14:22 · Downpatrick

MB McGrady And Co Chartered Accountants Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)

2m 1f 165yGoing TBC4YO plusTURFHandicap14 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 87
5/2
Georginas Jet silks

S & M Syndicate

5yo Mare · 11-1

Jet Away - Georgina Valleya (King's Theatre)

Donagh MeylerP J Gilligan
914937
6.0

Off the mark in handicap over this C&D in June and shaped as if still in good form when seventh of 16 at Sligo (21f) a month ago, doing too much too soon back up in trip. Can make a bold bid returned to shorter at this track.

Class Advantage

28/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par28/0514/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par4/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par10/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par6/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par19/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 36%28/05Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 79%4/07Pos 9 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 9 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 47%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 87%6/08Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 60%19/08
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.1%Ahead 1/4
7
4
OR 85
8/1
Victoria Kesia silks

Up & Running Syndicate

5yo Mare · 10-13

Territories - Kesia (Australia)

Harry Sexton0/2−7lbJ J Hanlon60%
083087
3.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Fairly useful winner on the Flat at best when trained by Joseph Murphy. Third on handicap hurdle debut over this C&D in June but hasn't kicked on since, well held back on the Flat at Cork 19 days ago. Tongue strap fitted for return to this track.

Class Advantage

30/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a30/0514/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par6/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par23/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below23/07 · mark par10/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par30/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 50%30/05Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 85%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%6/07Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 57%10/08Pos 12 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 35%30/08
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.1%Ahead 4/4
4
9
OR 90
8/1
Burlington House silks

Keep The Faith Bloodstock Limited

5yo Gelding · 11-4

Zoffany - Skyline Dancer (Dalakhani)

Phillip Enright60%0/7O McKiernan60%
005427
3.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Showed improved form when making the frame in a couple of heavy-ground handicaps in December. However, ran poorly making return on the Flat and after another 2 months off he raced too freely when well held at Kilbeggan (19f) in July. Blinkers tried last time soon discarded.

Class Advantage

29/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/0916/11 · C9 · finish vs mark below16/11 · mark par2/12 · C9 · finish vs mark below2/12 · mark par27/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/12 · mark par18/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below18/05 · mark par24/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 29%29/09Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 80%2/12Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 93%Pos 15 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 7%18/05Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 60%24/07
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +32.3%Ahead 4/4
6
5
OR 86
14/1
Hello Johnjoe silks

Cufflinks & Cruises Partnership

5yo Mare · 11-0

Berkshire - Sadies Grace (Flemensfirth)

Conor Stone-WalshA McNamara
553P67
3.0

Standout effort over hurdles when third in a Clonmel handicap in January. Making chasing debut, shaped better than result when seventh of 10 in handicap at this venue (19f) in May, but others still more persuasive back hurdling after 4 months off.

Class Advantage

20/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/0825/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a13/12 · C9 · finish vs mark below13/12 · mark par8/01 · C9 · finish vs mark below8/01 · mark par17/03 · C9 · finish vs mark below17/03 · mark par8/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par8/05projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength19%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%20/08Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 69%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 76%13/12Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 85%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 62%17/03Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%8/05
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +48.2%Ahead 4/4
12
8
OR 79
10/1
Invincible Oscar silks

Mrs Shauna Kelly

5yo Mare · 10-7

Getaway - Oscar Star (Oscar)

Simon Torrens0/1N C Kelly
00P806
2.0

Didn't offer much last season, but making second handicap start after 9 months off she showed more when sixth of 13 at Sligo in August, making a promising move into contention. Task is now to build on latest effort.

Class Advantage

2/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/0829/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/12 · mark par19/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 17 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 17 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 11%2/08Pos 12 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 8%29/08Pos 8 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 30%9/11Pos 15 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 7%2/12Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 58%19/08
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength98%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.8%Ahead 4/4
10
2
OR 80
10/1
Centaq silks

Kay McMahon Madden

6yo Gelding · 10-8

Centaurian - Qeasy (Kahyasi)

Alix Balfe0/2−7lbD A McLoughlin80%
R26468
4.0
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Ran one of better races when fourth of 10 in handicap here (19f) in May. However, hasn't been in the same form over C&D in 2 subsequent outings. Has eased in the weights at least, so he's capable of getting involved with cheekpieces refitted/tongue strap on for first time.

Class Advantage

20/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/11 · mark par20/1124/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par12/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/05 · mark par22/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par14/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par14/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par14/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 12 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 31%20/11Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 93%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 64%12/05Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 62%14/06Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%14/07
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 4-14 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.1%Ahead 0/4
11
3
OR 79
20/1
Baltinglass Hill silks

James Guilfoyle

9yo Gelding · 10-7

Cable Bay - Dona Sola (Iffraaj)

Tiernan Power Roche60%0/8P J Rothwell60%
7PP708
2.0
Blinkers

Losing run is mounting up and failed to build on better signs of previous effort when tailed off at Punchestown in May. Back over fences after 4 months off, again ran poorly in handicap at this venue (19f) 18 days ago.

Class Advantage

2/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/10 · mark par2/1020/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/11 · mark par26/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/12 · mark par14/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below14/04 · mark par13/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/05 · mark par31/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 82%2/10Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 57%26/12Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 16 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 12%13/05Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%31/08
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength44%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.6%Ahead 4/4
2
11
OR 95
4/1
Jodoro silks

Stephen Curran

5yo Gelding · 11-9

Hillstar - Carmelina (Dylan Thomas)

P J O'Hanlon60%0/1D A McLoughlin
5P97U5
2.0

Some promise in bumpers and showed more than previously over hurdles in a Roscommon maiden in July, keeping on when hampered and unseated at the last. Jumping lacked fluency at Kilbeggan last time, but he could yet do better as he makes handicap debut.

Class Advantage

5/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a5/055/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a20/09 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a24/04 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a6/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength3%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%5/05Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 73%20/09Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 74%6/06Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 67%21/08
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +63.1%Ahead 4/4
14
6
OR 72
12/1
Youknowme silks

Thomas O'Toole

5yo Gelding · 10-0

Soldier Of Fortune - Presenting Pearl (Presenting)

Shane O'Callaghan60%0/1P J Rothwell70%
60877F
2.0
1st Blinkers +3

Showed up better than previously when mid-field in handicap at Kilbeggan (3m) in June. Hasn't built on that in 2 starts since, though, weakening when falling 2 out at Tramore (2½m) 5 weeks ago. Now switches to blinkers.

Class Advantage

5/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/0820/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/09 · mark par12/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below12/04 · mark par15/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below15/06 · mark par16/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par16/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength15%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 21%5/08Pos 6 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%20/09Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 61%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 54%15/06Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 57%16/07
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.4%Ahead 3/4
13
10
OR 77
20/1
Glory Sky silks

Ray Hackett

6yo Mare · 10-5

Cotai Glory - Artax Hope (Kyllachy)

Liam Quinlan60%0/6R Hackett
000778
2.0
Tongue strap

Fair winner on the Flat for Richard Hannon but a long way below that level over hurdles for current yard, never a threat when eighth of 16 in handicap at Thurles (2½m) in January. Off a further 7 months since.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/0411/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par4/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par16/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/10 · mark par29/01 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/01 · mark par29/01projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 23%25/04Pos 7 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 10 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%21/06Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 65%16/10Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 53%29/01
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength57%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.7%Ahead 2/4
8
7
OR 84
10/1
Polly Poppins silks

Nigel O'Sullivan

6yo Mare · 10-12

Pour Moi - Dyrick Daybreak (Ali-royal)

Ethan O'Sullivan60%−7lbBernard Crowley
935876
2.0

Remains a maiden but went close in handicap hurdle at Tramore last summer. Third in handicap at the same venue on chasing debut, though has gone the wrong way in 4 starts over fences this season. Needs to get back on track reverted to hurdling.

Class Advantage

2/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/10 · mark par2/109/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below9/10 · mark par29/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below29/05 · mark par30/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below30/06 · mark par22/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below22/07 · mark par16/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/08 · mark par16/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 47%2/10Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 60%29/05Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 46%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%22/07Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 29%16/08
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.1%Ahead 1/4
3
12
OR 93
14/1
Xquise silks

Keep Smiling Syndicate

6yo Mare · 11-7

Highland Reel - Xagere (Kendargent)

Jordan GainfordC Collins
760
2.0

Showed little in half a dozen Flat starts for Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch in 2024 and, after 20-month absence, was well held back over hurdles in maiden at Roscommon (2½m) 6 weeks ago on stable debut. Goes handicapping with enough to prove.

Class Advantage

29/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/04 · mark par29/0418/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par7/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par24/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par18/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/12 · mark par4/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/08projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 165y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 14 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 28%29/04Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 31%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 40%7/06Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 31%Pos 13 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 8%18/12Pos 11 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 33%4/08
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.9%Ahead 4/4