamayuz)

Donagh O'Connor60%0/3Robson Aguiar
35517
3.0

Showed much improved form when winning 8-runner nursery at Navan (5.8f) in August. Not in same form in a stronger race there last time but obvious chance if bouncing back on polytrack debut.

Class Advantage

8/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/0723/07 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a9/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par5/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 5f · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 71%8/07Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 20%23/07Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 60%9/08Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%27/08Pos 7 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 7 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 33%5/09
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.7%Ahead 2/4
6
6
7/1
Monologue silks

Brendan Keogh

Monologue

2yo Gelding · 9-5

Dandy Man - Giselles Thunder (Night Of Thunder)

Jack Kearney0/1Stephen Thorne
4
4.0

Dandy Man gelding who showed ability but was found wanting for know-how around a sharp track when fourth of 11 in 5f maiden at Down Royal on debut 14 days ago, best work finish. Will improve.

Class Advantage

4/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 70%4/09
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.5%Ahead 0/1