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17:45 · Wolverhampton

Dave Hill, Mental Health Ambassador Handicap

1m 4f 51yGoing TBCClass 64YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
3
OR 57
8/1
Trojan Truth silks

Woodham Walter Partnership

Trojan Truth

7yo Gelding · 9-6

Ulysses - Verity (Redoute's Choice)

L Morris70%1/8E De Giles60%
263253
6.0

Typically slowly away but recorded a hat-trick last summer. Beaten just a short head at Ffos Las in July though has lost even more ground at the start in 2 subsequent outings, 4 lengths third of 6 to Belle Amie at Bath 16 days ago. Capable of getting involved if things drop right.

Class Advantage

29/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par29/0520/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par28/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par17/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 51y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 86%29/05Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 60%14/07Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%17/08Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 60%2/09
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +37.4%Ahead 4/4
2
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 60
11/10
Belle Amie silks

Happy Energy Solutions Ltd

Belle Amie

4yo Filly · 9-9

Belardo - Corpus Chorister (Soldier Of Fortune)

Callum Shepherd70%2/2D M Simcock60%
141431
8.0

Has taken her form up a notch for current yard this year, making a successful stable debut in minor event over this C&D in February. Has won a pair of handicaps at Bath since, the latest in decisive fashion 16 days ago. Strong contender.

Class Advantage

9/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/02 · mark par9/027/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par13/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par26/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par15/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 51y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%9/02Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 70%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%13/06Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%15/08Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%2/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.5%Ahead 2/4
1
2
OR 60
5/2
Luan silks

Hasmonean Racing

Luan

4yo Gelding · 9-9

Sea The Stars - Lamorlaye (Danehill Dancer)

Billy Loughnane70%1/2Nick Scholfield60%
091192
6.0
Tongue strap

Much improved when winning back-to-back handicaps at Newcastle and this C&D during the summer for James Ferguson. Stepped forward from his stable debut effort when runner-up here 17 days ago, albeit helped by being well positioned.

Class Advantage

14/10 · C6 · finish vs mark below14/10 · mark par14/102/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par26/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par6/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par1/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 51y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 13 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 14%14/10Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%26/06Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 20%6/08Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%1/09
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.2%Ahead 2/4
3
4
OR 59
8/1
Tenadaay silks

Mr J N Greenley

Tenadaay

4yo Gelding · 9-8

Adaay - Ortenzia (Lawman)

Gina Mangan60%1/2F O'Brien
680127
6.0Class ↓4

First Flat start for present stable when scoring in good style over this C&D in January. Backed that up with a good second at Southwell in March before shaping as if needing the run when down the field at Lingfield last month. Merits consideration.

Class Advantage

11/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below11/09 · mark par11/098/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/12 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/01 · mark par11/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/03 · mark par15/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength80%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 51y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%11/09Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 25%27/12Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 86%11/03Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 25%15/08
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.7%Ahead 3/4
6
5
OR 50
7/1
Wonderful Wendy silks

Mr B Preece

Wonderful Wendy

4yo Filly · 8-13

Kameko - Maralika (Dubawi)

Harry Vigors60%−5lbH J Evans
05625
4.0Class ↓3

Justified support when making a successful handicap debut at Chepstow in June. Possibly needed the outing after 12 weeks off when fifth of 8 at the same course 20 days ago, so she could yet do better after only the 5 career starts.

Class Advantage

1/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/085/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength75%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 51y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 17%1/08Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 43%5/04Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 29%27/04Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 88%6/06Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 43%29/08
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.6%Ahead 3/4
7
6
OR 45
33/1
Nora Barnacle silks

The Ffrench Revolution Racing

Nora Barnacle

4yo Filly · 8-9

Ulysses - Darwinia (Acatenango)

Isobelle Chalmers−7lbD J S Ffrench Davis
067667
2.0
Hood

Has yet to finish better than mid-divison, returning from a further 12 weeks off when seventh of 10 in handicap at Bath (1¾m) 16 days ago. Races from 1 lb out of the weights here.

Class Advantage

4/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par4/081/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/12 · mark par8/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/01 · mark par7/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/02 · mark par13/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 51y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 8%4/08Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 55%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%8/01Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 29%13/06Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%2/09
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength22%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.8%Ahead 3/4
4
7
OR 57
50/1
Six Blue silks

Mr Colin Pocock

Six Blue

6yo Mare · 9-6

Blue Bresil - Sanjida (Polish Precedent)

Callum Hutchinson60%R T Phillips
65508
2.0Class ↓4

Offered little in a trio of bumpers and hasn't kicked on from her more encouraging effort on Flat debut in March, failing to beat a rival in all-weather handicaps on last 2 starts. Back up in trip.

Class Advantage

7/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/0330/03 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/07 · mark par17/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par17/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength82%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 51y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 8%7/03Pos 6 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 5 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 43%27/04Pos 5 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%8/07Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%17/08
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength12%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.7%Ahead 2/4