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15:28 · Downpatrick

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Chase

2m 1f 165yGoing TBC4YO plusTURF12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
11
Top Pick1
OR 97
4/1
Whispering Willow silks

Daragh O'Driscoll

Whispering Willow

5yo Mare · 11-5

Marcel - Hidden Sapphire (Zoffany)

Keith Donoghue60%0/3G P Cromwell60%
133602
5.0
Tongue strap

Readily off the mark in big-field Punchestown hurdle on handicap hurdle/stable debut in May before a pair of promising efforts over fences. Bounced back from a couple of disappointing efforts when 3 lengths second of 14 to Mo Ghille Mar at Down Royal last time and bold bid expected now back chasing.

Class Advantage

13/05 · C9 · finish vs mark above13/05 · mark par13/0522/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a1/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a6/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par24/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par28/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%13/05Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 85%Pos 3 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 60%1/06Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 40%24/07Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 92%28/08
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.1%Ahead 2/4
2
4
OR 100
3/1
Kalsman silks

William Anderson

Kalsman

8yo Gelding · 11-12

Kalanisi - South Circle (Desert King)

Kieren Buckley0/3L Lennon
190332
7.0
Hood

Made all over hurdles at Down Royal in April. Matched that form at second attempt over fences when 2¼ lengths second of 15 to Driveonwill in handicap at this course last time. That was the seventh time he's made the frame from 9 outings at this track so must be respected.

Class Advantage

12/04 · C9 · finish vs mark above12/04 · mark par12/048/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par31/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par13/06 · C10 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par9/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below9/08 · mark par31/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%12/04Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 12 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 12 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 15%31/05Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 75%9/08Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 93%31/08
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +39.8%Ahead 4/4
9
Market Fav2
OR 93
11/4
Sea Of Doubt silks

D Cleere

Sea Of Doubt

6yo Mare · 11-5

Affinisea - Alwaysadoubt (Yeats)

Conor Stone-Walsh0/1Ian Donoghue60%
232U64
7.0
Tongue strap

Shed maiden tag in mares handicap hurdle at Downpatrick (2¼m) in May and placed 3 times since (including over fences). Creditable 8¼ lengths fourth of 14 to Warmer Days Ahead at Kilbeggan last time. One to consider back in maiden company over fences.

Class Advantage

22/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par22/0514/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par30/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below30/06 · mark par14/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par14/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below14/08 · mark par3/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 44%22/05Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 89%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 85%30/06Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 93%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 38%14/08Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 77%3/09
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength81%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.9%Ahead 3/4
7
3
OR 86
12/1
Feet On The Ground silks

Sheamus Ahern

Feet On The Ground

8yo Mare · 11-5

Westerner - Eyes On The Stars (Milan)

Alan O'Sullivan60%−5lbJames Hannon60%
04P367
3.0
1st Hood +1

Maiden who hasn't kicked on from a promising enough third on chasing debut in May. Hood fitted on first run for yard since leaving Fergal O'Brien and she has a little bit to prove.

Class Advantage

2/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/12 · mark par2/1221/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/02 · mark par24/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/03 · mark par28/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par11/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below11/06 · mark par7/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par7/07projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 86%2/12Pos 10 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 10 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 18%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 73%24/03Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 44%11/06Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 33%7/07
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.0%Ahead 2/4
1
8
7/1
Doctor Confusion silks

Anthony Coughlan Heating & Plumbing Ltd

Doctor Confusion

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Doctor Dino - Cantara (Kapgarde)

Mike O'Connor60%0/1H De Bromhead80%
686P84
3.0
Tongue strap

Low-mileage 5-y-o who ran best race over hurdles when 10¾ lengths fourth of 14 to Ina Mina in handicap at Tramore in August. Probably best watched on chasing debut unless market states otherwise.

Class Advantage

17/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a17/118/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a14/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below21/07 · mark par16/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below16/08 · mark par16/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%17/11Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 63%8/12Pos 6 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 6 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 64%14/05Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 13%21/07Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 77%16/08
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.2%Ahead 2/4
12
12
14/1
Pillartou silks

Gerard Neary

Pillartou

4yo Gelding · 11-2

Pillar Coral - Mysticaltou (Shantou)

Shane O'Callaghan60%P J Gilligan
P0085
2.0

Fared better than previously over hurdles when 9½ lengths fifth of 16 to Ardgillan on handicap debut at Bellewstown last month. Pulled up sole outing in points, though, and pedigree doesn't scream obvious chaser.

Class Advantage

9/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/0510/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/0724/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a24/0726/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 31%9/05Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 31%10/07Pos 8 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 50%24/07Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 73%26/08
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +46.2%Ahead 4/4
8
5
50/1
Fizzle Rock silks

Judith Long

Fizzle Rock

9yo Mare · 11-5

Laverock - Fizanni (Arzanni)

Carl Millar60%1/6−5lbN Slevin
13344U
5.0Going 8.0

Fair winning hurdler who has gone with no encouragement in 2 starts over fences either side of a near 3-year absence.

Class Advantage

8/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/0710/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a17/09 · C11 · finish vs mark below17/09 · mark par19/10 · C4 · finish vs mark below19/10 · mark par10/11 · C1 · finish vs mark above10/11 · mark par26/11 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a26/11projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 63%8/07Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 80%17/09Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 50%10/11Pos 4 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%26/11
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength30%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.5%Ahead 2/4
4
10
OR 98
10/1
Pralognan silks

Dewsweepers Syndicate

Pralognan

7yo Gelding · 11-12

Dabirsim - Prema (Big Shuffle)

Daniel King60%0/3A J Martin
551354
5.0
Tongue strap

Course winner over hurdles who wasn't seen to best effect when fourth behind Parkgrave in handicap hurdle here on return from 8-month absence last time. Didn't cut much ice on sole previous outing over fences and is probably one for handicaps in this sphere later on.

Class Advantage

4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/094/10 · C7 · finish vs mark below4/10 · mark par2/11 · C10 · finish vs mark below2/11 · mark par26/11 · C7 · finish vs mark below26/11 · mark par27/11 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a9/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below9/08 · mark par9/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 9 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 38%4/09Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 80%2/11Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 85%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 43%27/11Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 63%9/08
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.3%Ahead 3/4
10
7
16/1
Thirsty Work silks

Keep The Faith Bloodstock Limited

Thirsty Work

5yo Mare · 11-5

Masked Marvel - Faustina Pius (Antonius Pius)

Phillip Enright60%0/5O McKiernan
000002
4.0
Tongue strap

Left previous efforts well behind when 12 lengths second of 16 to O'Grady Cracker in handicap hurdle at Kilbeggan in July. She's out of a winning chaser, so there's every reason to think she ought to prove at least as effective now tackling fences.

Class Advantage

17/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a17/116/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/04 · mark par28/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par24/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 15 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 33%17/11Pos 13 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%15/12Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 31%Pos 11 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 11 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 41%28/05Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 93%24/07
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength32%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.4%Ahead 3/4
3
9
OR 68
12/1
King Gris silks

Little Emperor Syndicate

King Gris

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Gris De Gris - Dexterite (Laveron)

Sam Ewing60%0/1G Elliott70%
911557
3.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Managed to win a couple of handicap hurdles around 2½m at Ayr and Hexham last season, but could only match that form sent chasing when mid-field in a maiden at this track last time and is probably one for handicaps later on. Cheekpieces replace blinkers worn on his 3 previous starts.

Class Advantage

1/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/12 · mark par1/1210/12 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/12 · mark par12/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/04 · mark par8/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par22/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par29/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a29/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/11 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/11 | Actual: 100%1/12Pos 1 · SP 4/11 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/11 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 56%12/04Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 54%22/05Pos 17 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 17 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 11%29/08
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.2%Ahead 2/4
5
6
OR 95
33/1
Quirt Evans silks

BLT Partnership

Quirt Evans

11yo Gelding · 11-12

Getaway - Mae Mobley (Saffron Walden)

Thomas O'Connor60%−7lbM Fahey
800090
2.0

One-time useful hurdler who didn't take to chasing the first time around and was badly out of sorts when last seen over hurdles over 2 years ago.

Class Advantage

11/05 · C12 · finish vs mark below11/05 · mark par11/0515/05 · C12 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par6/07 · C12 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par29/10 · C12 · finish vs mark below29/10 · mark par5/11 · C12 · finish vs mark below5/11 · mark par16/11 · C11 · finish vs mark below16/11 · mark par16/11projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 46%11/05Pos 13 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 36%6/07Pos 14 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 7%Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 27%5/11Pos 12 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 27%16/11
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.2%Ahead 4/4
6
11
50/1
Cherry Red silks

D M Christie

Cherry Red

8yo Mare · 11-5

Ocovango - Lucy Rouge (Croco Rouge)

Ben Harvey1/3D M Christie
PUP107
3.0

Made successful stable debut when winning 2¼m mares maiden hurdle at Sligo in June, but beaten in handicap of stiff mark there next time and made several mistakes when well held on chasing debut 7 days ago.

Class Advantage

3/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/1221/12 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a8/02 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par11/09 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a11/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 67%3/12Pos 13 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 14%8/02Pos 1 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 29%12/07Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 25%11/09
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +42.0%Ahead 4/4