13:12 · Downpatrick

Randox Handicap Hurdle

2m 1f 165yGoing TBC4YO plusTURFHandicap12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
9
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 100
5/2
Beggars Rock silks

Beggars Cant Be Choosers Syndicate

7yo Gelding · 11-2

Soldier Of Fortune - Try Trix (Try Prospect)

Kevin Sexton60%4/13Ian Donoghue80%
636011
9.0Going 8.0
BlinkersTongue strap

Has bounced back to form of late winning handicap chases at Wexford and at this course in August, beating Presenting Lad by 4¾ lengths at this track on latest. Reverts to hurdling off much lower hurdles mark and looks up to completing the hat-trick.

Class Advantage

4/04 · C11 · finish vs mark below4/04 · mark par4/0412/04 · C11 · finish vs mark below12/04 · mark par16/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par2/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par8/08 · C11 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par31/08 · C11 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 69%4/04Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 78%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 58%16/05Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 47%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%8/08Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%31/08
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.0%Ahead 4/4
12
4
OR 91
10/3
Calm Flight Ahead silks

Miss Phidelma Elvin & Donal P Keane

5yo Gelding · 10-7

Wings Of Eagles - Stormy Horizon (Sans Frontieres)

Shane O'Callaghan60%P J Rothwell60%
0000P1
5.0
Blinkers

Left previous hurdling efforts well behind when routing a 13-runner handicap at Sligo last month by 12 lengths from Fremantle Doctor. That form is proving solid and, while a 12 lb rise clearly demands further progress, he must be high on the shortlist.

Class Advantage

2/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/035/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 40%2/03Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 41%5/03Pos 13 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 45%21/03Pos 11 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 9%10/04Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 100%19/08
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +48.9%Ahead 4/4
5
5
OR 103
15/2
Dairy Force silks

McConnell & O'Shea Partnership

7yo Gelding · 11-5

Workforce - Golden Belief (Gold Well)

James Smith60%−5lbG Elliott
2253F6
5.0
Hood

Without a win since hurdling debut (when trained by Liam O'Brien) but has enjoyed a good spell this summer, runner-up twice and a creditable third of 6 at Tramore in August. Let down by jumping next time and not so good last time. A clear round needed if he's to be involved at the finish.

Class Advantage

15/05 · C11 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par15/052/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par12/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par27/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par13/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below13/08 · mark par3/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength12%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 12 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 15%15/05Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 91%12/07Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 79%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%13/08Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 62%3/09
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.5%Ahead 2/4
6
8
OR 103
8/1
Quint Major silks

Quint Major Partnership

8yo Gelding · 11-5

Aizavoski - Nansheen (High Chaparral)

Daniel King60%M A Molloy
304075
2.0

Fairly useful bumper winner in 2024. Below that level over hurdles but took a step back in the right direction when 7½ lengths fifth of 11 to Gino Bella in handicap at Cork last month. Capable of being involved.

Class Advantage

9/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/1018/10 · C11 · finish vs mark below18/10 · mark par14/11 · C3 · finish vs mark below14/11 · mark par30/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par3/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par3/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%9/10Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 29%14/11Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 46%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 68%27/07Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 60%3/08
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +38.9%Ahead 4/4
3
Value2
OR 104
50/1
Gone For Tea silks

Martin W White

8yo Mare · 11-6

Champs Elysees - What's For Tea (Beat All)

Conor Stone-WalshN C Kelly60%
3010PP
6.0Going 10.0

Won a bumper and mares handicap hurdle for Peter Fajer but showed nothing in 2 starts for Ian Donoghue last season. Plenty to prove starting out for another new yard.

Class Advantage

10/11 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a10/1126/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/05 · mark par28/05 · C11 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par7/07 · C11 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par31/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 18%10/11Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 93%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 83%10/05Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%7/07Pos 15 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 22%31/07
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength13%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.3%Ahead 2/4
10
9
OR 98
7/1
Derry Lad silks

Dreamers Alliance Syndicate

8yo Gelding · 11-0

Epaulette - Romea (Muhtarram)

J J Slevin60%Kevin Coleman
07F829
3.0
Tongue strap

Maiden hurdler who finished second in a novice handicap here on return last season before finishing down the field in a handicap at Punchestown just 4 days later. Has struggled to rediscover his best form on the Flat this year, though, and looks up against it now back over hurdles.

Class Advantage

15/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below15/04 · mark par15/0415/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par24/06 · C7 · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par16/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par6/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par23/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%15/04Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 71%24/06Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 50%6/08Pos 12 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 12 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 27%23/08
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.1%Ahead 2/4
4
7
OR 103
15/2
Chantilly Wings silks

John M Lynch

5yo Gelding · 11-5

Wings Of Eagles - Conors Yeats (Yeats)

Jordan Gainford0/2C Collins
345234
5.0
Tongue strap

Fair maiden hurdler who has finished in the frame on all 3 starts this season, shaping as if still in form but stretched by longer trip when 12¼ lengths fourth of 14 to Thesilverbridle in extended 2½m maiden at Bellewstown on latest. His opening mark demands improvement, though.

Class Advantage

5/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/0816/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below16/08 · mark par5/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par10/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par4/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below4/08 · mark par26/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 86%5/08Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 71%5/09Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%4/08Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 77%26/08
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.8%Ahead 1/4
2
3
OR 106
33/1
Portnacoo silks

H Smyth

8yo Gelding · 11-8

Morozov - Lady Shanrod (Generous)

Donagh Meyler0/1H Smyth60%
74PU94
5.0

A 4-time winner in 2024/25 who didn’t offer much encouragement last season, but he has rejoined the Smyth yard since last seen and is now on a workable mark. His record fresh is mixed at best, though he’ll be worth noting in the betting with Donagh Meyler booked.

Class Advantage

1/01 · C11 · finish vs mark below1/01 · mark par1/0117/02 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/02 · mark par15/06 · C12 · finish vs mark below15/06 · mark par3/10 · C12 · finish vs mark below3/10 · mark par22/01 · C11 · finish vs mark below22/01 · mark par18/02 · C11 · finish vs mark below18/02 · mark par18/02projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 84%1/01Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 25%15/06Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 43%22/01Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 25%18/02
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.2%Ahead 2/4
1
6
OR 110
33/1
Migdam silks

Enduring Love Syndicate

7yo Gelding · 11-12

Zelzal - Asyad (New Approach)

Phillip Enright60%0/1J Fahey60%
5187
2.0

Lightly raced over hurdles but won a maiden at Tramore last summer (wore hood). Hasn't shown much in a pair of handicaps in this sphere since, though and difficult to make a case for him unless the market was to suddenly speak in his favour.

Class Advantage

28/09 · C7 · finish vs mark above28/09 · mark par28/099/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/10 · mark par26/11 · C7 · finish vs mark below26/11 · mark par6/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/04 · mark par8/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par4/09 · C11 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 71%28/09Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 91%Pos 13 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 8%26/11Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 65%Pos 14 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 14 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 0%8/05Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 25%4/09
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.0%Ahead 3/4
11
11
OR 98
33/1
Viceregent silks

Liam Lennon

9yo Gelding · 11-0

Nathaniel - Simply Shining (Rock Of Gibraltar)

Mr E P Powell0/1−7lbL Lennon
4650P0
3.0

Dual Flat winner who was placed several times in early days over hurdles but has been lightly raced and made little in this sphere in recent times, including on return for new yard last month.

Class Advantage

6/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par6/085/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par2/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/10 · mark par13/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/10 · mark par22/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/10 · mark par28/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%6/08Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 31%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 58%2/10Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 87%Pos 17 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 17 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 27%22/10Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 31%28/08
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +50.8%Ahead 4/4
8
10
OR 102
7/1
Lilac Lady silks

Mrs Janice Doyle

6yo Mare · 11-4

Churchill - Flowers Will Bloom (Fastnet Rock)

Alan King60%1/5−7lbM M McNiff
532417
5.0
Tongue strap

Front runner who responded well to a tongue strap when finally off the mark at Sligo last month but failed to back that up off 7 lb higher mark and when taken on for the lead over the same C&D next time.

Class Advantage

6/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par6/0824/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below24/10 · mark par12/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/05 · mark par9/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/06 · mark par12/07 · C10 · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par6/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par6/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 11 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 17%6/08Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 93%12/05Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%12/07Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 14%6/08
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.1%Ahead 2/4
7
12
OR 102
33/1
Earl Neigh silks

Kay Russell

7yo Gelding · 11-4

Mahler - Lough Ennell (Scorpion)

Philip Donovan60%0/3A Slattery60%
536P00
3.0
Tongue strap

Has never stood much racing and didn't show anything to make him of interest in a trio of handicaps since returning in May.

Class Advantage

27/12 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a27/1220/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a30/05 · C11 · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par3/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par3/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 40%27/12Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 87%9/11Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 17%30/05Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 47%3/08
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +40.5%Ahead 4/4