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21:27 · Presque Isle Downs

Race 2 - Allowance

1m 70y3YO plusDIRT7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 98
9/5
Justifiable Steel silks

Terry Stephens

Justifiable Steel

3yo Filly · 8-7

Justify - Northern Beauty (Munnings)

Axel Concepcion60%Aaron West60%
691111
9.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

7/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a7/0827/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/09 · mark par28/10 · C9 · finish vs mark above28/10 · mark par4/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par14/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par17/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par17/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 70y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 38%7/08Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%28/10Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%14/07Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%17/08
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.1%Ahead 4/4
1
2
OR 87
5/2
Night Nurse silks

Rice Racing

Night Nurse

4yo Filly · 8-11

Divining Rod - Doukas (Kantharos)

Addiel Ayala60%5/13Kevin Rice60%
243351
6.0

Class Advantage

2/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below2/06 · mark par2/0623/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par7/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par30/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par17/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par9/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 70y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 75%2/06Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 60%7/07Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%17/08Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%9/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.4%Ahead 1/4
6
3
OR 84
4/1
Starship Discovery silks

Angela Polichena

Starship Discovery

5yo Mare · 8-11

Mucho Macho Man - Ramblin Rosie (Roar)

David Delgado60%Debbie Schaber
346143
6.0

Class Advantage

12/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below12/10 · mark par12/1025/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par9/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below9/06 · mark par29/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par3/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par1/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 70y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 67%12/10Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 40%Pos 6 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 6 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 0%9/06Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 40%3/08Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 60%1/09
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.4%Ahead 2/4
7
4
OR 70
10/1
Cole's Valentine silks

Ralph Baez

Cole's Valentine

5yo Mare · 8-11

Jess's Dream - We'll Talk (Tejano Run)

Ciera Pruitt−7lbRalph Baez
364231
6.0

Class Advantage

9/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par9/0623/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par21/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par5/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below5/08 · mark par19/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par2/09 · C9 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 70y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%9/06Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 57%21/07Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 33%19/08Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%2/09
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.0%Ahead 2/4
2
6
OR 73
9/2
Josefina silks

Julie Knott

Josefina

4yo Filly · 8-11

Higher Power - Calabrisella (Curlin)

Edgard ZayasChristophe Davis
754562
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

23/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/0320/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/12 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a4/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/02 · mark par27/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/02 · mark par27/02projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 70y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%23/03Pos 5 · SP 15/1 | Expected: 21%Pos 5 · SP 15/1 | Actual: 20%20/04Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 67%27/12Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 83%4/02Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 67%27/02
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 3-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.8%Ahead 0/4
4
5
OR 93
10/1
Tricky Kitty silks

Mrs S K Johnston, Jr

Tricky Kitty

4yo Filly · 8-11

Kitten's Joy - Hulda (Candy Ride)

Taylor Kingsley60%−7lbThomas Garner
333688
3.0Going 8.0Class ↓4

Class Advantage

11/01 · C6 · finish vs mark below11/01 · mark par11/0128/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par23/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/04 · mark par13/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par12/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par26/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 70y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 78%11/01Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 82%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 78%23/04Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%12/07Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%26/08
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength14%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -20.2%Ahead 0/4
5
7
OR 56
6/1
Gipoia silks

Newstead Stables Llc

Gipoia

5yo Mare · 8-11

Verrazano - Santa Carolina (Tiger Ridge)

Paco Lopez70%H Motion
5
2.0

Class Advantage

21/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a21/08
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 70y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 0%21/08
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength27%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -82.5%Ahead 0/1