14:32 · Newbury

Haynes Hanson & Clark Conditions Stakes (Str)

1mGoing TBCClass 22YO onlyTURF10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
OR 89
7/1
King High silks

Valmont

2yo Colt · 9-4

Kingman - Bella Nouf (Dansili)

Callum Rodriguez60%1/2Owen Burrows
41
8.0

Built on Sandown debut to win a C&D novice (good to firm) 35 days ago, just holding on from a next-time-out winner. Should be more to come from him.

Class Advantage

29/07 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a29/0714/08 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a14/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength9%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 40%29/07Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%14/08
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.2%Ahead 1/2
1
5
7/1
Algaihabane silks

Shadwell Estate Company Ltd

2yo Colt · 9-4

Dubawi - Wasaayef (Kingman)

R L Moore60%J & T Gosden60%
71
6.0Going 8.0

Needed experience when beaten favourite on debut and different proposition when holding on gamely at Sandown (7f, good to soft) just 9 days later. Holds a Group 1 entry so evidently well regarded by his top stable.

Class Advantage

19/08 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a19/0828/08 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a28/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 7 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 45%19/08Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%28/08
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.5%Ahead 1/2
5
Value2
OR 92
11/2
Apulia Bay silks

Rabbah Racing

2yo Colt · 9-2

Too Darn Hot - Stella D'italia (Sea The Stars)

Oisin Murphy70%S & E Crisford
321
7.0Going 7.0

600,000 gns Too Darn Hot colt who has made steady progress, easily winning a match race on Nottingham nursery debut (8.3f, good to firm) 38 days ago. Likely capable of better again for a stable operating at a 33% strike-rate with 2-y-os in 2026.

Class Advantage

6/07 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a6/0728/07 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a28/0711/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par11/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 75%6/07Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 67%28/07Pos 1 · SP 1/6 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 1/6 | Actual: 100%11/08
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.7%Ahead 1/3
2
Market Fav4
13/8
Bin Jahwar silks

Godolphin

2yo Colt · 9-4

Ghaiyyath - Tasaday (Nayef)

W Buick60%C Appleby60%
1
10.0

Ghaiyyath colt who looked a smart prospect when easily landing odds of 1/3 on his Newmarket debut (1m, good) 5 weeks ago. Holds a Group 1 entry next month. Has the scope for plenty of improvement and the one to beat.

Class Advantage

15/08 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a15/08
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 1/3 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 1/3 | Actual: 100%15/08
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.7%Ahead 0/1
6
3
OR 91
7/1
Flying Pirate silks

J Allison & G C Stevens

2yo Gelding · 9-2

Blackbeard - Karakatsie (Karakontie)

Charles Bishop2/3Eve Johnson Houghton70%
131
8.0
Cheek pieces

Useful effort when making it 2 from 3 in novices with a wide-margin defeat of 6 rivals over 7f at Haydock (good to soft) in first-time cheekpieces 15 days ago. Still quite flighty in the preliminaries at Haydock but could be more to come if his quirks can be kept in check.

Class Advantage

9/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a9/0630/06 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a30/063/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%9/06Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 80%30/06Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%3/09
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.5%Ahead 2/3
8
6
8/1
Impasto silks

Juddmonte

2yo Colt · 9-0

Palace Pier - Tempera (Dansili)

Colin Keane0/1A M Balding60%
2
8.0

10/3, shaped with plenty of encouragement when second of 11 in maiden at Ascot (7f, good) on debut 14 days ago. Looks sure to progress for top connections.

Class Advantage

4/09 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a4/09
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 90%4/09
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-5 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.5%Ahead 1/1
4
8
14/1
The Balearic Sun silks

Valmont & Spicer Thoroughbreds

2yo Colt · 9-4

Lope De Vega - Sunny Again (Shirocco)

H Crouch60%1/2R M Beckett60%
91
6.0
Tongue strap

300,000 gns yearling who could manage only ninth of 10 on his Sandown debut in July but showed significant improvement with a tongue tie added (retained) when proving too strong for 4 rivals in a 7f Epsom maiden 13 days later. Will stay 1m.

Class Advantage

3/07 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a3/0716/07 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a16/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 11%3/07Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%16/07
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -26.7%Ahead 1/2
7
7
OR 84
16/1
Grove Street silks

Mr Ryan Kent

2yo Colt · 9-0

Lope De Vega - Folk Dance (Golden Horn)

D Egan60%B J Meehan
22
7.0

Fairly useful form when runner-up at Sandown and Chepstow (both 7f, good) in recent months. Entered in Group 1 Futurity and could be even more to come for in-form stable now moving up to 1m.

Class Advantage

29/07 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a29/0718/08 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a18/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength13%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 80%29/07Pos 2 · SP 2/5 | Expected: 98%Pos 2 · SP 2/5 | Actual: 75%18/08
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.7%Ahead 1/2
10
10
50/1
Yuzuru silks

Mr Martin Hughes

2yo Colt · 9-0

Hello Youmzain - Grace And Danger (Teofilo)

P J Dobbs60%R Hannon60%
4
4.0

Hello Youmzain colt who caught the eye when faring best of the newcomers in 7f Kempton novice 14 days ago, nearest at the finish in fourth. Can do better.

Class Advantage

4/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a4/09
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 75%4/09
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +38.2%Ahead 1/1
9
9
25/1
Noble Traveller silks

John Collins & Emma Cracknell

2yo Colt · 9-0

Zarak - Counteractor (Sea The Stars)

S M Levey70%0/1R Hannon60%
24
6.0

Promising start to his career when second of 12 in a valuable newcomers race at Deauville (7f, good to soft) 26 days ago, just failing to get there having had to wait for a run. Possibly unsuited by very testing ground when only fourth in 1m Goodwood maiden since.

Class Advantage

13/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a13/088/09 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a8/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 91%13/08Pos 4 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 4 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 50%8/09
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.7%Ahead 1/2