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14:57 · Downpatrick

Kildress Plumbing Suppliers Rated Novice Hurdle

2m 5f 110yGoing TBC4YO plusTURF9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
8
Market FavTop Pick1
11/4
Lady Lena silks

Temple Bloodstock Lady Lena Syndicate

Lady Lena

6yo Mare · 11-4

Flemensfirth - I'm All You Need (King's Theatre)

Brian Hayes60%1/1W P Mullins60%
321
8.0

Placed on both outings in bumpers before making a successful hurdling debut when landing a maiden at Tramore in August, beating Market Ready by 2¼ lengths. The form has been franked by the third since and she's clearly open to improvement now tackling a novice.

Class Advantage

21/09 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a21/0926/10 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a26/1016/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 5f 110y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 78%21/09Pos 2 · SP 1/3 | Expected: 98%Pos 2 · SP 1/3 | Actual: 86%26/10Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%16/08
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.2%Ahead 1/3
7
3
OR 112
6/1
Kashchei silks

Six Degenerates Syndicate

Kashchei

6yo Gelding · 11-6

Telescope - Leblon (Dansili)

Carl Millar60%−5lbC Collins60%
7531P2
7.0Class ↓6
Cheek pieces

Left with a simple task as he opened his account in 21f Kelso novice hurdle in May. Got back on the up when 1½ lengths second of 10 to Bruant in C&D handicap 18 days ago. Place claims if able to build on that performance reverting to novice company.

Class Advantage

3/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/0117/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below4/02 · mark par29/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/03 · mark par6/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/05 · mark par31/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 5f 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 17%3/01Pos 7 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 33%4/02Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%6/05Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 89%31/08
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.2%Ahead 3/4
6
2
OR 113
15/2
Gangster Granny silks

James Murdoch

Gangster Granny

5yo Mare · 11-7

Holy Roman Emperor - Jeanne Girl (Rip Van Winkle)

Sean Flanagan60%2/2C A McBratney60%
015211
6.0Class ↓5
Cheek pieces

Thriving mare who notched her third course win from 5 starts when completing a double in a mares handicap here (2¾m) last month. Ran no sort of race back on the Flat last time and this demands more from her, but it would be folly to write her off given her effectiveness at the track.

Class Advantage

8/05 · C9 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par8/0522/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par13/06 · C10 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par14/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par9/08 · C11 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par4/09 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 5f 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 100%8/05Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 92%13/06Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%9/08Pos 12 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 12 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 8%4/09
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.5%Ahead 3/4
2
6
OR 120
4/1
Luker's Tipple silks

Gavin Cromwell Racing Limited

Luker's Tipple

5yo Gelding · 12-0

Starspangledbanner - High Regards (High Chaparral)

Keith Donoghue60%3/6G P Cromwell60%
234111
6.0Class ↓7

Quirky sort who belatedly got off the mark over hurdles in a course maiden in July and then quickly followed that up with a novice win at Sligo the following month. Completed a quick-fire hat-trick on chasing debut at Tramore last time. More required now back over hurdles, though.

Class Advantage

28/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par28/056/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par14/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par6/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par13/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 5f 110y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 88%28/05Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 79%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%14/07Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%13/08Pos 10 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 10 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%21/08
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.9%Ahead 3/4
4
4
OR 114
12/1
Holy Joe silks

Oghill House Stud Limited

Holy Joe

6yo Gelding · 11-8

Elusive Pimpernel - Key Stage (King's Best)

Sam Ewing60%G Elliott60%
6U115
6.0
1st Hood +1

Much improved to get off the mark at the third attempt in 15-runner maiden hurdle at Clonmel in June. Made the most of what became a good opportunity when following up in novice at Perth next time but had winning run ended in better-quality race last month. Needs to step up in first-time hood.

Class Advantage

22/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/045/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/0612/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par12/0713/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/08 · mark par13/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 5f 110y · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 29%22/04Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 100%5/06Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%12/07Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%13/08
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength34%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +35.9%Ahead 4/4
3
5
OR 120
15/2
Mr Master Mac silks

MasterMac Partnership

Mr Master Mac

5yo Gelding · 12-0

Blue Bresil - Maria's Oscar (Oscar)

Thomas O'Connor60%1/5−7lbM Fahey
131722
6.0Going 10.0

Won course maiden hurdle in May and has shaped quite well when runner-up in handicap at Galway and novice at Tramore on last 2 starts. Should give another good account.

Class Advantage

20/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a20/0819/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a22/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a14/06 · C12 · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par2/08 · C12 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par13/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/08 · mark par13/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 5f 110y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%20/08Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%22/05Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 94%2/08Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 83%13/08
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.1%Ahead 2/4
9
8
OR 107
15/2
Harpy Eagle silks

Gillian Cody

Harpy Eagle

5yo Gelding · 11-1

Free Eagle - Wild Academy (Royal Academy)

Josh Williamson60%R P Cody
406612
5.0

Won 6-runner handicap hurdle at Wexford (2½m, good) in August and then backed that performance up from a 5 lb higher mark when chasing home Midnight Eagle in a similar event at Sligo 11 days later. Faces several less-exposed rivals now back in novice company, though.

Class Advantage

4/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below4/02 · mark par4/022/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/03 · mark par2/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par23/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below23/07 · mark par8/08 · C10 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par19/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 5f 110y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%4/02Pos 12 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 12 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 35%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%2/07Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 62%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%8/08Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 89%19/08
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.1%Ahead 3/4
5
9
OR 114
16/1
Look Sport silks

Paul Nolan

Look Sport

5yo Gelding · 11-8

No Risk At All - Asia Sport (High Rock)

Conor Stone-WalshP Nolan
14
7.0

Strong at finish when making a winning debut in 16-runner novice hurdle at Kilbeggan (2¼m, good) in May. Showed better form but firmly put in his place when 16 lengths fourth of 6 to Midnight Jet in novice hurdle at Galway last time. Improvement needed.

Class Advantage

15/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/0530/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a30/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 5f 110y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%15/05Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 40%30/07
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 3-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +30.5%Ahead 2/2
1
7
OR 120
8/1
Brother Walfrid silks

Brendan Scully

Brother Walfrid

5yo Gelding · 12-0

Tirwanako - Oscar Baby (Oscar)

Jack Kennedy60%0/3G Elliott
224152
6.0
Tongue strap

Won maiden hurdle at Punchestown in June. Followed that with a disappointing effort at Galway but took his form up a notch when 6½ lengths second of 5 to Diamond Du Berlais in 23f novice at Killarney last time. Drop back in trip should be fine and sets the standard.

Class Advantage

5/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/0426/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a6/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a30/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par20/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 5f 110y · 40%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 96%5/04Pos 4 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 4 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 63%26/05Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%6/06Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 20%30/07Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 75%20/08
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength27%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.2%Ahead 2/4