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14:47 · Newton Abbot

Bayside Signs & Display Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Chase

3m 1f 170yGoing TBCClass 54YO plusTURFHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Value2
OR 100
13/2
Fiskardo silks

Vernon & Anna Phillips

Fiskardo

6yo Gelding · 12-0

Sholokhov - Campanella Rose (Stowaway)

Shane Fenelon60%1/6M Bowen
123444
5.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Won a Perth bumper on the back of a significant absence in April and made the frame over hurdles and on chase bow since. Likely to stay and open to improvement in this sphere.

Class Advantage

24/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/0420/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par19/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 1f 170y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%24/04Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 71%11/06Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 57%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 79%19/08Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 57%28/08
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.0%Ahead 1/4
1
Top Pick1
OR 100
7/1
Great D'Ange silks

Mr Alexander Gibbons

Great D'Ange

10yo Gelding · 12-0

Great Pretender - Vickx (Network)

Tom Broughton60%0/9A Gibbons80%
PP9226
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓2
1st Blinkers +3Tongue strap

Untrustworthy individual who faltered close home when second over C&D in July. Looked held when making a terrible mistake 2 out there since.

Class Advantage

20/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par20/0729/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below29/09 · mark par30/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par3/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/07 · mark par19/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par22/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 1f 170y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 33%20/07Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 11%30/05Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 83%19/07Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%22/08
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.9%Ahead 3/4
4
6
OR 94
11/2
Royal Time silks

Sue Howell

Royal Time

7yo Gelding · 11-8

Court Cave - Billythefilly (Exit To Nowhere)

Charlie Maggs60%Christian Williams
537U43
4.0

Mixed record in Ireland for Shane Crawley but made an encouraging start for this yard when third at Bangor 2 weeks ago after 4 months off. That form has already received a boost so big shout in this weaker race.

Class Advantage

20/11 · C9 · finish vs mark below20/11 · mark par20/1126/12 · C9 · finish vs mark below26/12 · mark par20/01 · C9 · finish vs mark below20/01 · mark par5/03 · C9 · finish vs mark below5/03 · mark par21/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below21/05 · mark par4/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 1f 170y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 38%20/11Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 71%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 80%20/01Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 70%21/05Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 67%4/09
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +39.5%Ahead 4/4
5
4
OR 81
11/4
Flashy Boy silks

Price & Mathias Partners

Flashy Boy

9yo Gelding · 10-9

Sageburg - Shining Lights (Moscow Society)

Callum Pritchard60%R L Llewellyn
1P4531
8.0
Tongue strap

Confirmed the promise of his Stratford run when off the mark under Rules over C&D 3 weeks ago. Remains low mileage for his age so every chance he can do better again.

Class Advantage

5/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below5/11 · mark par5/1112/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/05 · mark par7/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/10 · mark par19/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par20/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par27/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 1f 170y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 40%5/11Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 78%7/10Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 43%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 60%20/08Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%27/08
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength57%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.9%Ahead 2/4
7
3
OR 74
10/1
Testflight silks

Mr D V Gardner

Testflight

9yo Gelding · 10-2

Kayf Tara - Molly Flight (Saint Cyrien)

C P O'Shea60%0/2−3lbMrs S Gardner
334345
5.0Class ↓2

Did well over C&D last summer but has been rather quiet this time around, always behind when last seen 9 weeks ago.

Class Advantage

29/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/09 · mark par29/0918/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/10 · mark par21/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/10 · mark par20/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par23/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par19/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par19/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 1f 170y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%29/09Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 60%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%21/10Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 63%23/06Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 33%19/07
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.1%Ahead 2/4
3
Market Fav7
OR 88
9/4
Broadway Honey silks

Willy Twiston-Davies

Broadway Honey

6yo Mare · 11-9

Zambezi Sun - Broadway Theatre (King's Theatre)

Toby McCain-Mitchell60%−3lbN & W Twiston-Davies
355551
6.0

Left her lowly hurdles form behind right away when switched to chasing after a 3-month break, making most at Worcester last week, and holds an obvious chance under a penalty if this doesn't come too soon.

Class Advantage

25/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/1126/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/02 · mark par25/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/03 · mark par9/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par3/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par10/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 1f 170y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 67%25/11Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 20%25/03Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 43%3/06Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%10/09
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.5%Ahead 3/4
6
5
OR 78
12/1
Unspeakable silks

The Unspeakable Twelve

Unspeakable

8yo Gelding · 10-6

Sholokhov - Croise Naofa (Presenting)

Ellis Collier0/1Christian Williams60%
276464
4.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Narrow winner at Hereford off 3 lb higher last autumn. Has generally been off his game since but might have needed latest run after 11 weeks off.

Class Advantage

17/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/11 · mark par17/114/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/12 · mark par19/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par24/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par23/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/06 · mark par6/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 1f 170y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%17/11Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 17%19/04Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 38%23/06Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 40%6/09
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -38.6%Ahead 0/4