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15:40 · Newbury

Dubai Duty Free Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m 4fGoing TBCClass 43YO plusTURFHandicap12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 83
7/2
Lady Magu silks

Chris Fahy, Stuart Marchant & Partner

Lady Magu

3yo Filly · 9-7

Sea The Moon - Mary Elise (Mastercraftsman)

Ray Dawson1/3R Varian60%
5511
7.0

Upwardly-mobile Sea The Moon filly who landed maiden at Ffos Las (1¼m) in June before impressively following up on her handicap debut at Wolverhampton (1½m) in July. Hiked up 8 lb but she has more to offer after a break and merits serious consideration in her hat-trick bid.

Class Advantage

27/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a27/0423/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/0517/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a17/0614/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par14/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 64%27/04Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 43%23/05Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%17/06Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%14/07
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.3%Ahead 2/4
10
Value2
OR 75
5/1
Littlecote silks

Denford Stud

Littlecote

3yo Filly · 8-13

Camelot - Jack Naylor (Champs Elysees)

Oisin Murphy70%0/1A M Balding60%
52221
7.0

Camelot filly who ended a run of 3 second placings with success in 6-runner novice at Newcastle (1½m) in May. Off since but she remains with potential now going handicapping.

Class Advantage

2/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a2/1028/03 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/04 · mark par19/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par19/05projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%2/10Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 80%28/03Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 80%8/04Pos 2 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 2 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 86%27/04Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%19/05
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.5%Ahead 2/4
9
3
OR 79
6/1
Hello Friend silks

Ace Stud

Hello Friend

3yo Filly · 9-3

Frankel - Lucrece (Pivotal)

Callum Rodriguez60%K R Burke60%
2242
7.0Going 8.0

Frankel filly made the frame in novices on her first 3 starts before taking a step forward on her handicap debut when beaten a nose in 5-runner event at Newmarket (1¾m, good) last month. Well in the mix with further progress on the cards.

Class Advantage

19/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/0516/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/0627/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/0715/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength65%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 80%19/05Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 75%16/06Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 77%27/07Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 75%15/08
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.0%Ahead 3/4
3
4
OR 82
16/1
Gloryous silks

Mr W Clifford

Gloryous

4yo Filly · 9-13

Cotai Glory - Saikung (Acclamation)

William Carson60%3/13J A Osborne
683212
7.0Going 10.0

Resumed winning ways at Kempton (1½m) in August and backed it up with a solid second of 6 in seller at Goodwood (11f, soft) 19 days ago. Needs considering.

Class Advantage

24/10 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/10 · mark par24/1029/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below29/06 · mark par11/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par13/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par26/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par30/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength57%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 55%24/10Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%11/07Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%26/08Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 80%30/08
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength44%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.5%Ahead 2/4
4
9
OR 77
8/1
Aphrodite Spirit silks

Janetevans,norman Courtstud&Susanbunne

Aphrodite Spirit

4yo Filly · 9-8

Ulysses - Siralen (Majestic Warrior)

Joe Leavy1/5R A Teal
321332
6.0Going 8.0

Got off the mark in 1¼m novice at Lingfield last September. Solid placed efforts in 3 handicap this summer (first 2 here) and a short-head second of 8 to Gloryous at Kempton (1½m) last time. Can go well again nudged up 1 lb.

Class Advantage

6/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a6/0617/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a8/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a1/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par17/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par26/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 75%6/06Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%8/09Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%17/07Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 86%26/08
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.9%Ahead 3/4
12
6
OR 70
8/1
Glenna silks

Fitorfat Racing 1

Glenna

3yo Filly · 8-8

Gleneagles - Lara (Camelot)

Jack Callan60%T Ward
452133
7.0Going 8.0

Opened her account at Windsor (11.5f) in June and in good nick since, not enjoying the smoothest of passages when third in handicap at Goodwood (1½m, good) 3 weeks ago. Not out of things.

Class Advantage

8/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/04 · mark par8/0415/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par11/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par27/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par27/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par28/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 63%8/04Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 69%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 83%11/06Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 75%27/07Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 60%28/08
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.5%Ahead 2/4
8
8
OR 79
10/1
Bintknight silks

Salhia Stud Limited

Bintknight

3yo Filly · 9-3

Pinatubo - Westwiththenight (Cape Cross)

Lewis Edmunds1/3Harry Charlton
51214
7.0Going 9.0

Quickly doubled her tally on handicap bow at Lingfield (1¼m) in August. Not seen to ideal effect under a patient ride when a close fourth of 8 to Gloryous at Kempton (1½m) last time. Remains likely capable of better and not taken lightly here.

Class Advantage

8/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/0526/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par1/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par26/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 20%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%8/05Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%26/05Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 86%3/07Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%1/08Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 57%26/08
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.4%Ahead 3/4
5
10
OR 77
7/1
Nightsinwhitesatin silks

David Kilburn, Mrs Corbett, Chris Wrig

Nightsinwhitesatin

4yo Filly · 9-8

Dark Angel - Silver Games (Verglas)

R L Moore60%E Bethell60%
242224
6.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Course winner last August. In the frame on all 6 starts (runner-up 4 times) this season, coming in a creditable fourth of 13 at Haydock (1¼m, good to soft) last time. Ought to be thereabouts once more.

Class Advantage

18/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/04 · mark par18/048/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par21/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par10/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par17/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par3/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 91%18/04Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 79%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 67%21/05Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 89%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 50%17/07Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 75%3/09
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.7%Ahead 1/4
7
5
OR 81
12/1
Counter Intuitive silks

Lord Lloyd Webber

Counter Intuitive

3yo Filly · 9-5

Frankel - Counterpoint (Dubawi)

K Shoemark60%0/1E Walker
86117
5.0

Frankel filly who looked well on the up when bagging novice at Thirsk and handicap at Newmarket (both over 1½m) this summer. Came in last of 7 at Salisbury (1½m, good) last time but is well worth another chance.

Class Advantage

5/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a5/1114/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par13/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/08 · mark par13/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 42%5/11Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%14/05Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%16/06Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%17/07Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 0%13/08
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.9%Ahead 3/4
1
7
OR 85
12/1
Redbud Sixteen silks

Rc Syndicate Xv

Redbud Sixteen

4yo Filly · 10-2

Galiway - Tristesse (Broken Vow)

Colin KeaneCharlie Pike
381172
7.0Going 8.0

Got off the mark at Salisbury (1¼m) and easily followed up over 11f here later in June. Right back on track after a break with second of 7 in handicap at Salisbury (1¼m, good to soft) 15 days ago, especially as ridden aggressively. Very much one to consider on her first go at this trip.

Class Advantage

23/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a23/096/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below6/04 · mark par14/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par23/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par3/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below3/07 · mark par3/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 78%23/09Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%14/06Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 7 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 14%3/07Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 83%3/09
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength24%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.5%Ahead 3/4
2
12
OR 82
20/1
Miss Tonnerre silks

John Pearce Racing Ltd

Miss Tonnerre

4yo Filly · 9-13

Night Of Thunder - Sacrifice My Soul (Nayef)

Ashley Lewis60%0/1−3lbE Walker
770404
4.0Class ↓4
Hood

Winless since her debut but this fairly useful filly got back on track after a 3-month layoff with fourth of 7 in handicap at Haydock (1¼m, good to soft) 15 days ago. Possibilities.

Class Advantage

5/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/07 · mark par5/076/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par17/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par19/11 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/11 · mark par27/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par3/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength73%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%5/07Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 14%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 10%17/09Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 13 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%27/05Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%3/09
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.0%Ahead 3/4
11
11
OR 68
33/1
Autumn's Breeze silks

Neal And Sheralee Grayston

Autumn's Breeze

5yo Mare · 8-13

Le Brivido - Whitefall (Street Cry)

Finley Marsh70%0/2G & J Moore60%
17399P
3.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Won twice on the turf course (1m5f/2m) at Lingfield last summer. Only twice raced this season and off since being pulled up over C&D in May. Has something to prove.

Class Advantage

2/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/08 · mark par2/089/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par23/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par19/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par24/10 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/10 · mark par1/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par1/05projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%2/08Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 33%23/08Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 18%24/10Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 11%1/05
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -17.8%Ahead 1/4